NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	96		Excitement	6.8 [464]		MVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN): +18.8%
Brooklyn Nets	94		Comeback	1.9 [725]		LVP	Anthony Edwards (MIN): -15.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.10	0.08	-0.00	15	84%	0.33	6	-0.15	2	50%	-0.03
Rudy Gobert	0.13	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.13	-0.00	0.13	-0.00	9	50%	0.17	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	4	60%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Conley	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	71%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jaden McDaniels	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.03	-0.00	6	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan McLaughlin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	37%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Naz Reid	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	7	36%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Edwards	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.16	-0.04	-0.11	0.01	23	46%	-0.10	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.02

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nic Claxton	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	-0.02	0.02	10	80%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	15	62%	0.19	5	-0.13	10	100%	0.13
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.02	0.02	0.10	-0.08	0.00	10	67%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	37%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.11	-0.02	18	51%	-0.00	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.23
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lonnie Walker IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	3.4	26.4	14.7	24.0	2.5	38.2	134.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +44.8%

BKN -4.9%

MIN +19.2%

BKN -3.6%

BKN -5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	BKN	NBA	MIN	BKN	NBA
this game	15.7	15.4	14.5	104.3	101.1	113.9
season	14.8	14.8		114.5	111.9
opponent	14.5	14.6		114.7	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.7	14.4	17.1	16.8	15.7
BKN	14.2	15.6	14.8	17.5	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gobert	61	60	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.35	3	-1	4	16.4	14.4	2.02	15.7	14.9	0.82
Mike Conley	61	60	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.40	1	1	0	16.3	14.6	1.68	15.8	14.8	1.01
Jaden McDaniels	62	62	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.32	2	0	2	16.5	14.0	2.57	15.5	15.3	0.18
Kyle Anderson	37	37	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.37	-1	3	-4	13.6	17.1	-3.56	15.4	15.4	-0.01
Naz Reid	45	46	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.02	8	-6	14	14.4	17.0	-2.58	15.0	15.9	-0.83
Anthony Edwards	67	68	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.37	-5	7	-12	16.1	14.7	1.39	15.5	15.3	0.17
Jordan McLaughlin	22	22	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.00	7	-5	12	15.5	15.8	-0.26	14.8	15.6	-0.88
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	34	36	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	1	0	14.1	16.7	-2.60	15.2	15.6	-0.45
Karl-Anthony Towns	71	74	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.26	-6	8	-14	16.3	13.6	2.75	15.4	15.5	-0.11

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dorian Finney-Smith	68	67	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.14	1	-3	4	15.4	15.4	0.00	16.5	13.5	2.99
Dennis Smith Jr.	33	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	1	-4	14.4	16.0	-1.67	14.7	16.2	-1.59
Nic Claxton	73	72	-0.20	-0.29	0.09	-0.26	2	-4	6	15.8	14.2	1.58	16.5	12.8	3.70
Cam Thomas	54	54	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.42	6	-8	14	15.7	15.1	0.54	15.6	15.9	-0.34
Royce O'Neale	38	37	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-1	0	14.2	16.3	-2.08	14.2	16.7	-2.57
Mikal Bridges	66	66	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.36	2	-4	6	15.7	14.9	0.73	16.3	14.1	2.26
Lonnie Walker IV	30	29	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.01	-12	10	-22	15.1	15.6	-0.45	13.2	16.8	-3.63
Spencer Dinwiddie	60	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.41	1	-3	4	16.0	14.4	1.67	16.2	14.7	1.59
Cameron Johnson	43	43	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.30	-6	4	-10	15.6	15.3	0.22	15.3	16.1	-0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.22,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.28,0.15,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 75, LAC 73	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.25,0.13,0.17,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.17,0.14,0.22,0.1,0.42,0	92.7%
SAS 90, MIN 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.17,0.25,0.15,0.04,0.16,0	92.0%
ORL 115, UTA 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.01,0.27,0	91.6%