NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	89		Excitement	7.7 [307]		MVP	Andre Miller (DEN): +16.0%
Denver Nuggets	81		Comeback	2.9 [438]		LVP	Wilson Chandler (DEN): -22.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.08	0.05	0.02	21	58%	0.15	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.05
Marreese Speights	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	4	67%	0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.00	0.07	-0.01	10	60%	0.18	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Nedovic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.03	-0.08	0.04	-0.01	16	41%	0.08	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	37%	-0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.08	2	0%	-0.04
Harrison Barnes	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.06	-0.01	6	14%	-0.11	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Stephen Curry	-0.18	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18	-0.05	-0.09	0.03	14	44%	-0.07	2	-0.12	4	50%	-0.03

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.07	-0.00	8	74%	0.16	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.03
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	9	59%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	11	54%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	7	44%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Randy Foye	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	5	9%	-0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jordan Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	4	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.12	-0.01	14	48%	-0.03	5	-0.15	5	100%	0.02
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.09	-0.13	-0.01	5	20%	-0.10	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23	-0.23	-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	12	38%	-0.11	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.4	30.4	15.8	23.3	2.3	34.6	135.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +49.8%

DEN -1.7%

DEN -4.5%

GSW +5.1%

GSW +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	DEN	NBA	GSW	DEN	NBA
this game	15.8	15.0	15.1	95.7	86.2	105.2
season	14.2	14.0		105.9	104.5
opponent	14.9	15.3		106.4	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	16.1	18.1	14.0	15.2	15.8
DEN	13.9	14.6	14.2	17.5	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Klay Thompson	75	74	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.35	11	-3	14	15.7	16.3	-0.57	15.1	14.7	0.37
Stephen Curry	69	71	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.35	8	0	8	15.3	17.4	-2.10	14.9	15.3	-0.36
Andrew Bogut	59	59	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.19	12	-4	16	15.8	15.8	0.04	15.2	14.6	0.57
Andre Iguodala	60	60	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.19	11	-3	14	15.6	16.2	-0.61	15.0	15.0	-0.02
David Lee	77	78	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.17	9	-1	10	15.2	18.6	-3.39	14.4	18.0	-3.63
Kent Bazemore	8	9	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	7	-6	21.7	15.3	6.49	18.2	14.6	3.58
Hilton Armstrong	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	8	-8	0.0	15.8	-15.82	7.0	15.1	-8.08
Nemanja Nedovic	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	8	-8	0.0	15.8	-15.82	7.0	15.1	-8.08
Harrison Barnes	42	42	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	9	-10	15.9	15.8	0.07	15.2	14.8	0.45
Draymond Green	32	33	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.02	-2	10	-12	15.5	16.0	-0.44	15.3	14.8	0.44
Marreese Speights	27	27	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	13	-18	16.7	15.5	1.25	14.6	15.2	-0.61
Toney Douglas	16	15	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.02	-4	12	-16	18.2	15.3	2.94	16.0	14.8	1.20

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Foye	22	22	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.10	-3	-5	2	14.5	15.1	-0.58	14.7	16.2	-1.43
Anthony Randolph	28	27	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-8	8	15.7	14.7	0.98	16.2	15.7	0.52
JJ Hickson	55	55	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-5	2	13.5	17.1	-3.57	15.8	15.9	-0.09
Nate Robinson	32	31	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.09	0	-8	8	15.8	14.6	1.20	16.5	15.5	1.10
Darrell Arthur	40	37	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.20	-1	-7	6	17.0	13.5	3.54	16.6	15.3	1.25
Jordan Hamilton	37	35	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.05	-6	-2	-4	15.9	14.4	1.53	14.9	16.3	-1.40
Andre Miller	56	55	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.33	-3	-5	2	15.4	14.4	0.91	16.8	14.4	2.32
Ty Lawson	73	73	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.25	-6	-2	-4	14.3	17.5	-3.26	15.5	17.0	-1.57
Wilson Chandler	65	66	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.17	-11	3	-14	14.4	16.4	-2.01	15.5	16.7	-1.20
Timofey Mozgov	62	64	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.31	-7	-1	-6	15.0	14.9	0.17	15.7	16.1	-0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.42,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.11,0.22,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 91, CHI 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.47,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.16,0	91.6%
MIL 91, ORL 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.4,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.23,0.08,0	91.5%
WAS 114, CHA 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.21,0.15,0.16,0	91.4%