inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 95 Excitement4.9 [847] MVPLaMarcus Aldridge (POR): +13.3%
San Antonio Spurs 83 Comeback8.2 [99] LVPTony Parker (SAS): -10.5%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge0.130,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.090.050.001377%0.213-0.0800%0.00
Rudy Fernandez0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.060.03-0.01764%0.0900.0000%0.00
Travis Outlaw0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.030.021055%0.0500.002100%0.02
Greg Oden0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.06-0.010.03573%0.0300.0010%-0.01
Steve Blake0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.040.031246%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Sergio Rodriguez-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.02-0.030.02475%0.031-0.0500%0.00
Brandon Roy-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.010.010.041957%0.096-0.128100%0.04
Nicolas Batum-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.0110%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Joel Przybilla-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.020.00337%-0.021-0.04250%-0.02

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Roger Mason Jr.0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.030.021555%0.0900.003100%0.01
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.01487%0.081-0.0300%0.00
Michael Finley0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.06-0.020.00961%0.0300.0000%0.00
Bruce Bowen00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jacque Vaughn00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marcus Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kurt Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.020.01757%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.100.05-0.02825%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Drew Gooden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.03-0.00845%0.011-0.04475%0.02
George Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.020.021100%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Ime Udoka0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.03-0.02525%-0.0500.00250%-0.01
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.02-0.060.031555%-0.004-0.101100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.63.432.319.825.12.829.2140.2
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +28.8%
POR +3.9%
POR +27.5%
SAS -10.5%
POR +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPORSASNBAPORSASNBA
this game18.416.915.5115.9102.5106.4
season16.716.4111.0106.6
opponent15.716.0103.2105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
POR18.516.317.121.818.4
SAS16.618.817.214.916.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rudy Fernandez45440.71-0.210.920.1021-93018.118.8-0.7716.517.4-0.86
Brandon Roy62640.57-0.070.630.0717-52219.315.63.6617.116.30.78
Travis Outlaw44430.470.030.45-0.0217-52217.319.7-2.3718.215.52.66
Steve Blake58590.420.080.350.13102819.815.14.7116.917.0-0.12
Joel Przybilla45440.190.31-0.120.19012-1219.217.51.6916.517.4-0.86
Greg Oden36350.170.33-0.17-0.0784417.918.8-0.9418.016.11.96
LaMarcus Aldridge68670.130.37-0.250.07210-818.418.40.0716.519.0-2.52
Sergio Rodriguez1917-0.070.57-0.640.08-517-2214.719.5-4.8616.417.0-0.64
Nicolas Batum3332-0.080.58-0.670.21-1022-3217.918.8-0.8516.017.5-1.51

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Matt Bonner33340.16-0.660.81-0.057-192617.516.50.9119.417.71.75
Tim Duncan38400.01-0.510.52-0.052-141617.516.41.1019.217.71.53
Jacque Vaughn22-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-111010.017.1-7.0912.518.6-6.06
Marcus Williams56-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-131412.217.2-5.0219.718.31.35
Drew Gooden3334-0.20-0.300.10-0.11-3-9616.617.1-0.4717.519.1-1.61
Bruce Bowen2928-0.21-0.290.070.02-8-4-419.215.73.5217.718.8-1.12
Roger Mason Jr.6666-0.25-0.250.00-0.281-131416.917.0-0.1119.016.03.00
George Hill1515-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.03-8-4-414.917.4-2.5115.419.1-3.69
Michael Finley5353-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.04-10-2-817.116.60.4719.416.72.72
Kurt Thomas3433-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.05-11-1-1016.617.1-0.4616.619.6-2.98
Tony Parker5456-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.08-11-1-1017.016.80.1519.615.83.76
Ime Udoka4343-0.640.14-0.78-0.08-197-2616.217.7-1.4517.020.0-3.02


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.55,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.48,0.37,0.23,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 106, NYK 900.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.26,0.21,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.03,0,0,093.0%
NOP 120, DEN 1120.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.21,0.17,0.24,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,091.5%
LAC 97, CHI 960.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.55,0.44,0.52,0.4,0.5,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,091.3%