inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 110 Excitement5.7 [667] MVPJimmy Butler (MIA): +22.1%
Washington Wizards 102 Comeback3.0 [731] LVPJordan Poole (WAS): -10.9%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jimmy Butler0.220,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.220.130.090.001073%0.262-0.041369%0.01
Kevin Love0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.100.060.01593%0.181-0.02475%-0.00
Jaime Jaquez Jr.0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.020.01757%0.0500.0000%0.00
Josh Richardson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.020.02-0.04844%0.041-0.0000%0.00
Bam Adebayo-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.020.02-0.020.021457%0.074-0.09757%-0.02
Terry Rozier-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.001341%-0.0300.0011100%0.05
Haywood Highsmith-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.01633%-0.041-0.0100%0.00
Caleb Martin-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.010.02633%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Tyler Herro-0.070,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.031939%-0.022-0.0500%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Corey Kispert0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.200.030.051870%0.1800.0010%-0.01
Daniel Gafford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.02-0.01855%0.061-0.02475%-0.01
Delon Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.00275%0.0300.0000%0.00
Deni Avdija0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.070.010.05879%0.103-0.07367%-0.02
Johnny Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Anthony Gill00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Landry Shamet0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.010.00538%0.011-0.033100%0.01
Bilal Coulibaly0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.02-0.00445%0.011-0.043100%0.01
Tyus Jones0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01737%-0.021-0.022100%0.01
Kyle Kuzma0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.05-0.041638%-0.0500.002100%0.01
Jordan Poole0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.09-0.03-0.012136%-0.081-0.03367%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.01.833.70.230.42.437.2134.6
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +14.0%
MIA +4.5%
MIA +26.9%
MIA +1.1%
MIA +3.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAWASNBAMIAWASNBA
this game15.013.914.5111.1102.0113.9
season14.913.7112.3109.8
opponent14.114.8118.7111.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA14.914.514.816.015.0
WAS12.816.113.513.413.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Love34320.57-0.070.650.1016-82414.215.5-1.2712.114.8-2.67
Terry Rozier65640.53-0.030.560.0915-72214.915.3-0.3413.814.2-0.40
Jaime Jaquez Jr.54540.480.020.460.1910-21214.615.6-0.9413.913.90.07
Jimmy Butler72740.430.070.360.2080815.713.42.3013.515.0-1.47
Caleb Martin57590.400.100.310.2071615.214.80.4014.213.50.63
Haywood Highsmith32320.070.43-0.350.0517-614.715.2-0.4314.113.80.27
Tyler Herro65660.060.44-0.380.15-311-1414.715.7-1.0114.512.71.87
Josh Richardson50510.010.49-0.480.19-614-2015.414.70.6913.414.5-1.10
Bam Adebayo6668-0.070.57-0.640.17-816-2415.314.50.8814.812.12.67

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Daniel Gafford66660.23-0.730.96-0.1814-223614.113.60.4915.414.40.97
Delon Wright12110.17-0.670.83-0.016-142017.513.44.0815.814.90.87
Johnny Davis440.05-0.550.590.021-91012.214.0-1.7316.015.01.00
Anthony Gill10-0.05-0.450.400.04-3-523.014.0-11.020.015.0-15.04
Jordan Poole6969-0.22-0.280.06-0.13-3-5213.415.0-1.5314.815.7-0.90
Landry Shamet2825-0.23-0.270.04-0.03-7-1-615.613.22.4114.415.2-0.80
Deni Avdija7174-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.28-1-7613.315.3-2.0215.314.31.02
Kyle Kuzma7475-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.27-7-1-613.515.1-1.5815.513.61.87
Tyus Jones5454-0.49-0.01-0.49-0.05-157-2214.213.50.7214.915.3-0.41
Corey Kispert6665-0.560.06-0.61-0.38-6-2-413.514.7-1.2115.015.1-0.12
Bilal Coulibaly5552-0.600.10-0.70-0.04-1911-3014.413.31.1714.315.9-1.62


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.12,0.07,0.13,0.12,0.05,0.02,0.03,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 105, GSW 920.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.41,0.37,0.26,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.05,0,0.01,0,0,094.9%
MIL 123, BOS 1160.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.37,0.23,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.5%
PHI 97, WAS 860.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,094.0%