NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	115		Excitement	6.9 [461]		MVP	Jerami Grant (POR): +23.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	118		Comeback	1.7 [219]		LVP	Bennedict Mathurin (IND): -17.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Myles Turner	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.17	0.23	-0.00	0.06	17	78%	0.20	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Buddy Hield	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.04	-0.01	13	69%	0.18	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Haliburton	0.13	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.13	0.12	0.05	0.03	14	57%	0.13	0	0.00	9	78%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	14	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.06
Aaron Nesmith	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	9	60%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Jalen Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	58%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ben Sheppard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Bennedict Mathurin	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.02	8	11%	-0.10	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerami Grant	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.12	0.07	-0.04	28	55%	0.24	1	-0.01	11	73%	-0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.16	0.05	0.01	18	65%	0.22	1	-0.03	10	100%	0.05
Scoot Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Matisse Thybulle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kris Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	2	125%	0.12	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Duop Reath	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jabari Walker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	0.01	11	46%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Justin Minaya	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toumani Camara	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	15	40%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	29.0	14.0	29.3	2.5	43.7	146.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +16.3%

POR +11.9%

POR +4.3%

POR +11.6%

POR +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	POR	NBA	IND	POR	NBA
this game	13.2	15.0	14.5	112.7	115.7	113.9
season	13.8	14.8		120.0	106.9
opponent	14.5	14.7		116.2	117.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.9	15.3	12.6	11.2	13.2
POR	13.3	15.3	15.7	15.9	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Nesmith	61	59	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.38	15	-18	33	11.1	16.3	-5.24	16.7	12.7	4.03
Pascal Siakam	71	75	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.47	17	-20	37	11.2	17.8	-6.66	16.1	12.1	3.97
Tyrese Haliburton	74	75	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.48	16	-19	35	12.0	16.5	-4.49	15.5	13.7	1.80
Buddy Hield	76	79	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.49	11	-14	25	11.8	17.3	-5.56	16.1	11.3	4.75
Myles Turner	72	72	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.40	6	-9	15	12.7	14.5	-1.83	15.6	13.6	1.98
Jalen Smith	30	30	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	6	-15	14.5	12.7	1.83	13.6	15.6	-1.98
Ben Sheppard	23	20	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.09	-15	12	-27	17.5	11.9	5.57	11.3	15.9	-4.64
Obi Toppin	25	23	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.05	-16	13	-29	18.7	11.4	7.30	11.1	16.2	-5.03
T.J. McConnell	28	27	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.07	-19	16	-35	16.5	12.0	4.49	13.7	15.5	-1.80
Bennedict Mathurin	50	50	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.04	-21	18	-39	16.1	10.5	5.60	13.0	16.9	-3.90

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Duop Reath	36	37	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.01	18	-15	33	12.6	16.4	-3.78	16.9	11.1	5.83
Jerami Grant	90	90	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.43	2	1	1	15.2	13.6	1.64	13.3	12.3	0.99
Jabari Walker	88	90	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.40	3	0	3	15.3	13.2	2.10	12.6	18.1	-5.53
Toumani Camara	40	37	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	-8	19	13.0	16.4	-3.38	15.1	12.1	2.94
Malcolm Brogdon	81	79	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.43	-7	10	-17	16.4	9.7	6.75	11.7	18.2	-6.47
Kris Murray	29	31	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.03	8	-5	13	12.4	16.1	-3.70	16.5	11.8	4.66
Scoot Henderson	15	16	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.07	8	-5	13	9.5	16.0	-6.44	20.2	11.9	8.35
Matisse Thybulle	62	62	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.42	-14	17	-31	16.2	13.2	2.93	10.8	17.0	-6.20
Justin Minaya	5	4	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	3	-3	12.0	15.2	-3.19	18.7	13.0	5.77
Deandre Ayton	64	64	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.35	-14	17	-31	16.9	11.9	4.95	11.2	16.6	-5.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.75,0.8,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.88,0.76,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 86, HOU 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.84,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,1,1,1	94.4%
MIN 96, LAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%
CHI 102, DET 118	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.68,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.87,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	93.8%