NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	114		Excitement	11.1 [42]		MVP	Zion Williamson (NOP): +68.1%
San Antonio Spurs	113		Comeback	7.2 [268]		LVP	Victor Wembanyama (SAS): -23.4%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zion Williamson	0.68	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.16,0.68	0.15	0.54	0.01	21	60%	0.70	1	-0.02	13	69%	-0.02
CJ McCollum	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.15,0.15	0.03	0.12	-0.00	17	55%	0.21	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Jonas Valanciunas	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.03	0.01	12	75%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Murphy III	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	9	50%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jose Alvarado	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hawkins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.08	0.00	15	56%	0.04	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Naji Marshall	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	6	17%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dyson Daniels	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	3	33%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.06	-0.00	5	60%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malaki Branham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	4	87%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Champagnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tre Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,0.06,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	15	59%	0.10	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.04
Jeremy Sochan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	12	50%	0.08	3	-0.11	6	50%	-0.13
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	9	45%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	6	25%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Devin Vassell	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.03,0.03,-0.15	-0.15	0.12	-0.26	0.02	21	64%	-0.07	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.06
Victor Wembanyama	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.23	-0.23	-0.06	-0.18	-0.00	14	53%	-0.04	6	-0.20	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.5	29.3	15.7	27.2	2.5	33.3	132.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +72.7%

NOP +8.2%

SAS -70.3%

NOP +33.1%

NOP +6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	SAS	NBA	NOP	SAS	NBA
this game	14.7	14.4	14.5	116.3	113.0	113.9
season	14.4	13.9		114.8	108.6
opponent	14.3	14.7		115.2	111.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.0	14.2	15.8	14.9	14.7
SAS	13.1	14.1	15.5	15.1	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zion Williamson	74	77	1.00	-0.50	1.50	0.56	15	-14	29	14.5	15.2	-0.75	13.9	16.2	-2.35
Jose Alvarado	35	38	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.50	9	-8	17	15.0	14.5	0.45	15.8	13.5	2.31
Dyson Daniels	38	43	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.16	20	-19	39	14.2	15.0	-0.86	16.2	13.0	3.20
CJ McCollum	79	79	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.27	13	-12	25	15.1	13.0	2.09	14.4	14.5	-0.14
Brandon Ingram	74	74	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.53	-6	7	-13	15.0	13.7	1.35	14.5	14.3	0.19
Cody Zeller	18	19	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.07	6	-5	11	12.7	15.1	-2.47	13.5	14.6	-1.09
Jordan Hawkins	25	24	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	1	-1	12.4	15.5	-3.12	13.7	14.6	-0.92
Naji Marshall	34	35	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.31	-19	20	-39	14.1	15.0	-0.82	14.8	14.2	0.60
Trey Murphy III	58	58	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.23	-18	19	-37	15.0	14.2	0.73	13.4	15.8	-2.41
Jonas Valanciunas	55	53	-0.55	1.05	-1.60	-0.11	-15	16	-31	15.8	13.2	2.59	14.2	14.7	-0.55

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Collins	40	41	0.43	-0.93	1.37	0.20	8	-9	17	13.5	15.0	-1.48	14.4	14.9	-0.42
Blake Wesley	25	26	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-4	7	14.9	14.3	0.63	14.1	14.9	-0.83
Malaki Branham	33	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	3	-7	14.9	14.2	0.70	15.0	14.5	0.51
Jeremy Sochan	64	64	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.45	11	-12	23	13.6	15.9	-2.31	14.8	14.5	0.33
Devin Vassell	75	74	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.43	7	-8	15	13.9	15.9	-1.96	14.7	14.5	0.24
Julian Champagnie	62	62	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.15	-3	2	-5	14.5	14.3	0.24	15.0	14.2	0.77
Cedi Osman	41	39	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.14	-6	5	-11	15.2	13.9	1.33	13.8	15.3	-1.52
Tre Jones	75	72	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.39	-4	3	-7	14.3	14.9	-0.63	14.9	14.1	0.83
Doug McDermott	25	24	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.28	-8	7	-15	15.9	13.9	1.96	14.5	14.7	-0.24
Victor Wembanyama	60	57	-0.93	0.43	-1.37	-0.67	-9	8	-17	15.0	13.5	1.48	14.9	14.4	0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.44,0.47,0.34,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.53,0.69,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 82, WAS 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.76,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.78,0.67,0.43,0	90.9%
SAC 104, BOS 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.69,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.57,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.41,0.35,0.46,0.47,0.72,0.57,0.72,0	90.2%
SAC 95, POR 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.51,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.32,0.42,0	90.0%