NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	112		Excitement	6.7 [492]		MVP	Derrick White (BOS): +32.5%
Boston Celtics	118		Comeback	9.3 [280]		LVP	CJ McCollum (NOP): -6.2%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trey Murphy III	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.07	-0.02	14	54%	0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	0.11	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.06	0.02	24	55%	0.14	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Zion Williamson	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.00	-0.00	18	63%	0.24	3	-0.13	5	80%	-0.00
Naji Marshall	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Dyson Daniels	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hawkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Herbert Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.06	-0.07	0.02	4	112%	0.09	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.03	14	55%	0.01	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.05	0.27	0.00	14	57%	0.35	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.16	0.06	-0.01	11	77%	0.23	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Sam Hauser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.07	0.00	8	69%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.04	0.04	15	59%	0.10	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Al Horford	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	9	61%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oshae Brissett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.02	18	65%	0.15	7	-0.17	7	86%	-0.02
Neemias Queta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	1.8	24.4	15.2	31.6	2.8	30.2	128.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +37.3%

NOP -3.5%

BOS +2.9%

BOS +15.4%

NOP -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	BOS	NBA	NOP	BOS	NBA
this game	15.4	14.2	14.5	115.5	120.4	113.9
season	14.4	14.9		114.8	120.7
opponent	14.7	14.7		109.6	111.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	12.8	16.3	17.2	15.8	15.4
BOS	13.4	14.3	14.1	14.9	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Naji Marshall	36	36	0.44	-0.94	1.39	0.18	9	-15	24	15.6	15.3	0.26	15.6	13.3	2.22
Jonas Valanciunas	43	41	0.30	-0.80	1.09	0.12	6	-12	18	15.2	15.5	-0.29	14.4	14.0	0.37
Jordan Hawkins	20	19	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.12	-5	-1	-4	15.7	15.3	0.45	13.4	14.3	-0.97
Brandon Ingram	75	76	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.36	2	-8	10	14.8	17.3	-2.43	13.5	16.3	-2.73
Dyson Daniels	25	24	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.08	-8	2	-10	18.4	14.3	4.11	14.7	14.0	0.74
CJ McCollum	74	77	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-5	4	14.8	17.2	-2.39	14.8	11.9	2.92
Zion Williamson	62	63	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.27	-7	1	-8	15.2	15.8	-0.59	14.4	13.7	0.77
Trey Murphy III	55	56	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.29	-7	1	-8	15.5	15.2	0.31	14.4	13.8	0.64
Herbert Jones	58	59	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.43	-7	1	-8	14.5	16.7	-2.13	13.6	15.0	-1.45
Larry Nance Jr.	37	39	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.29	-12	6	-18	16.9	14.4	2.47	12.7	15.1	-2.47

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Horford	76	74	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.37	12	-6	18	14.0	14.6	-0.56	15.1	16.3	-1.14
Jayson Tatum	77	75	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.41	9	-3	12	14.2	14.0	0.26	15.2	16.1	-0.90
Derrick White	73	71	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.42	7	-1	8	14.2	13.9	0.37	14.8	17.0	-2.14
Jaylen Brown	75	75	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.42	6	0	6	13.6	15.9	-2.24	15.6	14.8	0.80
Sam Hauser	50	51	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	-3	12	14.3	14.0	0.38	16.7	13.9	2.85
Jrue Holiday	69	68	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.16	-4	10	-14	14.1	14.3	-0.22	14.8	16.9	-2.10
Neemias Queta	20	21	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	9	-12	14.0	14.2	-0.19	16.4	15.1	1.32
Oshae Brissett	21	20	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.15	2	4	-2	16.0	13.6	2.35	15.9	15.3	0.64
Payton Pritchard	29	30	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.07	-8	14	-22	14.1	14.2	-0.12	15.5	15.3	0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.18,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.42,0.59,0.52,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.1,0.21,0.15,0.31,0.47,0.53,0.75,0.89,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 96, ATL 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.21,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.73,0.86,0.93,0.99,0.98,1	92.2%
BKN 104, PHX 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.28,0.29,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.48,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.38,0.19,0.31,0.47,0.47,0.81,0.72,0.91,1,1	92.0%
MIN 85, LAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.22,0.15,0.24,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.69,0.96,0.96,0.98,1	91.7%