NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	117		Excitement	6.6 [504]		MVP	Miles Bridges (CHA): +36.0%
Charlotte Hornets	110		Comeback	3.4 [602]		LVP	Cody Martin (CHA): -15.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Coby White	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.02,0,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.01	0.01	22	66%	0.24	3	-0.06	9	78%	0.04
Ayo Dosunmu	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.06	-0.01	10	80%	0.20	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.08	-0.00	7	71%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.06	0.00	8	59%	0.11	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	10	54%	0.11	2	-0.07	8	75%	0.05
Nikola Vucevic	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	-0.02	22	48%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Julian Phillips	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Terry Taylor	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Miles Bridges	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.22	0.11	-0.03	20	71%	0.36	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.03	0.04	17	68%	0.18	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Nick Richards	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	4	83%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Miller	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	21	48%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Leaky Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nathan Mensah	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bryce McGowens	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.05	0.01	10	33%	-0.06	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	0.7	30.1	16.7	24.6	2.5	30.4	126.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +26.4%

CHI +9.6%

CHI +18.2%

CHA -0.7%

CHA -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CHA	NBA	CHI	CHA	NBA
this game	15.3	14.7	14.5	121.9	114.6	113.9
season	14.5	14.8		113.4	108.3
opponent	14.5	15.0		118.7	115.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.0	14.2	14.8	16.4	15.3
CHA	16.8	13.5	15.8	13.1	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ayo Dosunmu	76	79	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.29	18	-11	29	15.3	15.3	-0.07	15.2	12.5	2.65
Coby White	87	86	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.35	12	-5	17	15.0	18.1	-3.11	14.7	14.9	-0.21
Alex Caruso	71	72	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.13	11	-4	15	14.9	16.3	-1.39	14.1	16.4	-2.28
Andre Drummond	33	30	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.24	4	3	1	14.5	15.7	-1.14	14.7	14.7	-0.01
DeMar DeRozan	76	76	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	4	-1	15.2	15.7	-0.52	14.5	15.4	-0.87
Terry Taylor	40	37	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.18	0	7	-7	15.9	14.8	1.13	14.8	14.7	0.12
Nikola Vucevic	63	66	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.06	3	4	-1	15.7	14.5	1.14	14.7	14.7	0.01
Julian Phillips	21	22	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.01	-4	11	-15	16.0	15.1	0.91	15.3	14.5	0.79
Jevon Carter	13	12	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.05	-12	19	-31	16.8	15.1	1.71	15.0	14.7	0.33

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Frank Ntilikina	18	20	0.23	-0.73	0.95	-0.04	9	-16	25	13.9	14.9	-1.01	15.6	15.2	0.39
Nick Smith Jr.	26	28	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.17	4	-11	15	13.2	15.3	-2.13	14.9	15.5	-0.61
Ish Smith	32	31	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.09	-1	-6	5	15.0	14.6	0.39	15.1	15.4	-0.24
Miles Bridges	80	81	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.23	3	-10	13	14.4	16.1	-1.70	15.4	14.6	0.82
Cody Martin	56	57	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.17	0	-7	7	14.3	15.3	-0.97	15.4	15.2	0.23
Bryce McGowens	25	24	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.08	-9	2	-11	17.7	13.6	4.07	15.0	15.4	-0.39
Nathan Mensah	20	18	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-1	-5	14.6	14.7	-0.07	12.9	15.8	-2.89
Leaky Black	26	26	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-8	1	-9	15.6	14.4	1.19	14.2	15.7	-1.45
P.J. Washington	73	73	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.37	2	-9	11	13.8	17.7	-3.87	15.4	15.0	0.44
Nick Richards	47	47	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.05	-12	5	-17	15.3	14.2	1.11	15.8	14.8	1.05
Brandon Miller	77	75	-0.75	0.25	-0.99	-0.25	-17	10	-27	15.2	12.8	2.39	15.8	13.4	2.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.51,0.56,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.51,0.54,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.35,0.43,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.23,0.13,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 116, WAS 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.49,0.31,0.29,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.52,0.38,0.26,0.3,0.24,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0	92.7%
MIA 81, ORL 59	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.17,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	92.1%
PHX 120, NOH 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.54,0.59,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	92.1%