NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	108		Excitement	6.7 [499]		MVP	Norman Powell (LAC): +16.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	118		Comeback	2.2 [416]		LVP	Paul George (LAC): -9.5%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Norman Powell	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16	0.09	0.07	-0.01	13	60%	0.16	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Kawhi Leonard	0.13	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.05	0.03	25	58%	0.16	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Amir Coffey	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	9	65%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Russell Westbrook	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	8	65%	0.12	4	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	83%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Terance Mann	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Boston Jr.	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	55%	0.04	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Daniel Theis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	11	43%	-0.05	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.04

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.09	-0.03	12	54%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.04	-0.00	21	58%	0.17	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	10	71%	0.13	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Max Strus	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.04	0.00	8	74%	0.15	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Jarrett Allen	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	9	69%	0.13	3	-0.06	11	73%	0.01
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	10	45%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Evan Mobley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.01	7	71%	0.11	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Sam Merrill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	8	37%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.5	28.6	15.3	27.5	0.2	35.5	135.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +28.8%

CLE +2.2%

CLE +11.7%

CLE +6.6%

CLE +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	CLE	NBA	LAC	CLE	NBA
this game	14.4	15.0	14.5	109.1	121.6	113.9
season	14.9	14.8		116.6	113.0
opponent	14.7	14.4		111.3	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.0	15.8	13.7	14.0	14.4
CLE	14.2	14.8	14.5	16.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Brown	1	0	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-8	6	20.0	14.3	5.68	0.0	15.0	-15.02
Brandon Boston Jr.	1	0	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-8	6	20.0	14.3	5.68	0.0	15.0	-15.02
Paul George	52	53	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-14	18	15.0	13.7	1.28	15.8	14.0	1.83
Daniel Theis	38	37	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-9	8	14.2	14.5	-0.22	13.8	15.7	-1.91
Terance Mann	39	38	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.10	-11	1	-12	15.5	13.6	1.84	14.3	15.5	-1.20
Mason Plumlee	45	45	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.07	-11	1	-12	15.0	13.8	1.19	15.0	15.1	-0.08
James Harden	77	76	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-8	6	14.7	13.4	1.30	15.9	11.9	4.04
Russell Westbrook	49	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.14	-5	-5	0	13.8	15.0	-1.18	14.3	15.7	-1.48
Amir Coffey	58	57	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.23	-5	-5	0	13.4	15.8	-2.36	15.2	14.8	0.38
Norman Powell	59	56	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.23	-6	-4	-2	13.6	15.5	-1.97	14.9	15.1	-0.18
Kawhi Leonard	76	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.20	-9	-1	-8	14.4	14.3	0.03	14.9	15.3	-0.34

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dean Wade	51	54	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.07	20	-10	30	14.1	16.0	-1.90	14.9	13.8	1.09
Donovan Mitchell	77	78	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.13	11	-1	12	15.3	13.9	1.35	14.6	13.7	0.90
Jarrett Allen	71	73	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.09	11	-1	12	15.8	12.8	2.97	14.8	13.3	1.50
Caris LeVert	49	51	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.16	8	2	6	14.1	15.9	-1.77	13.9	14.9	-0.93
Max Strus	68	69	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.08	10	0	10	15.5	13.8	1.70	14.6	13.9	0.68
Georges Niang	43	44	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.02	12	-2	14	14.1	15.7	-1.58	14.0	14.7	-0.63
Evan Mobley	45	44	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.16	-5	15	-20	14.1	15.8	-1.78	14.0	14.7	-0.71
Isaac Okoro	66	67	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.24	-8	18	-26	15.9	13.1	2.87	14.3	14.4	-0.09
Sam Merrill	15	15	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.09	-9	19	-28	14.8	15.1	-0.26	12.6	14.7	-2.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.78,0.88,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 86, CHI 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.66,0.77,0.71,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%
NOH 84, MIA 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.78,0.81,0.93,0.86,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%
NYK 81, CLE 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.44,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.52,0.65,0.52,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	93.3%