NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	124		Excitement	4.5 [899]		MVP	LeBron James (LAL): +15.8%
Charlotte Hornets	118		Comeback	1.5 [1206]		LVP	Nick Smith Jr. (CHA): -6.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.16	0.04	0.05	-0.07	22	55%	0.20	4	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.03	16	76%	0.19	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0.08	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08	0.10	-0.01	0.02	21	62%	0.14	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Rui Hachimura	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.00	6	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Wood	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.00	0.04	5	79%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Max Christie	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jaxson Hayes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	7	56%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
Austin Reaves	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	8	47%	0.01	5	-0.07	3	100%	0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.14	0.14	0.30	-0.02	0.13	26	73%	0.17	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Brandon Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.13	0.13	0.15	0.01	0.03	25	63%	0.18	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Bryce McGowens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	7	62%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
JT Thor	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	14	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Leaky Black	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Richards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ish Smith	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	9	44%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nick Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	0.03	7	36%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.0	27.1	15.3	23.6	2.4	26.6	121.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +35.8%

LAL +6.4%

LAL +14.6%

CHA -8.3%

LAL +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CHA	NBA	LAL	CHA	NBA
this game	13.0	13.9	14.5	114.8	111.3	113.9
season	14.1	14.8		114.4	108.3
opponent	14.5	14.3		118.7	114.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.5	11.2	11.7	17.6	13.0
CHA	13.7	13.2	14.6	14.3	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Reaves	82	80	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.10	15	-9	24	13.3	12.2	1.06	13.6	14.6	-0.97
Anthony Davis	85	83	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.04	16	-10	26	12.9	13.4	-0.51	13.7	14.4	-0.64
LeBron James	88	86	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.38	2	4	-2	13.4	11.4	2.01	13.9	13.7	0.23
Rui Hachimura	68	66	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.19	6	0	6	13.4	12.4	0.97	13.3	14.8	-1.47
D'Angelo Russell	87	87	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.33	-2	8	-10	13.6	10.6	3.06	14.0	13.6	0.38
Taurean Prince	44	43	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	4	-2	11.5	14.1	-2.67	14.3	13.6	0.70
Christian Wood	22	21	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.02	3	3	0	11.4	13.5	-2.10	14.7	13.7	1.03
Max Christie	41	41	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.13	-2	8	-10	12.5	13.4	-0.92	14.1	13.7	0.42
Jaxson Hayes	23	23	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.29	-10	16	-26	13.4	12.9	0.51	14.4	13.7	0.64

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JT Thor	13	14	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-10	14	13.5	13.9	-0.48	18.0	12.3	5.70
Leaky Black	37	38	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-3	0	13.5	14.1	-0.66	12.3	13.4	-1.07
Nick Smith Jr.	42	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-1	-4	14.9	13.2	1.65	12.6	13.3	-0.68
Brandon Miller	73	75	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.32	3	-9	12	13.9	13.8	0.06	13.0	13.2	-0.16
Bryce McGowens	52	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-1	-4	14.3	13.5	0.75	12.7	13.4	-0.67
Nick Richards	73	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.16	-7	1	-8	14.0	13.7	0.28	12.9	13.3	-0.33
P.J. Washington	73	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.30	-3	-3	0	14.0	13.7	0.23	13.2	12.6	0.66
Miles Bridges	90	92	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.28	-4	-2	-2	13.6	15.7	-2.19	12.8	14.2	-1.42
Ish Smith	77	78	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	4	-14	13.6	14.7	-1.11	13.1	12.8	0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.23,0.21,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 128, CHA 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
CLE 98, DET 88	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0	95.7%
MIL 110, CHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%