NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	114		Excitement	6.1 [615]		MVP	George Hill (UTA): +22.5%
New York Knicks	109		Comeback	4.0 [439]		LVP	Shelvin Mack (UTA): -5.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22	0.18	0.07	0.02	12	74%	0.22	0	0.00	7	86%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.09	0.12	0.02	13	62%	0.19	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Rudy Gobert	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.03	-0.00	6	81%	0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.07	0.00	5	71%	0.16	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Gordon Hayward	0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.02	17	58%	0.18	3	-0.09	14	100%	0.08
Derrick Favors	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	10	57%	0.09	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Trey Lyles	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Exum	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.03	0.04	18	68%	0.18	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	0.00	0.06	20	61%	0.08	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Mindaugas Kuzminskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	8	56%	0.08	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	14	56%	0.13	4	-0.15	4	100%	0.03
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.4	32.2	14.8	24.3	2.7	38.0	139.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +30.8%

UTA +7.2%

UTA +6.0%

UTA +8.9%

NYK -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NYK	NBA	UTA	NYK	NBA
this game	15.8	15.0	14.8	120.0	118.5	107.7
season	16.1	15.0		108.0	106.6
opponent	14.7	15.0		110.0	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.0	14.9	17.4	15.2	15.8
NYK	13.9	16.4	18.6	11.9	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Hood	78	75	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.30	11	-6	17	15.4	17.5	-2.02	14.8	15.9	-1.11
Joe Johnson	50	49	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.36	8	-3	11	15.4	16.2	-0.82	13.6	16.6	-3.01
Gordon Hayward	71	69	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.19	7	-2	9	15.2	17.6	-2.43	15.2	14.4	0.78
Rudy Gobert	64	62	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	-6	17	16.1	15.2	0.96	15.8	13.2	2.59
George Hill	71	69	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.26	2	3	-1	15.3	17.3	-2.04	14.8	15.5	-0.67
Shelvin Mack	23	22	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	3	-1	17.4	15.3	2.09	15.0	15.0	-0.03
Derrick Favors	55	53	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.28	-5	10	-15	15.5	16.2	-0.76	14.6	15.5	-0.84
Trey Lyles	38	36	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.17	-4	9	-13	17.7	14.6	3.12	15.5	14.7	0.81
Joe Ingles	7	7	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	7	-9	14.3	15.9	-1.65	15.6	14.9	0.64
Dante Exum	18	18	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.02	-5	10	-15	17.4	15.4	1.95	16.5	14.6	1.89

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joakim Noah	38	37	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-6	7	16.0	14.3	1.74	16.1	15.6	0.53
Carmelo Anthony	70	71	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.27	6	-11	17	14.7	15.9	-1.16	15.3	17.3	-2.04
Courtney Lee	72	74	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.34	4	-9	13	14.2	17.6	-3.35	15.5	16.9	-1.40
Mindaugas Kuzminskas	14	14	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.07	-6	1	-7	16.2	14.8	1.46	18.2	15.4	2.82
Kristaps Porzingis	64	67	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-5	5	14.9	15.1	-0.13	15.7	16.1	-0.37
Kyle O'Quinn	24	24	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.08	-7	2	-9	15.6	14.7	0.87	15.7	15.8	-0.08
Justin Holiday	23	24	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	5	-15	18.3	13.9	4.43	15.6	15.9	-0.30
Derrick Rose	71	74	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.32	1	-6	7	14.1	17.8	-3.67	15.9	15.5	0.37
Brandon Jennings	30	32	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.20	-5	0	-5	15.5	14.7	0.77	14.9	16.3	-1.41
Lance Thomas	54	58	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.24	-9	4	-13	14.4	15.8	-1.34	16.7	14.4	2.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.73,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.43,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.17,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 88, LAC 84	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.23,0.11,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.02,0.01,0.04,0	93.8%
CHI 96, MEM 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.71,0.67,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.7,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.25,0.38,0.27,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0	93.7%
ORL 117, DAL 107	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.81,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.33,0.27,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.4%