NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	109		Excitement	5.9 [636]		MVP	TJ Warren (PHX): +14.4%
Phoenix Suns	97		Comeback	9.7 [161]		LVP	Brandon Knight (PHX): -18.0%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.15	0.05	0.07	9	90%	0.20	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Anthony Morrow	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	6	92%	0.13	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.07	-0.03	9	59%	0.15	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.03
Kyle Singler	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.04	-0.03	3	50%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Mitch McGary	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	10	52%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Dion Waiters	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	20	43%	-0.03	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Russell Westbrook	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	29	46%	-0.04	4	-0.08	14	86%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
TJ Warren	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.05	0.05	10	82%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.02	9	57%	0.08	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	13	50%	0.06	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.05	0.01	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.06
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Archie Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	12	52%	0.05	6	-0.13	5	80%	0.01
Markieff Morris	0,0,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.04	-0.07	0.05	20	55%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.16	-0.03	-0.02	10	14%	-0.12	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	1.8	31.3	15.4	24.4	2.4	31.4	133.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +27.7%

OKC +7.3%

OKC +9.7%

OKC +5.0%

OKC +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	PHX	NBA	OKC	PHX	NBA
this game	14.0	13.7	15.1	104.8	93.3	104.2
season	14.5	14.4		105.7	103.7
opponent	15.0	15.0		104.9	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.3	13.0	11.9	17.3	14.0
PHX	14.0	14.2	13.4	13.2	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dion Waiters	80	82	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.09	16	-4	20	13.8	14.7	-0.87	13.9	12.9	0.99
Kyle Singler	56	54	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.34	7	5	2	14.3	13.6	0.66	13.9	13.4	0.52
D.J. Augustin	67	68	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.07	15	-3	18	14.3	13.4	0.88	13.5	14.1	-0.56
Steven Adams	91	92	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.20	10	2	8	13.5	17.3	-3.78	14.1	10.6	3.51
Anthony Morrow	59	57	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.20	5	7	-2	15.3	12.3	3.02	13.2	14.3	-1.18
Russell Westbrook	85	85	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.11	8	4	4	13.6	16.0	-2.45	13.2	15.8	-2.63
Enes Kanter	65	65	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.14	8	4	4	13.6	14.6	-1.03	13.6	13.8	-0.25
Mitch McGary	17	17	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.09	-9	21	-30	14.4	13.9	0.49	15.0	13.4	1.56

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Knight	50	50	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.05	3	-15	18	13.3	14.0	-0.72	13.3	14.6	-1.35
Alex Len	56	56	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	-5	-2	13.8	13.6	0.24	12.8	15.4	-2.55
Marcus Morris	82	82	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.07	-4	-8	4	13.5	14.2	-0.68	14.0	14.2	-0.23
Archie Goodwin	7	7	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-7	2	12.9	13.8	-0.90	15.9	13.9	1.99
Brandan Wright	35	34	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.16	-5	-7	2	14.3	13.4	0.98	14.5	13.8	0.70
TJ Warren	60	60	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.25	-3	-9	6	13.2	14.4	-1.16	15.2	12.4	2.80
Markieff Morris	70	71	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.08	-13	1	-14	14.0	13.1	0.94	13.9	14.1	-0.18
Eric Bledsoe	86	87	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.01	-16	4	-20	13.5	14.4	-0.84	13.6	16.2	-2.60
PJ Tucker	74	73	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.21	-10	-2	-8	14.1	12.8	1.30	14.6	12.5	2.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.57,0.42,0.19,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 110, SAS 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.09,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	92.2%
POR 105, PHX 83	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.32,0.08,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	92.2%
ORL 117, DAL 107	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.81,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.33,0.27,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	91.9%