inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 148 Excitement6.9 [455] MVPLuka Doncic (DAL): +74.5%
Atlanta Hawks 143 Comeback1.8 [444] LVPDerrick Jones Jr. (DAL): -0.7%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luka Doncic0.750,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.750.610.170.043389%0.824-0.071694%0.06
Dante Exum0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.12,0.120.030.08-0.01664%0.141-0.02250%-0.01
Josh Green0.070,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.070.11-0.000.041281%0.163-0.09250%-0.01
Richaun Holmes0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Grant Williams0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00664%0.061-0.032100%0.01
Jaden Hardy0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.01-0.00650%0.0300.00475%-0.00
Dereck Lively II0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.01756%0.051-0.02250%-0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.02-0.020.03-0.011246%0.062-0.044100%0.01
Derrick Jones Jr.-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.010.001100%0.021-0.0300%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jalen Johnson0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.220.220.230.030.031289%0.2200.00475%-0.01
Garrison Mathews0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.100.020.002133%0.1200.002100%0.02
Trae Young0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.110.110.130.010.041864%0.172-0.061191%0.05
Bogdan Bogdanovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.08-0.01-0.032252%0.1000.002100%0.02
Saddiq Bey0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.010.011357%0.0700.002100%-0.00
Dejounte Murray0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.020.020.03-0.02-0.011858%0.113-0.08250%-0.04
Onyeka Okongwu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.010.00557%0.041-0.024100%0.02
Clint Capela0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.010.010.03-0.010.02759%0.021-0.02367%-0.00
Patty Mills00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.32.426.415.430.31.841.6144.2
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +49.9%
DAL +2.5%
DAL +4.4%
ATL -10.1%
DAL +3.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALATLNBADALATLNBA
this game12.814.014.5137.0133.6113.9
season14.314.2115.6115.7
opponent14.314.6118.0113.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL14.313.110.713.212.8
ATL13.915.215.212.014.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dereck Lively II63610.70-0.200.890.2316-112712.513.2-0.6813.914.3-0.43
Luka Doncic1001000.68-0.180.860.3013-82112.713.6-0.9314.211.72.49
Josh Green79770.58-0.080.650.319-41312.712.8-0.0514.313.40.93
Dante Exum60610.300.200.100.2423-113.012.50.4713.315.0-1.69
Grant Williams62620.280.220.060.1450513.012.50.4914.413.60.75
Tim Hardaway Jr.74740.230.27-0.040.38-510-1512.513.3-0.7413.216.0-2.79
Richaun Holmes3132-0.010.51-0.520.08-38-1112.013.1-1.0615.213.61.60
Derrick Jones Jr.3938-0.100.60-0.69-0.04-27-914.012.11.9414.713.70.96
Jaden Hardy3230-0.160.66-0.820.13-1015-2512.512.9-0.3214.214.00.18

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Garrison Mathews31300.07-0.570.65-0.075-101515.113.61.4512.712.8-0.04
Trae Young7676-0.05-0.450.40-0.319-142313.116.4-3.3113.112.01.03
Onyeka Okongwu5151-0.09-0.410.32-0.152-7915.113.12.0312.512.9-0.40
Bogdan Bogdanovic6060-0.14-0.360.21-0.233-81114.813.11.7012.612.9-0.32
Jalen Johnson8384-0.19-0.310.13-0.366-111713.615.5-1.8313.111.51.62
Patty Mills1113-0.23-0.270.050.01-83-1115.513.91.5811.512.9-1.39
Clint Capela5657-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.21-72-913.115.1-2.0312.912.50.40
Saddiq Bey8485-0.630.13-0.76-0.22-149-2314.113.90.2112.712.9-0.20
Dejounte Murray8384-0.840.34-1.17-0.22-2116-3714.213.60.5912.513.8-1.33


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.28,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.06,0.12,0.07,0.19,0.05,0.09,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 92, ATL 790.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.39,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.03,0.02,0.03,0,094.1%
NJN 114, NYK 960.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,093.8%
ORL 88, PHI 780.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.28,0.33,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.07,0.06,0,093.4%