inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 129 Excitement6.3 [550] MVPGiannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +59.0%
Dallas Mavericks 117 Comeback21.7 [134] LVPGrant Williams (DAL): -23.3%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo0.590,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.590.330.310.052873%0.641-0.051060%-0.02
Damian Lillard0.150,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.150.180.050.0811107%0.356-0.20683%0.02
AJ Green0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.030.012125%0.0800.0000%0.00
Jae Crowder0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.030.00667%0.0700.0000%0.00
Bobby Portis0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.02-0.00-0.011048%0.0300.00580%-0.02
Khris Middleton0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.060.04-0.051541%0.042-0.022100%0.02
Robin Lopez0.010,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.011100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Malik Beasley-0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.02945%0.001-0.0120%0.00
Cameron Payne-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Pat Connaughton-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.02617%-0.0400.0000%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Maxi Kleber0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.270.270.170.110.011191%0.332-0.051100%0.01
Josh Green0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.100.05-0.001277%0.203-0.052100%0.02
Luka Doncic0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.030.06-0.022663%0.279-0.161191%0.06
Tim Hardaway Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.06-0.02-0.001556%0.061-0.012100%0.01
Dwight Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.020.001100%0.061-0.032100%0.02
Jaden Hardy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01440%0.0000.002100%0.01
Derrick Jones Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.010.02653%0.021-0.04367%-0.02
Grant Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.23-0.14-0.10-0.01617%-0.084-0.1500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.42.531.214.630.42.631.2138.8
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +48.4%
DAL -15.2%
DAL -10.0%
MIL +20.3%
MIL +6.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILDALNBAMILDALNBA
this game13.313.914.5122.9109.3113.9
season14.314.3117.0115.6
opponent14.614.3113.6114.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL14.211.812.614.513.3
DAL11.015.713.615.513.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Malik Beasley70710.88-0.381.260.1425-133813.213.5-0.3314.213.21.06
Khris Middleton85860.72-0.220.930.0423-113412.815.5-2.7214.411.72.74
Damian Lillard83830.67-0.170.840.2016-42013.612.31.2413.814.0-0.17
Giannis Antetokounmpo91910.63-0.130.760.1915-31813.213.6-0.4013.814.5-0.74
AJ Green12150.300.200.10-0.1716-42011.813.5-1.6515.513.61.94
Bobby Portis66660.040.46-0.410.13-315-1814.112.02.0613.813.9-0.05
Robin Lopez99-0.030.53-0.560.00-113-1413.113.3-0.2014.813.80.99
Cameron Payne2224-0.170.67-0.84-0.05-416-2012.313.6-1.2414.013.80.17
Jae Crowder4749-0.180.68-0.870.31-1729-4613.613.10.5411.915.5-3.64
Pat Connaughton4041-0.350.85-1.21-0.06-1022-3213.613.10.4514.013.80.13

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Grant Williams51510.16-0.660.82-0.2213-253814.213.60.6214.012.61.37
Jaden Hardy24240.04-0.540.570.15-4-8414.213.80.4912.313.6-1.30
Dwight Powell4341-0.01-0.490.48-0.134-162013.813.9-0.1312.214.0-1.76
Derrick Jones Jr.7775-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.03-120-1213.714.3-0.6013.812.11.67
Tim Hardaway Jr.8684-0.46-0.04-0.41-0.28-6-6013.415.7-2.3013.512.41.14
Maxi Kleber7374-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.08-142-1614.013.50.5413.812.11.70
Luka Doncic9694-0.520.02-0.54-0.17-120-1213.913.50.3613.015.8-2.82
Josh Green8582-0.840.34-1.180.01-2917-4614.013.30.7512.914.7-1.79


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.61,0.58,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.53,0.38,0.32,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.04,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 95, SAS 830.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.55,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.48,0.37,0.23,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,089.9%
OKC 109, PHX 970.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.57,0.42,0.19,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,089.4%
MIN 106, DEN 1000.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.83,0.85,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.76,0.66,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.17,0.23,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.04,0.02,089.4%