NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	95		Excitement	9.6 [88]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): +34.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	94		Comeback	3.5 [247]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -21.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug Christie	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.01	6	75%	0.13	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.02
Hedo Turkoglu	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.05,-0.04,0.07	-0.02	0.09	-0.00	9	58%	0.13	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.09
Bobby Jackson	0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.21,0.07	0.05	0.04	0.01	18	55%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Gerald Wallace	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	7	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Damon Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	7	36%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,0,-0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.04	-0.18	-0.00	21	55%	-0.01	5	-0.20	2	0%	-0.10

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.35	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.00	20	73%	0.45	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.14,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	7	65%	0.11	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Dale Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	6	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	10	55%	0.08	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.12	-0.12	0.01	-0.13	0.00	11	48%	-0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.16	-0.16	0.05	-0.21	-0.00	5	71%	-0.16	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.05	-0.11	0.00	3	33%	-0.06	1	-0.10	3	33%	-0.03
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.08	-0.00	10	50%	-0.04	5	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.4	24.9	15.8	27.3	1.7	36.3	133.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +21.3%

SAC +21.1%

SAC +5.9%

POR -5.0%

SAC +6.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	POR	NBA	SAC	POR	NBA
this game	16.3	15.7	15.5	105.6	104.4	101.6
season	14.0	16.0		104.4	104.3
opponent	15.7	15.7		101.8	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	16.5	16.9	15.7	16.0	16.3
POR	12.8	16.6	16.3	17.5	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Christie	77	78	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.46	10	-9	19	15.9	18.7	-2.82	15.8	14.9	0.93
Chris Webber	80	80	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.44	8	-7	15	16.0	18.3	-2.27	15.8	15.1	0.70
Vlade Divac	65	66	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.54	-4	5	-9	16.8	14.8	1.99	15.4	16.7	-1.34
Gerald Wallace	28	29	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.07	8	-7	15	14.2	17.2	-3.05	16.6	15.3	1.22
Hedo Turkoglu	67	66	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.40	-7	8	-15	16.9	14.4	2.53	14.8	18.2	-3.39
Bobby Jackson	64	62	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.44	-9	10	-19	17.7	12.7	5.10	15.2	17.0	-1.80
Damon Jones	34	35	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	0	1	14.9	17.1	-2.24	17.5	14.6	2.84
Keon Clark	35	34	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.04	-2	3	-5	15.8	16.6	-0.74	16.2	15.4	0.82

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Davis	46	46	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.06	2	-3	5	14.9	16.5	-1.61	17.0	15.6	1.39
Zach Randolph	14	15	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-1	1	18.4	15.2	3.12	19.5	15.6	3.83
Ruben Patterson	34	33	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.12	0	-1	1	17.6	14.6	3.00	17.0	15.9	1.14
Antonio Daniels	30	30	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	5	-11	16.4	15.4	1.02	14.2	17.3	-3.17
Jeff McInnis	28	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	5	-11	16.4	15.4	1.03	14.1	17.2	-3.10
Derek Anderson	55	56	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.47	8	-9	17	15.2	16.5	-1.34	17.8	13.8	3.99
Scottie Pippen	62	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.51	5	-6	11	15.4	16.4	-1.03	17.2	14.1	3.10
Arvydas Sabonis	40	40	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-1	1	16.4	15.2	1.26	14.9	17.4	-2.53
Bonzi Wells	61	61	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.41	-4	3	-7	14.8	17.6	-2.80	15.5	17.8	-2.29
Rasheed Wallace	80	79	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.56	-4	3	-7	15.4	18.6	-3.24	16.0	18.4	-2.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.51,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.32,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 99, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.31,0.41,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.58,0.62,0.48,0.53,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.6,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.22,0.28,0	90.9%
MIN 89, CLE 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.52,0.58,0.31,0.53,0.4,0.39,0.28,0.13,0.42,0	90.6%
DET 106, GSW 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.54,0.6,0.45,0.55,0.33,0.27,0	90.3%