inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 94 Excitement6.5 [301] MVPDavid Wesley (CHH): +18.1%
Milwaukee Bucks 87 Comeback2.1 [217] LVPBobby Phills (CHH): -20.3%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
David Wesley0.180,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.180.100.08-0.011267%0.1800.0000%0.00
Chucky Brown0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.030.06-0.00669%0.131-0.054100%0.03
Eldridge Recasner0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.02-0.01662%0.112-0.09475%0.01
Eddie Jones0.010,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.02-0.011949%0.041-0.03978%-0.00
Ricky Davis-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00150%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Charles Shackleford-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Elden Campbell-0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01760%0.073-0.091100%0.00
Derrick Coleman-0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.00660%0.022-0.05862%-0.03
Chuck Person-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.00520%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Bobby Phills-0.200,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2-0.16-0.06-0.01929%-0.133-0.08683%0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ervin Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.00867%0.071-0.022100%0.01
Robert Traylor0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.020.00478%0.061-0.021100%0.01
Michael Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Tim Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Ray Allen0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.02-0.011547%0.051-0.03475%0.01
Sam Cassell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.010.001246%0.011-0.03475%-0.00
Armen Gilliam0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00440%-0.0300.002100%0.01
Haywoode Workman0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01617%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Vinny Del Negro0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.020.00250%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
Glenn Robinson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.012140%-0.0900.00683%0.01
Dell Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.04-0.01636%-0.051-0.042100%0.02
Chris Gatling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.11-0.090.00621%-0.122-0.08250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.32.326.314.826.31.630.2129.9
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHH +47.7%
CHH +7.6%
CHH +8.0%
MIL -15.8%
CHH +2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHHMILNBACHHMILNBA
this game16.814.915.8103.395.699.6
season15.715.899.2102.4
opponent16.415.5100.999.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHH14.916.019.616.816.8
MIL16.414.613.115.214.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eldridge Recasner36380.59-0.090.680.0319-123115.217.8-2.6415.414.41.01
Derrick Coleman66650.55-0.050.610.2610-31317.315.41.8615.313.81.52
Bobby Phills75740.440.060.390.3343116.816.9-0.1815.213.41.78
Eddie Jones82820.430.070.350.3434-117.213.33.8414.914.20.70
Charles Shackleford21200.210.29-0.08-0.028-1917.316.60.7015.314.70.63
Elden Campbell64650.190.31-0.110.34-512-1716.517.5-0.9815.014.50.45
Ricky Davis990.070.43-0.35-0.0443113.317.2-3.8414.214.9-0.70
Chuck Person16170.060.44-0.39-0.0334-116.916.80.1813.415.2-1.78
Chucky Brown30310.040.46-0.420.0407-716.417.0-0.6313.615.5-1.89
David Wesley5654-0.090.59-0.670.24-1118-2917.615.52.0314.315.7-1.38

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Robert Traylor27270.29-0.791.09-0.0010-172715.814.51.3116.516.9-0.39
Ervin Johnson58610.21-0.710.92-0.3519-264513.916.5-2.6018.114.04.11
Sam Cassell49490.17-0.670.84-0.078-152314.115.7-1.5917.715.72.04
Ray Allen69710.16-0.660.82-0.1410-172714.416.4-1.9917.912.75.18
Haywoode Workman20220.05-0.550.60-0.043-101316.014.51.4616.017.0-0.98
Glenn Robinson66660.02-0.520.54-0.166-131914.715.2-0.5317.913.84.18
Tim Thomas109-0.14-0.360.220.09-81-917.314.62.7413.417.2-3.71
Chris Gatling2928-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.12-103-1315.114.80.3115.117.6-2.48
Dell Curry4948-0.550.05-0.60-0.35-70-714.515.3-0.8416.617.0-0.40
Michael Curry2221-0.710.21-0.92-0.09-2114-3515.914.51.3916.017.0-1.09
Armen Gilliam2221-0.770.27-1.04-0.07-2417-4116.714.32.4712.318.1-5.80
Vinny Del Negro3432-0.810.31-1.12-0.19-2114-3515.114.70.4614.817.9-3.05


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.33,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.34,0.17,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.07,0.16,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 110, BOS 920.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.32,0.36,0.26,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.05,0,0,0,092.1%
DET 93, TOR 830.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.43,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.01,0,092.0%
NJN 93, DAL 920.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.6,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.28,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.22,0.15,091.9%