NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	148		Excitement	6.9 [445]		MVP	Luka Doncic (DAL): +74.5%
Atlanta Hawks	143		Comeback	1.8 [429]		LVP	Derrick Jones Jr. (DAL): -0.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luka Doncic	0.75	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.75	0.61	0.17	0.04	33	89%	0.82	4	-0.07	16	94%	0.06
Dante Exum	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.08	-0.01	6	64%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Green	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07	0.11	-0.00	0.04	12	81%	0.16	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Richaun Holmes	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	64%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jaden Hardy	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Dereck Lively II	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	12	46%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Derrick Jones Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Johnson	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.23	0.03	0.03	12	89%	0.22	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Garrison Mathews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	2	133%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Trae Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.01	0.04	18	64%	0.17	2	-0.06	11	91%	0.05
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	-0.01	-0.03	22	52%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	13	57%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	18	58%	0.11	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.04
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	7	59%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Patty Mills	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.4	26.4	15.4	30.3	1.8	41.6	144.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +49.9%

DAL +2.5%

DAL +4.4%

ATL -10.1%

DAL +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	ATL	NBA	DAL	ATL	NBA
this game	12.8	14.0	14.5	137.0	133.6	113.9
season	14.2	14.2		116.2	115.7
opponent	14.3	14.4		118.0	114.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.3	13.1	10.7	13.2	12.8
ATL	13.9	15.2	15.2	12.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dereck Lively II	63	61	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.23	16	-11	27	12.5	13.2	-0.68	13.9	14.3	-0.43
Luka Doncic	100	100	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.30	13	-8	21	12.7	13.6	-0.93	14.2	11.7	2.49
Josh Green	79	77	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.31	9	-4	13	12.7	12.8	-0.05	14.3	13.4	0.93
Dante Exum	60	61	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.24	2	3	-1	13.0	12.5	0.47	13.3	15.0	-1.69
Grant Williams	62	62	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.14	5	0	5	13.0	12.5	0.49	14.4	13.6	0.75
Tim Hardaway Jr.	74	74	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.38	-5	10	-15	12.5	13.3	-0.74	13.2	16.0	-2.79
Richaun Holmes	31	32	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	8	-11	12.0	13.1	-1.06	15.2	13.6	1.60
Derrick Jones Jr.	39	38	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.04	-2	7	-9	14.0	12.1	1.94	14.7	13.7	0.96
Jaden Hardy	32	30	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.13	-10	15	-25	12.5	12.9	-0.32	14.2	14.0	0.18

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrison Mathews	31	30	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.07	5	-10	15	15.1	13.6	1.45	12.7	12.8	-0.04
Trae Young	76	76	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.31	9	-14	23	13.1	16.4	-3.31	13.1	12.0	1.03
Onyeka Okongwu	51	51	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-7	9	15.1	13.1	2.03	12.5	12.9	-0.40
Bogdan Bogdanovic	60	60	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.23	3	-8	11	14.8	13.1	1.70	12.6	12.9	-0.32
Jalen Johnson	83	84	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.36	6	-11	17	13.6	15.5	-1.83	13.1	11.5	1.62
Patty Mills	11	13	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.01	-8	3	-11	15.5	13.9	1.58	11.5	12.9	-1.39
Clint Capela	56	57	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.21	-7	2	-9	13.1	15.1	-2.03	12.9	12.5	0.40
Saddiq Bey	84	85	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.22	-14	9	-23	14.1	13.9	0.21	12.7	12.9	-0.20
Dejounte Murray	83	84	-0.84	0.34	-1.17	-0.22	-21	16	-37	14.2	13.6	0.59	12.5	13.8	-1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.28,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.06,0.12,0.07,0.19,0.05,0.09,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 92, ATL 79	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.39,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.03,0.02,0.03,0,0	94.1%
NJN 114, NYK 96	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,0	93.8%
ORL 88, PHI 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.28,0.33,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.07,0.06,0,0	93.4%