inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 131 Excitement3.9 [923] MVPGrayson Allen (MEM): +20.5%
Atlanta Hawks 113 Comeback3.0 [393] LVPBogdan Bogdanovic (ATL): -4.8%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Grayson Allen0.210,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.220.020.031868%0.2100.00887%0.03
Jonas Valanciunas0.130,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.010.011373%0.1300.0000%0.00
John Konchar0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.020.00-0.06387%0.082-0.00250%-0.00
Tyus Jones0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.090.010.02483%0.0700.004100%0.02
Kyle Anderson0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.120.010.071170%0.0600.001100%0.00
Dillon Brooks0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.11-0.010.07985%0.082-0.052100%0.01
Xavier Tillman0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.002100%0.021-0.0000%0.00
Ja Morant0.000,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.010.051368%0.095-0.09250%-0.01
Killian Tillie0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01350%0.0000.002100%0.00
Sean McDermott0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jontay Porter0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Desmond Bane-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.11-0.00-0.07928%-0.013-0.0400%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Snell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.100.010.013129%0.111-0.021100%0.00
Onyeka Okongwu0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.020.01-0.051250%0.0800.00250%-0.01
Brandon Goodwin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.020.00-0.05530%0.0300.0000%0.00
Kevin Huerter0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.01-0.01-0.011346%0.0200.002100%0.01
Nathan Knight0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.00850%0.0100.00250%-0.00
Skylar Mays0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02260%0.0000.001100%0.00
Bruno Fernando0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.020100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Lou Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.01-0.001254%0.042-0.0500%0.00
Solomon Hill0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.04-0.040.01953%-0.0100.001100%0.00
Trae Young0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.07-0.00-0.061739%-0.002-0.012100%0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.09-0.010.122057%-0.012-0.042100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.51.626.415.027.02.025.0121.5
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.7135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +36.8%
MEM +10.0%
MEM +8.5%
ATL -6.9%
MEM +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMATLNBAMEMATLNBA
this game13.415.114.4129.7111.9111.3
season14.014.7111.2112.8
opponent14.514.5111.4110.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM13.512.212.215.813.4
ATL15.314.916.613.515.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dillon Brooks61600.440.060.37-0.2122-42612.914.2-1.3115.913.92.07
Grayson Allen64640.390.110.28-0.2020-22213.113.9-0.8515.814.01.79
Jonas Valanciunas56570.370.130.24-0.131711612.814.1-1.3115.814.31.48
Ja Morant65650.330.170.16-0.2620-22212.914.2-1.3115.913.72.20
Kyle Anderson61600.330.170.15-0.171711613.113.9-0.7815.614.41.17
Tyus Jones36360.170.33-0.160.23-220-2214.212.91.3113.715.9-2.20
John Konchar37380.160.34-0.180.22-220-2213.913.10.7214.615.4-0.89
Xavier Tillman37370.130.37-0.24-0.05612-613.713.20.4714.415.5-1.20
Killian Tillie32320.110.39-0.270.23-422-2614.113.10.9613.615.8-2.17
Desmond Bane40420.070.43-0.36-0.10612-613.713.20.4514.115.8-1.78
Sean McDermott870.000.50-0.500.15-523-2816.113.22.9513.915.2-1.34
Jontay Porter870.000.50-0.500.15-523-2816.113.22.9513.915.2-1.34

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Skylar Mays780.00-0.500.50-0.155-232813.915.2-1.3416.113.22.95
Bruno Fernando780.00-0.500.50-0.155-232813.915.2-1.3416.113.22.95
Brandon Goodwin1920-0.14-0.360.22-0.140-181813.915.4-1.5014.313.21.18
Lou Williams4948-0.19-0.310.110.19-13-5-814.415.7-1.3214.512.42.05
Nathan Knight3840-0.20-0.300.10-0.02-6-12614.215.7-1.5214.412.81.65
Tony Snell3839-0.26-0.24-0.020.15-14-4-1014.115.7-1.6514.512.71.76
Kevin Huerter6969-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.05-8-10214.716.0-1.3512.914.5-1.56
Onyeka Okongwu6968-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.01-10-8-215.614.11.5313.213.7-0.48
Solomon Hill6160-0.34-0.16-0.170.05-13-5-816.013.82.1712.215.1-2.85
Trae Young7069-0.36-0.14-0.220.23-202-2215.913.22.7212.914.4-1.46
Bogdan Bogdanovic7876-0.43-0.07-0.370.04-16-2-1415.613.61.9412.715.4-2.65


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.11,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
OKC 105, SAC 950.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.5%
CHA 123, MEM 990.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.5%
CHI 101, MIA 860.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.22,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.4%