NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	105		Excitement	5.4 [780]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +27.2%
Golden State Warriors	92		Comeback	2.6 [256]		LVP	Draymond Green (GSW): -11.1%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Serge Ibaka	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.15	0.07	-0.01	12	80%	0.24	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.23	0.01	0.05	22	68%	0.19	0	0.00	9	100%	0.04
Marc Gasol	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.02	-0.04	8	50%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Pascal Siakam	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.03	0.04	14	53%	0.06	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.03
Patrick McCaw	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	9	44%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	12	36%	-0.05	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Danny Green	-0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	8	19%	-0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.23	0.07	0.03	18	78%	0.27	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	6	46%	0.03	4	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	0.05	22	52%	-0.00	3	-0.04	8	87%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	-0.06	6	21%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Alfonzo McKinnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Quinn Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	6	62%	0.02	5	-0.13	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	1.8	28.4	15.4	31.6	3.5	37.5	145.3
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +5.2%

TOR +21.5%

TOR +0.3%

TOR +18.4%

TOR +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	GSW	NBA	TOR	GSW	NBA
this game	16.5	13.7	14.3	109.4	96.8	109.3
season	14.3	13.4		111.5	114.5
opponent	15.0	14.5		108.9	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.4	16.7	15.0	20.3	16.5
GSW	14.4	12.8	15.0	12.4	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Green	59	59	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	0	13	16.8	16.1	0.71	13.5	13.9	-0.47
Serge Ibaka	44	44	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.16	11	2	9	16.3	16.7	-0.36	12.9	14.3	-1.39
Kawhi Leonard	82	80	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	0	13	16.4	17.1	-0.68	13.4	15.1	-1.76
Fred VanVleet	58	57	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	1	11	15.5	18.0	-2.54	14.0	13.1	0.91
Kyle Lowry	73	71	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.16	5	8	-3	17.1	14.6	2.53	13.8	13.2	0.59
Pascal Siakam	80	80	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.08	5	8	-3	17.2	12.8	4.41	14.3	10.3	4.02
Norman Powell	23	24	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.04	8	5	3	14.6	17.1	-2.53	13.2	13.8	-0.59
Marc Gasol	56	55	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	12	-11	16.5	16.5	-0.06	13.9	13.3	0.65
Patrick McCaw	5	5	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.03	-3	16	-19	16.8	16.5	0.33	9.4	13.9	-4.49

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bogut	21	22	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.06	6	-19	25	12.4	14.0	-1.57	16.5	16.5	0.07
DeMarcus Cousins	29	30	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	-9	5	15.7	12.8	2.88	15.6	16.9	-1.25
Alfonzo McKinnie	16	18	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-9	5	14.9	13.4	1.55	15.2	16.8	-1.63
Quinn Cook	15	13	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-7	1	14.4	13.5	0.89	15.7	16.6	-0.92
Andre Iguodala	74	73	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.13	-4	-9	5	13.9	13.0	0.90	17.1	14.5	2.65
Kevon Looney	40	39	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-5	-3	13.1	14.0	-0.87	17.6	15.8	1.81
Klay Thompson	85	86	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.12	-7	-6	-1	13.2	17.3	-4.08	16.8	13.7	3.11
Shaun Livingston	30	30	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	1	-15	14.4	13.3	1.14	15.3	17.0	-1.78
Stephen Curry	85	87	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	-2	-9	13.4	16.0	-2.62	16.3	17.9	-1.54
Draymond Green	80	82	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	0	-13	13.4	15.1	-1.76	16.4	17.1	-0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.41,0.37,0.26,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.05,0,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 104, MIL 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.73,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.61,0.67,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.13,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
SAC 110, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
PHI 97, WAS 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.3%