NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	107		Excitement	6.1 [583]		MVP	Andrew Wiggins (GSW): +27.2%
Golden State Warriors	119		Comeback	2.1 [587]		LVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): -23.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Furkan Korkmaz	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.21	0.04	0.06	8	100%	0.19	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Jaden Springer	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.05	-0.02	7	67%	0.14	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Tobias Harris	0.11	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.01	18	65%	0.17	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Danuel House Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	58%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Ricky Council IV	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Reed	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	14	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
KJ Martin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	2	29%	0.02	2	-0.06	3	0%	-0.03
Patrick Beverley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	12	46%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Joel Embiid	-0.24	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.22,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.22	-0.08	-0.06	18	37%	-0.05	8	-0.18	2	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.19	0.10	0.01	10	88%	0.29	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.28	0.04	0.07	17	95%	0.36	5	-0.12	5	100%	0.02
Jonathan Kuminga	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.04	-0.02	19	62%	0.22	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Trayce Jackson-Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.06	-0.00	5	60%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lester Quinones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandin Podziemski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	11	48%	0.08	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	-0.02	8	53%	0.03	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.03	-0.00	4	25%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	3.4	26.6	16.7	32.4	3.4	33.5	142.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +53.9%

GSW +3.5%

GSW +3.6%

PHI -2.1%

PHI -8.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	GSW	NBA	PHI	GSW	NBA
this game	15.1	14.3	14.5	110.3	120.2	113.9
season	14.9	14.3		115.6	116.2
opponent	14.4	14.5		114.1	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.8	15.9	14.8	14.9	15.1
GSW	14.1	13.5	14.0	15.8	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
KJ Martin	51	54	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.31	16	-28	44	13.3	17.1	-3.88	16.6	11.5	5.08
Jaden Springer	39	40	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.15	8	-20	28	13.6	16.1	-2.43	17.6	12.0	5.62
Paul Reed	20	20	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.03	3	-15	18	12.5	15.8	-3.27	16.2	13.8	2.38
Ricky Council IV	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-11	10	11.3	15.2	-3.88	19.3	14.1	5.19
Furkan Korkmaz	42	43	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.25	5	-17	22	14.1	15.8	-1.68	16.6	12.5	4.07
Kelly Oubre Jr.	71	73	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.01	-15	3	-18	15.3	14.4	0.91	13.8	15.8	-2.09
Tobias Harris	77	76	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.05	-15	3	-18	15.7	12.8	2.89	14.0	15.3	-1.25
Patrick Beverley	58	60	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.03	-19	7	-26	16.4	13.1	3.29	12.3	17.4	-5.04
Danuel House Jr.	62	62	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	0.01	-21	9	-30	15.8	13.9	1.84	12.5	17.4	-4.91
Joel Embiid	62	64	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.01	-21	9	-30	16.3	13.0	3.23	12.5	17.6	-5.10

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	75	72	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.08	26	-14	40	13.3	17.6	-4.33	15.4	14.3	1.10
Andrew Wiggins	79	77	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.07	18	-6	24	13.8	16.2	-2.38	15.8	12.5	3.27
Draymond Green	61	57	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.06	18	-6	24	14.0	14.8	-0.87	15.9	14.0	1.86
Brandin Podziemski	76	74	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.10	15	-3	18	13.9	15.8	-1.93	15.8	12.8	3.03
Jonathan Kuminga	81	79	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.16	10	2	8	14.0	15.5	-1.46	15.1	15.2	-0.09
Lester Quinones	23	23	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	15	-18	15.8	13.9	1.93	12.8	15.8	-3.03
Kevon Looney	18	17	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.07	-5	17	-22	13.0	14.6	-1.59	14.8	15.1	-0.33
Dario Saric	31	33	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	16	-20	17.2	13.0	4.16	14.3	15.5	-1.24
Trayce Jackson-Davis	25	26	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.05	-5	17	-22	15.2	14.0	1.25	13.6	15.6	-2.07
Cory Joseph	26	27	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.07	-10	22	-32	17.0	13.3	3.66	13.5	15.7	-2.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.7,0.61,0.67,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.73,0.9,0.91,0.98,1,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 96, IND 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.98,1,1,1	94.2%
LAL 85, OKC 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.77,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.7%
SAC 104, MIN 113	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.97,1,1,1	93.5%