NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	112		Excitement	6.1 [578]		MVP	Dean Wade (CLE): +12.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	100		Comeback	2.1 [288]		LVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): -16.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dean Wade	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.04	0.00	5	90%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.02	0.07	-0.05	20	51%	0.16	4	-0.07	7	86%	0.02
Georges Niang	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	5	71%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Sam Merrill	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	6	58%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damian Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.02	0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Max Strus	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	10	46%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Donovan Mitchell	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.03	27	55%	0.07	5	-0.11	4	50%	-0.02
Caris LeVert	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	10	46%	-0.01	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Isaac Okoro	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	6	19%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.07

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.06	0.00	3	100%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.00	8	67%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	13	63%	0.10	6	-0.13	9	44%	-0.05
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	2	75%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	-0.04	-0.08	24	41%	0.01	4	-0.08	6	100%	0.03
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	14	35%	-0.06	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.04	0.05	16	41%	-0.09	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.4	2.3	30.4	14.4	26.5	2.4	40.5	147.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +7.7%

CLE +8.0%

CLE +11.8%

CLE +15.2%

CLE +7.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIL	NBA	CLE	MIL	NBA
this game	14.1	13.9	14.5	108.7	97.1	113.9
season	14.8	14.3		113.0	117.0
opponent	14.3	14.7		114.8	111.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	11.1	15.0	14.2	16.5	14.1
MIL	14.1	13.8	14.6	12.8	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Allen	77	78	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.10	12	0	12	13.9	14.8	-0.89	13.8	14.0	-0.14
Donovan Mitchell	79	78	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.00	14	-2	16	14.5	12.7	1.77	13.8	13.9	-0.03
Isaac Okoro	65	64	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	0	12	14.3	13.8	0.42	14.8	12.3	2.45
Georges Niang	58	57	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.01	10	2	8	14.9	13.0	1.93	12.9	15.1	-2.23
Max Strus	74	76	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.25	1	11	-10	13.3	16.1	-2.78	14.0	13.4	0.61
Sam Merrill	38	38	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.10	5	7	-2	14.0	14.2	-0.21	13.7	13.9	-0.19
Caris LeVert	54	53	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	8	-4	14.2	14.0	0.28	12.6	15.2	-2.58
Dean Wade	44	46	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	10	-8	13.3	14.7	-1.42	15.1	12.9	2.23
Damian Jones	26	25	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	12	-12	14.8	13.9	0.89	14.0	13.8	0.14

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jae Crowder	47	47	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.23	-5	-7	2	12.9	14.6	-1.69	15.1	13.2	1.88
Giannis Antetokounmpo	78	77	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.21	8	-20	28	13.6	14.6	-0.98	14.1	14.1	0.04
Pat Connaughton	31	30	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.17	5	-17	22	13.0	14.2	-1.22	14.2	14.1	0.08
Damian Lillard	82	82	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	-5	-2	13.8	14.0	-0.12	13.9	15.0	-1.06
Bobby Portis	46	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.15	-3	-9	6	13.7	13.9	-0.21	13.7	14.5	-0.78
Cameron Payne	24	24	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-3	-6	14.1	13.8	0.30	14.5	14.0	0.57
Malik Beasley	58	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-3	-6	14.2	13.4	0.81	13.4	15.0	-1.67
Khris Middleton	75	76	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.16	-19	7	-26	14.3	12.6	1.66	14.1	14.0	0.14
Brook Lopez	74	74	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.11	-21	9	-30	14.3	12.6	1.72	14.3	13.6	0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.17,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 94, MIN 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.63,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.7%
CLE 89, BOS 77	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.52,0.42,0.29,0.24,0.15,0.29,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.6%
UTA 117, NJN 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.3%