inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 104 Excitement4.6 [872] MVPShai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +12.5%
Detroit Pistons 120 Comeback2.4 [101] LVPJaylin Williams (OKC): -6.0%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0.120,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.14-0.020.002069%0.213-0.08580%-0.00
Jalen Williams0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.021656%0.0700.00450%0.00
Aaron Wiggins0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.040.01-0.08844%0.062-0.0100%0.00
Cason Wallace0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.01-0.02450%0.0400.0000%0.00
Luguentz Dort0.030,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.01560%0.0300.0000%0.00
Keyontae Johnson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.040.010.02383%0.0200.0000%0.00
Lindy Waters III0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Isaiah Joe0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01450%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Olivier Sarr0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kenrich Williams-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.01425%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Josh Giddey-0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.000.021055%0.012-0.042100%0.00
Chet Holmgren-0.030,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.001139%-0.011-0.0110%-0.01
Jaylin Williams-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.00425%-0.031-0.0300%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jalen Duren0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.130.020.041371%0.141-0.03580%0.01
Jaden Ivey0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.09-0.000.04-0.052042%0.0900.00540%-0.03
Isaiah Stewart0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.01-0.021055%0.0700.0000%0.00
Alec Burks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.01-0.03583%0.093-0.032100%0.01
Mike Muscala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.020.001150%0.0600.0000%0.00
Marcus Sasser0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.020.02967%0.0610.0000%0.00
Monte Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.00-0.01856%0.0500.0000%0.00
Ausar Thompson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.010.01753%0.0300.003100%0.02
Bojan Bogdanovic0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.01-0.011550%0.041-0.024100%0.02
Kevin Knox II0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.01-0.00-0.03560%0.032-0.0100%0.00
Killian Hayes0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01250%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.30.827.514.523.82.024.0116.0
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +20.8%
DET +7.9%
DET +11.9%
DET +6.8%
DET +2.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCDETNBAOKCDETNBA
this game13.516.014.5106.1123.7113.9
season13.914.2117.1108.4
opponent14.314.7117.6109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC11.912.516.413.713.5
DET16.613.715.618.216.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jaylin Williams27290.05-0.550.61-0.064-202413.413.6-0.2115.716.1-0.33
Keyontae Johnson22230.01-0.510.52-0.114-202416.112.83.3716.815.71.08
Olivier Sarr1010-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-171814.713.41.3118.315.72.61
Lindy Waters III1819-0.02-0.480.47-0.020-161612.813.7-0.8418.815.33.52
Kenrich Williams2726-0.03-0.470.44-0.030-161614.613.11.5315.816.0-0.26
Luguentz Dort4949-0.06-0.440.37-0.060-161613.213.8-0.5515.216.7-1.48
Isaiah Joe2422-0.12-0.380.270.03-5-11612.313.9-1.5716.715.70.99
Aaron Wiggins4142-0.24-0.260.020.08-11-5-613.813.40.4115.816.1-0.26
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander6059-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.11-6-10413.313.9-0.5715.916.0-0.07
Josh Giddey5858-0.39-0.11-0.290.05-15-1-1413.513.5-0.0515.416.8-1.36
Cason Wallace4240-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.05-13-3-1013.213.7-0.4916.815.41.43
Chet Holmgren5149-0.47-0.03-0.440.12-204-2413.813.30.5115.017.0-2.02
Jalen Williams6159-0.510.01-0.520.05-193-2212.914.5-1.6015.816.2-0.46

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alec Burks50500.460.040.43-0.0618-22016.815.01.7814.412.61.75
Ausar Thompson39400.430.070.36-0.041601615.016.6-1.6514.313.01.32
Marcus Sasser38380.400.100.30-0.071601616.415.70.7612.414.2-1.84
Jaden Ivey70710.400.100.300.021331016.215.30.9713.613.20.46
Mike Muscala20220.380.120.25-0.031421215.316.1-0.7714.913.11.73
Monte Morris27270.220.28-0.070.07511-616.016.00.0114.213.30.97
Kevin Knox II30300.130.37-0.250.01412-814.916.4-1.4812.913.8-0.94
Bojan Bogdanovic65670.110.39-0.28-0.01412-816.215.60.5913.114.5-1.36
Isaiah Stewart55540.080.42-0.340.14-218-2015.216.9-1.6712.914.2-1.32
Jalen Duren62620.060.44-0.370.04115-1416.614.71.9013.413.8-0.45
Killian Hayes2929-0.170.67-0.840.10-925-3415.516.2-0.6813.613.50.09


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 77, SAS 1040.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.32,0.32,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.86,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.89,0.87,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.8%
DET 117, DAL 1270.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.35,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.71,0.66,0.73,0.83,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,194.4%
GSW 108, MEM 1210.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.91,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,194.0%