NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	113		Excitement	2.4 [1241]		MVP	Donte DiVincenzo (NYK): +12.9%
New York Knicks	123		Comeback	1.0 [1291]		LVP	Vince Williams Jr. (MEM): -3.6%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Santi Aldama	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.03	6	92%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jacob Gilyard	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	6	100%	0.06	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tosan Evbuomwan	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
GG Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	10	62%	0.02	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.01
Luke Kennard	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	0.00	0.07	8	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
David Roddy	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.02,0,0	0.02	0.02	0.03	11	62%	0.04	3	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00
Trey Jemison	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	10	60%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Konchar	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	70%	0.02	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Vince Williams Jr.	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	17	50%	-0.00	4	-0.03	4	100%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.21	0.03	0.11	18	78%	0.15	2	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.01	-0.04	21	57%	0.11	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	13	65%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	0.00	0.05	8	85%	0.07	3	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	56%	0.04	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Malachi Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	14	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	1.7	24.7	15.4	25.4	1.7	34.3	125.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +22.6%

NYK +6.7%

NYK +6.3%

NYK +10.1%

NYK +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	NYK	NBA	MEM	NYK	NBA
this game	14.7	15.3	14.5	117.7	128.1	113.9
season	14.8	15.6		106.3	116.8
opponent	14.4	14.3		113.0	113.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.8	13.9	18.0	11.1	14.7
NYK	14.5	13.8	16.3	16.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
GG Jackson	45	46	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.50	14	-24	38	11.6	17.5	-5.83	15.7	14.9	0.84
Derrick Rose	26	27	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.07	-1	-9	8	12.2	15.7	-3.46	14.0	15.8	-1.73
Luke Kennard	47	48	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.08	-1	-9	8	15.1	14.3	0.84	14.7	15.8	-1.10
Tosan Evbuomwan	39	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.45	10	-20	30	13.9	15.3	-1.43	16.9	14.1	2.86
Vince Williams Jr.	69	70	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	-4	-2	14.9	14.2	0.74	14.7	16.9	-2.20
David Roddy	46	46	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-12	14	13.4	15.9	-2.47	16.1	14.6	1.51
Trey Jemison	64	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.12	-16	6	-22	15.4	13.4	1.92	14.6	16.7	-2.06
Jacob Gilyard	49	48	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	0	-10	14.7	14.8	-0.09	15.5	15.0	0.48
John Konchar	51	49	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.02	-14	4	-18	16.5	12.7	3.86	16.4	14.1	2.26
Santi Aldama	44	42	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.41	-28	18	-46	17.7	12.2	5.51	14.3	16.1	-1.81

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Hart	73	74	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.06	20	-10	30	15.4	14.9	0.54	15.5	12.0	3.59
Isaiah Hartenstein	68	69	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	-2	14	15.6	14.4	1.25	14.9	14.3	0.59
Precious Achiuwa	79	79	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.39	-1	11	-12	15.7	13.4	2.34	14.8	14.1	0.73
Donte DiVincenzo	80	81	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.09	9	1	8	15.3	15.1	0.26	14.7	14.8	-0.10
Miles McBride	67	65	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.30	0	10	-10	14.8	16.4	-1.62	13.0	18.2	-5.18
Malachi Flynn	26	25	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.16	15	-5	20	13.4	16.0	-2.60	14.5	14.8	-0.32
Jalen Brunson	59	60	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.27	-3	13	-16	15.9	14.3	1.60	15.5	13.5	1.99
Taj Gibson	28	27	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	12	-14	14.4	15.6	-1.25	14.3	14.9	-0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.91,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 77, WAS 114	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
SAS 82, LAL 111	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
LAC 96, ORL 125	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%