NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	104		Excitement	6.7 [477]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (CHI): +26.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	96		Comeback	1.2 [899]		LVP	Jabari Walker (POR): -14.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27	0.11	0.16	0.00	14	65%	0.27	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Andre Drummond	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.12,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.08	0.13	0.00	11	60%	0.21	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Julian Phillips	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.05	-0.01	7	61%	0.14	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jevon Carter	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	4	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	7	56%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dalen Terry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nikola Vucevic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	14	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Coby White	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.09	0.01	-0.05	19	38%	0.05	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02
Ayo Dosunmu	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	12	46%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.17	0.07	0.00	12	79%	0.24	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.06	-0.01	12	60%	0.21	2	-0.04	16	81%	0.03
Matisse Thybulle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	5	70%	0.10	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Toumani Camara	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.02	0.02	13	48%	0.06	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.04
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.06,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	15	35%	-0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Scoot Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Duop Reath	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	7	21%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Walker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	10	33%	-0.06	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	24.0	14.6	30.5	2.3	34.3	131.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +50.8%

POR -18.9%

POR -6.7%

CHI +23.0%

CHI +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	POR	NBA	CHI	POR	NBA
this game	14.7	15.6	14.5	108.3	102.1	113.9
season	14.5	14.8		113.4	106.9
opponent	14.5	15.0		116.2	115.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	12.9	13.6	15.8	16.6	14.7
POR	18.7	17.0	13.0	14.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMar DeRozan	80	78	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.24	11	-3	14	14.4	16.2	-1.74	16.2	12.7	3.49
Coby White	81	81	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.26	7	1	6	15.2	12.3	2.93	15.5	15.9	-0.39
Alex Caruso	64	65	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.27	5	3	2	14.7	14.9	-0.20	15.4	16.0	-0.60
Andre Drummond	32	32	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.22	3	5	-2	17.2	13.5	3.72	14.8	16.0	-1.22
Julian Phillips	47	44	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.15	4	4	0	15.4	14.1	1.34	15.3	15.9	-0.59
Ayo Dosunmu	68	67	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.16	1	7	-6	13.8	17.0	-3.24	15.5	15.9	-0.37
Nikola Vucevic	69	66	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	4	0	14.1	16.3	-2.17	16.0	14.7	1.24
Jevon Carter	24	20	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.00	4	4	0	14.1	14.9	-0.82	15.2	15.7	-0.43
Dalen Terry	15	17	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	7	-6	14.7	14.7	-0.01	15.5	15.6	-0.07

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toumani Camara	5	8	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.02	-1	-7	6	17.4	15.5	1.92	8.1	15.3	-7.22
Jerami Grant	72	72	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-6	4	15.2	16.9	-1.73	15.1	13.7	1.43
Deandre Ayton	72	72	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-8	8	15.4	16.3	-0.90	15.5	12.6	2.88
Malcolm Brogdon	78	78	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-5	2	15.3	17.1	-1.86	14.3	16.6	-2.30
Scoot Henderson	42	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-3	-2	16.0	15.3	0.66	14.9	14.6	0.36
Duop Reath	22	24	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.06	-8	0	-8	16.3	15.4	0.90	12.6	15.5	-2.88
Matisse Thybulle	63	65	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-5	2	14.9	16.9	-2.01	15.6	13.0	2.57
Jabari Walker	48	48	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	2	-12	16.9	14.2	2.64	14.0	15.5	-1.44
Anfernee Simons	68	68	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.28	-8	0	-8	15.7	15.2	0.49	15.2	13.6	1.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.2,0.23,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.34,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.02,0.06,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 96, OKC 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0	94.1%
DET 110, BOS 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.32,0.36,0.26,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.05,0,0,0,0	93.9%
CHH 94, MIL 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.33,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.34,0.17,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.07,0.16,0.01,0	93.6%