NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	87		Excitement	6.7 [492]		MVP	David West (NOH): +22.2%
Milwaukee Bucks	81		Comeback	1.6 [419]		LVP	Willie Green (NOH): -15.4%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0.22	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.22	0.17	0.07	0.02	12	81%	0.27	2	-0.05	7	71%	0.02
Marco Belinelli	0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.01	0.16	0.00	9	78%	0.27	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.06	0.00	5	73%	0.15	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Trevor Ariza	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.04	0.07	-0.01	11	39%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Quincy Pondexter	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0	-0.00	0.01	0.01	12	58%	0.08	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.01	9	15%	-0.11	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	11	68%	0.12	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.03
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.02	-0.05	11	55%	0.14	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	9	36%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
John Salmons	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	11	54%	0.15	2	-0.14	4	100%	0.03
Jon Brockman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	8	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	6	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	11	26%	-0.07	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.05
Drew Gooden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.08	0.01	8	44%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.13

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.0	29.0	15.6	27.4	2.3	33.5	132.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +44.3%

NOH +14.3%

MIL -2.7%

MIL -6.7%

NOH +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	MIL	NBA	NOH	MIL	NBA
this game	15.7	16.0	15.5	94.6	90.0	105.7
season	16.2	16.2		104.6	100.1
opponent	15.4	15.9		100.9	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	13.9	14.4	15.8	19.2	15.7
MIL	15.5	15.6	17.8	15.0	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	69	70	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.23	22	-16	38	15.3	16.8	-1.45	15.9	16.3	-0.44
Trevor Ariza	66	65	0.87	-0.37	1.25	0.32	19	-13	32	15.2	17.0	-1.87	15.7	16.6	-0.84
Chris Paul	62	62	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.23	15	-9	24	16.1	14.9	1.13	15.6	16.7	-1.15
Marco Belinelli	55	56	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.17	14	-8	22	16.8	14.1	2.75	15.8	16.1	-0.31
Emeka Okafor	53	55	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.23	9	-3	12	17.2	13.7	3.48	15.7	16.4	-0.73
Willie Green	41	40	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.14	-2	8	-10	13.9	17.1	-3.23	15.7	16.1	-0.37
Jerryd Bayless	23	20	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	11	-16	14.3	16.2	-1.86	18.2	15.3	2.95
Marcus Thornton	10	10	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.03	-6	12	-18	14.7	15.8	-1.12	14.2	16.2	-1.98
Jason Smith	39	34	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.08	-9	15	-24	14.7	16.5	-1.79	16.8	15.4	1.35
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	20	18	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.08	-13	19	-32	16.3	15.5	0.84	16.6	15.8	0.75
Quincy Pondexter	22	20	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	0.04	-14	20	-34	17.5	15.1	2.43	16.3	15.9	0.44

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Maggette	31	35	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.05	8	-14	22	16.5	15.7	0.81	14.5	16.5	-2.00
Jon Brockman	7	7	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.00	6	-12	18	16.4	15.9	0.51	18.0	15.5	2.49
Ersan Ilyasova	40	44	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.14	9	-15	24	15.7	16.1	-0.42	14.6	16.7	-2.03
Keyon Dooling	26	29	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.12	4	-10	14	16.8	15.6	1.14	14.2	16.4	-2.22
Earl Boykins	15	15	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.11	1	-7	8	15.1	16.1	-1.07	15.2	15.8	-0.59
Carlos Delfino	36	36	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.03	-8	2	-10	14.9	16.7	-1.82	13.2	17.3	-4.02
John Salmons	74	73	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-3	0	15.9	16.2	-0.36	16.6	12.2	4.39
Drew Gooden	35	35	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.26	-8	2	-10	16.5	15.6	0.87	17.9	14.4	3.49
Brandon Jennings	61	61	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.16	-12	6	-18	15.7	16.6	-0.93	16.3	14.5	1.78
Andrew Bogut	66	66	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.26	-14	8	-22	15.7	16.7	-1.03	16.3	14.2	2.10
Luc Mbah a Moute	59	59	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.30	-13	7	-20	16.7	14.5	2.15	15.6	15.8	-0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.35,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.33,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.24,0.36,0.35,0.17,0.19,0.1,0.09,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 121, BOS 114	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.28,0.47,0.34,0.1,0.19,0.07,0,0,0	93.3%
TOR 97, MIL 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.22,0.27,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.28,0.26,0.35,0.4,0.25,0.21,0.15,0.02,0	93.1%
UTA 90, POR 84	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.11,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.41,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.15,0.1,0.02,0	92.8%