NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	149		Excitement	8.8 [182]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (LAC): +50.7%
Atlanta Hawks	144		Comeback	2.3 [605]		LVP	Jalen Johnson (ATL): -11.9%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0.51	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.42,0.5,0.51	0.29	0.24	0.02	20	80%	0.53	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
James Harden	0.26	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.26	0.23	0.11	0.07	14	79%	0.31	2	-0.05	10	100%	0.06
Amir Coffey	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.08	0.11	0.01	8	65%	0.18	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Paul George	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.08	0.00	13	64%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Daniel Theis	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.05	0.09	-0.00	7	64%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.08	-0.00	10	57%	0.16	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.02
Terance Mann	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	4	112%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	8	68%	0.10	1	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	57%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39	0.39	0.27	0.15	0.03	12	93%	0.39	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.12	0.09	-0.01	10	90%	0.27	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.07	0.00	12	67%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.07	0.00	14	74%	0.32	5	-0.18	6	100%	0.05
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.15	-0.00	0.08	8	86%	0.15	1	-0.08	5	100%	0.02
Bruno Fernando	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.01	6	47%	0.06	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.05,0,0,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	18	51%	0.04	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.02
Jalen Johnson	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	14	29%	-0.10	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	28.2	15.3	27.1	1.7	41.5	139.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +28.7%

LAC +8.5%

ATL -6.4%

LAC +14.7%

LAC +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	ATL	NBA	LAC	ATL	NBA
this game	14.7	12.9	14.5	141.9	138.5	113.9
season	14.9	14.2		116.6	115.7
opponent	14.3	14.4		118.0	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.0	14.2	16.4	12.0	14.7
ATL	13.8	13.0	12.4	12.4	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	70	69	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.38	12	-7	19	14.6	14.7	-0.10	13.4	11.9	1.45
James Harden	83	82	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.32	11	-6	17	14.9	13.7	1.20	13.4	11.0	2.44
Kawhi Leonard	80	79	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.27	8	-3	11	15.1	13.2	1.99	12.8	13.2	-0.43
Amir Coffey	61	59	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.46	-3	8	-11	13.7	16.0	-2.32	12.3	13.6	-1.36
Russell Westbrook	61	60	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.42	-3	8	-11	13.4	16.4	-2.94	12.1	13.9	-1.83
Terance Mann	44	45	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.13	9	-4	13	16.0	13.7	2.32	13.4	12.5	0.96
Mason Plumlee	44	44	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.09	6	-1	7	15.5	14.1	1.38	13.5	12.4	1.12
Daniel Theis	43	42	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.16	-6	11	-17	14.3	14.9	-0.63	12.6	13.0	-0.43
Norman Powell	39	40	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	-0.02	-9	14	-23	14.7	14.7	-0.02	12.1	13.3	-1.18

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruno Fernando	32	32	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.10	2	-7	9	11.9	13.3	-1.44	14.2	14.9	-0.70
Wesley Matthews	15	16	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.12	0	-5	5	12.7	12.9	-0.24	13.1	15.0	-1.90
Bogdan Bogdanovic	55	57	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.20	4	-9	13	12.7	13.1	-0.43	15.1	14.1	1.02
De'Andre Hunter	38	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.28	3	-8	11	12.8	12.9	-0.09	16.1	13.9	2.20
Jalen Johnson	85	83	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	2	-9	12.7	13.7	-1.05	14.4	15.7	-1.33
Trae Young	82	82	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	1	-7	12.5	14.1	-1.54	14.0	17.0	-2.92
Saddiq Bey	69	71	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.45	-7	2	-9	13.3	12.1	1.19	14.8	14.5	0.26
Dejounte Murray	72	73	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.46	-7	2	-9	13.3	11.9	1.44	14.9	14.2	0.70
Onyeka Okongwu	72	73	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.46	-7	2	-9	13.3	11.9	1.44	14.9	14.2	0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.24,0.34,0.25,0.31,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.3,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.52,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.53,0.25,0.22,0.11,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 109, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.2,0.01,0,0,0	91.4%
GSW 89, DEN 81	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.42,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.11,0.22,0.15,0	91.4%
POR 88, SAC 78	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.38,0.21,0.06,0,0	91.3%