NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	119		Excitement	6.7 [493]		MVP	Tyus Jones (WAS): +16.0%
Washington Wizards	113		Comeback	1.5 [915]		LVP	Tobias Harris (PHI): -17.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Buddy Hield	0.14	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.14	0.11	0.04	0.00	16	68%	0.17	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Paul Reed	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.04	0.00	8	75%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Council IV	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	13	56%	0.08	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.02
Tyrese Maxey	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	25	52%	0.08	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
KJ Martin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	13	53%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Cameron Payne	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	8	35%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Tobias Harris	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	14	34%	-0.07	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyus Jones	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.22	0.00	0.06	14	86%	0.19	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Corey Kispert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	6	42%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	7	64%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	8	61%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Bilal Coulibaly	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	6	59%	0.05	3	-0.07	10	70%	-0.03
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.06	-0.01	17	58%	0.10	4	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01
Eugene Omoruyi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	4	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Deni Avdija	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.06	0.02	14	70%	0.11	5	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Bagley III	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	7	14%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.5	2.5	26.3	15.6	28.2	2.7	27.5	133.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -7.0%

PHI +0.7%

PHI +26.7%

PHI +27.5%

PHI +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	WAS	NBA	PHI	WAS	NBA
this game	14.4	12.6	14.5	112.3	105.6	113.9
season	14.9	13.7		115.6	109.8
opponent	14.1	14.5		118.7	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	11.7	15.6	14.9	16.1	14.4
WAS	12.7	11.8	12.8	13.2	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
KJ Martin	55	53	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.10	18	-12	30	12.8	16.2	-3.34	13.2	12.1	1.11
Kelly Oubre Jr.	88	88	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.20	11	-5	16	14.1	15.9	-1.81	12.4	13.7	-1.31
Cameron Payne	49	49	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.05	14	-8	22	13.1	15.6	-2.53	12.5	12.7	-0.14
Paul Reed	45	47	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.16	6	0	6	15.9	13.3	2.59	14.1	11.4	2.75
Ricky Council IV	65	66	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.24	1	5	-4	13.8	15.4	-1.58	12.4	13.0	-0.56
Buddy Hield	79	80	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.22	-2	8	-10	15.2	12.3	2.88	12.1	14.0	-1.91
Tyrese Maxey	77	78	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.39	-10	16	-26	14.9	13.2	1.70	12.8	12.1	0.64
Tobias Harris	72	74	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.26	-8	14	-22	15.3	12.6	2.64	12.1	13.8	-1.71

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Landry Shamet	41	41	0.29	-0.79	1.07	-0.07	12	-18	30	13.0	12.4	0.64	15.3	13.9	1.46
Delon Wright	15	14	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.05	3	-9	12	13.3	12.5	0.84	14.2	14.5	-0.26
Marvin Bagley III	33	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-7	8	13.4	12.2	1.18	14.5	14.4	0.06
Corey Kispert	55	53	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	-6	0	-6	13.4	11.8	1.59	13.5	15.4	-1.91
Jordan Poole	65	65	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.41	3	-9	12	12.9	12.1	0.76	14.6	14.2	0.44
Eugene Omoruyi	19	17	-0.34	-0.17	-0.17	0.10	-15	9	-24	13.4	12.4	0.93	12.4	14.8	-2.49
Tyus Jones	68	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.24	-5	-1	-4	12.0	13.7	-1.75	14.8	13.8	1.01
Deni Avdija	88	89	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.34	-2	-4	2	12.5	13.3	-0.80	14.5	13.9	0.60
Kyle Kuzma	81	82	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.23	-7	1	-8	12.2	14.0	-1.79	15.2	12.0	3.21
Bilal Coulibaly	70	67	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.15	-14	8	-22	12.0	13.7	-1.63	13.7	15.8	-2.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.26,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.07,0.16,0.03,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 97, MIL 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.17,0.18,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.14,0.29,0.17,0.07,0.01,0,0.01,0	93.1%
NOH 87, MIL 81	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.35,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.33,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.24,0.36,0.35,0.17,0.19,0.1,0.09,0.08,0	92.4%
LAL 103, NJN 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.19,0.22,0.28,0.32,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.39,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.18,0.12,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.02,0	92.4%