NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	131		Excitement	9.4 [106]		MVP	Devin Booker (PHX): +53.0%
Indiana Pacers	133		Comeback	13.6 [73]		LVP	Bradley Beal (PHX): -23.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Booker	0.53	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.53	0.36	0.17	0.00	37	71%	0.63	4	-0.10	13	92%	0.04
Drew Eubanks	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	4	100%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Grayson Allen	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.01	-0.00	5	100%	0.17	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Eric Gordon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	9	67%	0.10	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Keita Bates-Diop	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chimezie Metu	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.06,-0.08	0.08	-0.15	0.01	15	67%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	-0.23	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.23,-0.23	-0.11	-0.14	-0.03	13	44%	-0.10	6	-0.13	1	100%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.4	0.40	0.12	0.29	0.01	15	66%	0.42	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.03
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.3	0.30	0.12	0.19	0.02	16	67%	0.32	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.03	0.03	13	73%	0.17	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	11	57%	0.06	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.02	-0.02	0.15	-0.16	0.00	22	66%	0.06	2	-0.08	3	33%	-0.07
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	6	38%	0.03	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Ben Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.21	-0.21	-0.04	-0.18	-0.01	14	39%	-0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.0	31.3	15.4	29.6	2.5	32.2	136.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +3.6%

PHX -13.7%

IND +41.8%

IND +20.7%

PHX -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	IND	NBA	PHX	IND	NBA
this game	13.7	13.5	14.5	124.8	124.3	113.9
season	14.6	13.8		116.1	120.0
opponent	14.7	14.4		117.4	113.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.0	11.9	13.1	17.1	13.7
IND	13.7	12.5	14.5	13.5	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Eubanks	32	37	0.38	-0.88	1.26	0.03	12	-14	26	11.8	14.5	-2.71	14.6	12.9	1.62
Keita Bates-Diop	17	19	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.01	7	-9	16	13.3	13.7	-0.44	13.4	13.5	-0.17
Josh Okogie	31	31	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.14	-1	-1	0	13.9	13.6	0.29	12.2	14.0	-1.80
Jusuf Nurkic	46	45	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.08	-3	1	-4	13.4	13.8	-0.41	13.8	13.3	0.47
Chimezie Metu	6	5	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	3	-8	19.7	13.3	6.36	8.8	13.7	-4.94
Devin Booker	81	84	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.51	1	-3	4	13.7	13.7	-0.05	13.7	12.7	1.03
Eric Gordon	66	67	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.55	0	-2	2	13.7	13.7	-0.04	13.5	13.6	-0.11
Bradley Beal	78	79	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.56	-4	2	-6	13.5	14.1	-0.55	13.0	15.0	-2.07
Grayson Allen	80	80	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.46	-8	6	-14	14.2	12.0	2.19	14.0	12.1	1.91
Kevin Durant	88	88	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.45	-9	7	-16	13.7	13.3	0.44	13.5	13.4	0.17

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pascal Siakam	71	70	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.52	9	-7	16	14.0	12.6	1.43	13.8	13.3	0.53
Andrew Nembhard	63	63	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.56	7	-5	12	14.0	12.8	1.13	13.9	13.3	0.56
Aaron Nesmith	75	74	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.54	7	-5	12	13.5	13.4	0.14	13.7	13.5	0.21
Obi Toppin	74	74	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.41	7	-5	12	12.8	15.1	-2.25	14.0	12.8	1.17
Bennedict Mathurin	46	46	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.58	-2	4	-6	13.4	13.6	-0.24	14.1	13.4	0.71
Myles Turner	40	40	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.01	-2	4	-6	13.9	13.3	0.59	13.2	14.0	-0.75
Buddy Hield	35	34	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.01	-5	7	-12	14.5	13.0	1.46	11.1	14.9	-3.77
Ben Sheppard	40	38	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.16	-1	3	-4	12.4	14.1	-1.68	15.3	12.8	2.50
T.J. McConnell	44	42	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.12	-5	7	-12	12.8	14.0	-1.13	13.3	13.9	-0.56
Jalen Smith	47	44	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.12	-5	7	-12	13.8	13.3	0.50	13.3	13.9	-0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.29,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.24,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.09,0.19,0.17,0.11,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.41,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 107, ORL 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.14,0.27,0.3,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.41,1	91.7%
ORL 109, MIL 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.42,1	90.8%
MEM 105, PHI 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.41,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.13,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.05,0.26,0.19,0.45,0.23,0.27,1	90.6%