inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 96 Excitement6.8 [443] MVPJannero Pargo (ATL): +39.9%
Atlanta Hawks 104 Comeback8.6 [432] LVPLuke Ridnour (MIN): -12.1%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dante Cunningham0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.090.040.02-0.041059%0.161-0.07250%-0.01
Mickael Gelabale0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.000.003117%0.0800.0000%0.00
Andrei Kirilenko0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04-0.040.06-0.02859%0.216-0.176100%0.04
Chris Johnson0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Jose Juan Barea0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.00-0.001164%0.153-0.1400%0.00
Greg Stiemsma0.010,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.01750%0.0100.00862%-0.05
Derrick Williams-0.010,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.05-0.030.031457%0.031-0.032100%0.01
Lou Amundson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.0120%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Ricky Rubio-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.03-0.01442%-0.042-0.03475%-0.01
Luke Ridnour-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12-0.09-0.03-0.011340%-0.063-0.06450%-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jannero Pargo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.2,0.2,0.32,0.28,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.40.400.120.27-0.001173%0.4000.0000%0.00
Ivan Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.050.070.003100%0.161-0.042100%0.05
Kyle Korver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.09-0.01-0.01878%0.151-0.06250%-0.02
Anthony Tolliver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.030.012150%0.092-0.0400%0.00
Al Horford0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.030.030.040.010.022060%0.124-0.09757%-0.03
Mike Scott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.02855%0.032-0.02425%-0.06
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.020.000.001100%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Jeff Teague0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.080.050.01750%0.065-0.104100%0.03
John Jenkins0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0130%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Josh Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.020.01856%0.045-0.1420%-0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.72.525.915.625.91.734.6132.9
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +54.4%
MIN -8.4%
MIN -4.6%
ATL +9.1%
MIN -0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINATLNBAMINATLNBA
this game16.813.815.4102.1110.6104.1
season15.615.1101.3102.6
opponent15.514.9102.8103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN17.015.517.717.216.8
ATL14.314.513.612.813.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Greg Stiemsma54530.14-0.640.79-0.005-131817.416.11.3114.213.30.91
Lou Amundson10110.06-0.560.620.002-101214.917.1-2.1614.813.71.14
Chris Johnson19200.03-0.530.560.030-8815.417.2-1.8315.013.51.51
Jose Juan Barea4444-0.03-0.470.44-0.216-142017.116.60.4514.013.70.27
Mickael Gelabale3232-0.06-0.440.380.03-3-5216.816.8-0.0313.913.70.20
Andrei Kirilenko7070-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.25-6-2-416.617.5-0.9613.714.1-0.37
Dante Cunningham5151-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.21-80-816.816.9-0.1413.314.5-1.21
Ricky Rubio5050-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.06-146-2016.617.1-0.4513.714.0-0.27
Luke Ridnour6868-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.29-6-2-416.717.3-0.6113.514.7-1.27
Derrick Williams7271-0.840.34-1.17-0.37-168-2417.514.62.9213.813.9-0.08

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Josh Smith63650.76-0.261.030.2418-102813.813.9-0.0917.615.22.35
Jeff Teague67670.71-0.210.920.3313-51813.714.0-0.2216.717.1-0.39
Kyle Korver68680.66-0.160.830.1916-82413.514.6-1.1217.315.51.79
Jannero Pargo52510.450.050.400.199-11012.914.9-1.9416.517.2-0.74
Al Horford73740.400.100.290.3135-213.714.2-0.4916.518.0-1.55
Ivan Johnson13160.040.46-0.420.07-19-1014.213.80.4017.016.80.21
Zaza Pachulia3331-0.080.58-0.670.03-412-1614.413.50.8616.816.9-0.08
John Jenkins2526-0.120.62-0.740.08-715-2215.413.22.2216.716.9-0.14
Mike Scott4441-0.140.64-0.78-0.1408-814.013.60.4516.717.0-0.30
Anthony Tolliver3231-0.180.68-0.860.02-715-2214.013.70.2916.117.2-1.09


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.21,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.73,0.86,0.93,0.99,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 95, LAC 1020.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.16,0.19,0.12,0.2,0.14,0.18,0.28,0.21,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.38,0.44,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.53,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.88,0.91,0.91,191.4%
BKN 104, PHX 1120.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.28,0.29,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.48,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.38,0.19,0.31,0.47,0.47,0.81,0.72,0.91,1,191.3%
MIN 85, LAL 910.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.22,0.15,0.24,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.69,0.96,0.96,0.98,191.0%