inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 117 Excitement5.6 [721] MVPDeShawn Stevenson (DAL): +18.2%
Dallas Mavericks 107 Comeback6.0 [417] LVPJason Terry (DAL): -6.5%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Richardson0.180,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.140.050.011274%0.201-0.023100%0.02
Hedo Turkoglu0.130,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.070.080.02872%0.152-0.02250%0.01
Gilbert Arenas0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09-0.030.07-0.051154%0.133-0.04450%-0.02
Jameer Nelson0.090,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.080.030.031073%0.132-0.042100%0.00
Brandon Bass0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.01769%0.071-0.03250%-0.02
Ryan Anderson0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.000.040.001050%0.081-0.04250%-0.01
JJ Redick0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02750%0.041-0.044100%0.01
Dwight Howard0.000,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.07-0.020.051659%0.062-0.06771%-0.03

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.180.020.021386%0.242-0.062100%0.01
Shawn Marion0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.030.050.001169%0.184-0.104100%0.02
Brian Cardinal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.07-0.00-0.00590%0.111-0.0400%0.00
Dominique Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.02367%0.0100.0000%0.00
Alexis Ajinca0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.060.000.062125%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ian Mahinmi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.060.000.062100%0.0000.001100%0.00
Tyson Chandler0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.01260%0.022-0.03667%-0.02
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00362%0.042-0.06250%-0.01
Jason Kidd0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.080.01-0.04835%0.002-0.031100%0.00
Jose Juan Barea0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.021045%0.032-0.0700%0.00
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.020.011746%-0.002-0.0610%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.61.828.116.524.31.730.3129.2
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +19.5%
ORL +3.2%
ORL +14.6%
ORL +12.1%
ORL +0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLDALNBAORLDALNBA
this game14.316.515.5125.8113.8105.7
season15.215.7106.3108.5
opponent15.716.2103.8101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL15.215.314.012.914.3
DAL14.218.117.316.616.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ryan Anderson43410.53-0.030.560.1214-41814.214.4-0.2617.515.71.86
Hedo Turkoglu77780.51-0.010.520.1911-11214.413.90.4416.715.51.19
Dwight Howard79810.420.080.330.2464213.916.6-2.7616.913.83.07
Gilbert Arenas43420.380.120.250.2064212.815.6-2.7217.715.52.13
JJ Redick52510.360.140.220.2737-413.415.4-1.9917.115.71.37
Jason Richardson71730.170.33-0.160.0355014.712.91.8215.519.9-4.40
Jameer Nelson50520.120.38-0.250.0146-215.612.82.7215.517.7-2.13
Brandon Bass50520.020.48-0.47-0.0119-815.313.22.0715.517.8-2.30

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dominique Jones15150.06-0.560.62-0.219-192820.615.74.8914.914.20.75
Alexis Ajinca550.00-0.500.50-0.217-172415.816.5-0.7318.614.14.54
Ian Mahinmi550.00-0.500.50-0.217-172415.816.5-0.7318.614.14.54
Tyson Chandler4545-0.13-0.370.250.08-7-3-415.017.9-2.8615.313.41.91
Shawn Marion5757-0.15-0.350.200.11-9-1-815.418.2-2.8514.713.70.99
DeShawn Stevenson7170-0.19-0.310.120.02-7-3-415.320.0-4.7114.812.81.96
Jose Juan Barea4748-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.32-1-9817.915.12.7213.515.2-1.66
Brian Cardinal3736-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.32-1-9818.215.42.8513.714.7-0.99
Brendan Haywood4443-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.08-100-1018.115.13.0112.815.6-2.85
Jason Terry7876-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.00-155-2016.516.20.2914.115.4-1.36
Jason Kidd6665-0.580.08-0.660.10-2313-3615.818.1-2.2514.214.6-0.39


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.81,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.33,0.27,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 114, NYK 1090.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.73,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.43,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.17,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.01,0,093.4%
CHI 88, LAC 840.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.23,0.11,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.02,0.01,0.04,092.6%
CHI 96, MEM 880.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.71,0.67,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.7,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.25,0.38,0.27,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,092.5%