NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	108		Excitement	4.5 [895]		MVP	Devin Vassell (SAS): +11.8%
San Antonio Spurs	98		Comeback	2.7 [756]		LVP	Julian Champagnie (SAS): -9.3%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonathan Isaac	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.03	-0.05	7	57%	0.10	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	7	64%	0.08	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.04
Paolo Banchero	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.04	0.10	-0.00	0.06	18	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.03
Markelle Fultz	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	11	46%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Anthony Black	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Moritz Wagner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	56%	0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Suggs	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	9	39%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cole Anthony	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.04	7	61%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Franz Wagner	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	16	62%	0.10	6	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Vassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.04	0.03	18	57%	0.14	1	-0.02	10	70%	-0.02
Dominick Barlow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	3	87%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeremy Sochan	0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	13	67%	0.08	5	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Tre Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	5	57%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Victor Wembanyama	0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.04	0.03	15	60%	0.07	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.03
Malaki Branham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Blake Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	-0.05	6	14%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	0.05	8	50%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Julian Champagnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.8	30.0	14.4	28.4	1.8	30.0	130.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +12.5%

ORL +5.4%

ORL +15.6%

ORL +15.9%

ORL +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	SAS	NBA	ORL	SAS	NBA
this game	14.7	13.4	14.5	104.9	96.1	113.9
season	15.1	13.9		111.8	108.6
opponent	14.3	14.4		115.2	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.1	12.0	14.1	17.8	14.7
SAS	14.9	14.7	13.6	10.5	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Franz Wagner	68	66	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.26	5	5	0	15.4	13.3	2.04	13.3	13.6	-0.24
Paolo Banchero	75	73	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.04	13	-3	16	15.2	13.4	1.83	13.6	12.8	0.80
Jalen Suggs	69	67	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.03	10	0	10	15.3	13.4	1.99	13.4	13.3	0.13
Wendell Carter Jr.	53	55	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.15	4	6	-2	15.6	13.8	1.81	13.8	12.9	0.86
Anthony Black	37	37	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	6	-2	13.3	15.5	-2.21	13.4	13.4	0.01
Markelle Fultz	64	64	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	7	-4	15.5	13.3	2.18	13.3	13.6	-0.28
Jonathan Isaac	42	42	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.19	1	9	-8	13.7	15.4	-1.73	12.3	14.1	-1.82
Cole Anthony	36	36	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	7	-4	13.4	15.4	-1.96	13.5	13.3	0.15
Moritz Wagner	36	34	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	8	-6	13.6	15.3	-1.74	13.6	13.3	0.28
Joe Ingles	35	36	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.07	5	5	0	13.3	15.4	-2.04	13.6	13.3	0.24

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug McDermott	27	28	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-14	18	13.3	13.5	-0.19	14.1	14.9	-0.80
Dominick Barlow	37	36	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-8	6	13.6	13.3	0.39	15.1	14.5	0.65
Malaki Branham	34	36	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-9	8	13.7	13.3	0.41	13.2	15.5	-2.21
Jeremy Sochan	68	69	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.17	1	-11	12	13.2	13.8	-0.59	15.7	12.6	3.18
Blake Wesley	26	26	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.12	-9	-1	-8	14.3	13.1	1.16	13.7	15.0	-1.33
Cedi Osman	61	60	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	-8	6	12.5	14.7	-2.22	14.7	14.7	0.07
Tre Jones	72	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-8	6	13.0	14.4	-1.37	15.2	13.5	1.73
Julian Champagnie	42	42	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.04	-15	5	-20	14.8	12.4	2.43	13.8	15.3	-1.57
Victor Wembanyama	66	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.17	-8	-2	-6	13.3	13.6	-0.37	14.5	15.1	-0.64
Devin Vassell	77	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.00	-16	6	-22	13.5	13.1	0.43	15.0	13.8	1.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.14,0.21,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 131, ATL 113	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.11,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
NYK 90, NJN 83	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.65,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.17,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0,0,0	94.2%
CHI 101, MIA 86	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.22,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%