inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 82 Excitement2.2 [1215] MVPDerek Fisher (LAL): +15.0%
Los Angeles Lakers 111 Comeback1.0 [928] LVPDavid Robinson (SAS): -11.0%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danny Ferry0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.001150%0.0400.0000%0.00
Terry Porter0.000,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00859%0.032-0.031100%0.00
Shawnelle Scott0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Samaki Walker0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Steve Kerr-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Malik Rose-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00550%-0.0100.00475%0.00
Antonio Daniels-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.050.000.061454%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Avery Johnson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.031154%-0.013-0.00450%-0.00
Sean Elliott-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.090.00-0.06420%-0.022-0.012100%0.00
Tim Duncan-0.040,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.021052%-0.012-0.02956%-0.03
Derek Anderson-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.00-0.01233%-0.012-0.042100%0.01
David Robinson-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.120.00-0.011634%-0.082-0.03367%-0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.290.020.1613104%0.1500.0010%-0.01
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.000.001959%0.092-0.043100%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.00-0.041957%0.062-0.01850%-0.02
Brian Shaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.00-0.04333%0.011-0.0000%0.00
Devean George0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03425%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tyronn Lue0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.03538%-0.0000.003100%0.00
Rick Fox0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.020.000.03867%0.022-0.03250%-0.00
Mark Madsen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.130.00-0.12620%-0.002-0.00333%-0.00
Ron Harper0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.0310%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Horace Grant0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.02450%-0.011-0.01683%0.01
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.100.00-0.05420%-0.042-0.0120%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.43.432.320.326.63.228.7141.9
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +38.2%
SAS -4.2%
LAL +10.9%
LAL +2.6%
LAL +2.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASLALNBASASLALNBA
this game14.315.915.585.4116.8100.9
season15.915.6103.4106.8
opponent15.215.5101.896.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS14.916.512.713.114.3
LAL15.713.516.118.215.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shawnelle Scott890.00-0.500.500.12-4-252113.414.4-0.9916.315.80.50
Steve Kerr2726-0.01-0.490.470.04-2-272513.614.6-0.9616.015.80.16
Sean Elliott3838-0.05-0.450.410.07-4-252113.215.0-1.8614.217.0-2.79
Samaki Walker1111-0.07-0.430.360.19-9-201111.514.6-3.1915.815.9-0.07
Danny Ferry3031-0.16-0.340.18-0.01-5-241913.714.6-0.8917.015.31.70
Malik Rose4443-0.20-0.300.100.06-9-201113.514.9-1.3613.817.6-3.74
Avery Johnson4949-0.24-0.260.020.26-17-12-513.914.7-0.8716.615.11.46
Terry Porter5149-0.26-0.24-0.020.18-15-14-114.613.90.7816.215.60.62
Derek Anderson2322-0.29-0.21-0.090.21-17-12-516.913.53.4615.616.0-0.32
David Robinson6159-0.36-0.14-0.230.19-19-10-914.613.70.9816.714.52.23
Tim Duncan6868-0.36-0.14-0.230.13-17-12-515.012.52.4616.414.61.80
Antonio Daniels7070-0.49-0.01-0.470.31-27-2-2514.613.51.1215.616.6-1.03

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derek Fisher80820.490.010.47-0.192361715.816.5-0.6914.513.01.50
Rick Fox68690.460.040.42-0.182271515.915.70.2014.813.01.78
Shaquille O'Neal59620.440.060.37-0.212271515.816.0-0.2315.412.33.12
Kobe Bryant67690.410.090.32-0.262361716.115.30.8514.314.10.24
Robert Horry40380.300.200.11-0.131514114.616.8-2.1314.514.10.36
Brian Shaw29300.140.36-0.22-0.06722-1515.716.0-0.2313.314.7-1.43
Horace Grant56550.120.38-0.26-0.03524-1916.814.62.1514.214.4-0.19
Mark Madsen35360.100.40-0.29-0.281316-316.015.80.2312.615.3-2.72
Ron Harper17170.030.47-0.44-0.12524-1914.716.1-1.4413.514.5-0.99
Tyronn Lue15140.010.49-0.48-0.17623-1716.515.80.6913.014.5-1.50
Devean George980.000.50-0.50-0.12425-2116.315.80.5013.414.4-0.99


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 96, ORL 1250.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.1%
ATL 89, HOU 1080.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%
MEM 105, LAL 1240.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.7%