inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 129 Excitement6.7 [489] MVPT.J. McConnell (IND): +20.8%
Indiana Pacers 132 Comeback3.4 [637] LVPAmen Thompson (HOU): -12.2%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dillon Brooks0.200,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.20.150.050.001568%0.2000.004100%0.03
Aaron Holiday0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.080.040.003133%0.141-0.0200%0.00
Jalen Green0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.070.11-0.010.032165%0.184-0.11475%0.00
Jabari Smith Jr.0.050,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.050.05-0.00-0.011562%0.113-0.062100%0.01
Jae'Sean Tate0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.00275%0.0200.0000%0.00
Alperen Sengun-0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.030.03-0.020.041553%0.021-0.05875%0.01
Jeff Green-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.00343%0.012-0.061100%0.00
Cam Whitmore-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.05-0.011141%-0.031-0.0400%0.00
Amen Thompson-0.120,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.06-0.050.021246%-0.033-0.09425%-0.07

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
T.J. McConnell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.110.10-0.001174%0.251-0.041100%0.01
Pascal Siakam0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.190.190.200.010.021681%0.262-0.06475%-0.00
Buddy Hield0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.090.050.00786%0.171-0.0300%0.00
Tyrese Haliburton0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.130.130.050.06-0.021558%0.182-0.0510%-0.02
Myles Turner0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.070.030.011658%0.131-0.03475%-0.00
Andrew Nembhard0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.090.090.060.02-0.01590%0.101-0.0100%0.00
Jalen Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.060.060.050.01-0.00675%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Obi Toppin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.001150%0.0400.0000%0.00
Isaiah Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Ben Sheppard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Aaron Nesmith0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.040.03662%0.023-0.10450%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.21.825.214.629.21.834.0129.7
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +70.4%
HOU -8.6%
HOU -23.2%
IND +9.0%
IND +2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUINDNBAHOUINDNBA
this game14.913.814.5129.0130.7113.9
season14.213.8113.2120.0
opponent14.714.6117.4112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU15.814.114.215.414.9
IND12.514.114.014.613.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jalen Green67670.00-0.500.51-0.3512-152714.715.3-0.6214.013.50.46
Alperen Sengun7476-0.11-0.390.27-0.358-111914.715.2-0.4513.714.1-0.42
Jabari Smith Jr.8283-0.12-0.380.25-0.368-111915.412.33.0813.714.1-0.38
Jae'Sean Tate3031-0.23-0.270.04-0.08-52-715.714.51.2512.914.2-1.34
Dillon Brooks6565-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.332-5714.415.8-1.4514.013.40.56
Jeff Green2524-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.09-96-1515.014.80.2414.113.70.42
Cam Whitmore4444-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.03-1411-2514.615.0-0.4014.213.50.67
Aaron Holiday4344-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.18-107-1714.415.2-0.8614.213.50.67
Amen Thompson7071-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.28-74-1115.014.50.4713.514.5-1.04

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Buddy Hield52510.470.030.440.1511-81913.713.9-0.2314.914.90.01
Aaron Nesmith70690.420.080.340.3912-114.013.40.6514.815.1-0.30
Jalen Smith36340.350.150.200.2630314.913.21.6514.115.2-1.12
T.J. McConnell41380.320.180.140.2621114.113.60.5814.515.1-0.62
Pascal Siakam73720.260.240.010.2312-113.913.60.2714.715.3-0.64
Obi Toppin33330.240.26-0.020.1821114.113.60.4715.514.60.89
Andrew Nembhard67670.190.31-0.110.25-25-713.514.4-0.9614.715.2-0.48
Tyrese Haliburton61620.190.31-0.110.22-14-513.414.3-0.9115.114.50.62
Myles Turner59600.120.38-0.250.1203-313.414.3-0.8715.314.21.02
Isaiah Jackson560.010.49-0.47-0.0521112.013.9-1.9015.014.90.15
Ben Sheppard88-0.090.59-0.670.03-47-1113.513.8-0.3316.114.71.37


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.35,0.45,0.37,0.56,0.56,0.78,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.95,0.96,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 78, NJN 860.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.97,1,194.3%
DEN 93, LAL 1140.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.3,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.19,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.48,0.56,0.81,0.87,0.79,0.91,0.9,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,193.3%
MIA 95, IND 1060.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.41,0.37,0.6,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,193.2%