inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 102 Excitement6.1 [579] MVPZach LaVine (CHI): +24.9%
Detroit Pistons 118 Comeback1.4 [521] LVPCoby White (CHI): -8.0%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zach LaVine0.250,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.250.020.023369%0.324-0.07875%0.01
Nikola Vucevic0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.02-0.011152%0.071-0.021100%0.00
DeMar DeRozan0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.07-0.010.051361%0.041-0.02786%0.01
Julian Phillips0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Terry Taylor0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dalen Terry0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ayo Dosunmu-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.02-0.00-0.02736%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Alex Caruso-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jevon Carter-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00625%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Torrey Craig-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.00729%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Patrick Williams-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.01-0.0130%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Andre Drummond-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.00617%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Coby White-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.0240%-0.071-0.0100%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jalen Duren0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.220.180.050.021185%0.241-0.025100%0.03
Alec Burks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.130.010.001272%0.1500.0010%-0.02
Marvin Bagley III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.07-0.010.00869%0.0600.0000%0.00
Jaden Ivey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.04-0.00658%0.092-0.0500%0.00
Cade Cunningham0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.060.031956%0.196-0.17786%0.02
Marcus Sasser0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.000.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Stanley Umude00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joe Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.020.00275%0.021-0.0400%0.00
Isaiah Stewart0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.010.011445%0.032-0.06367%0.01
Killian Hayes0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.01-0.010.04560%-0.031-0.0100%0.00
Ausar Thompson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.020.01750%-0.002-0.06475%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.10.724.414.731.71.732.5128.8
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +56.8%
DET +5.7%
DET +21.5%
CHI -27.7%
CHI -6.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIDETNBACHIDETNBA
this game15.415.114.5108.5124.2113.9
season14.514.2113.4108.4
opponent14.315.0117.6115.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI16.316.115.314.115.4
DET15.715.214.714.715.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Patrick Williams40410.06-0.560.62-0.064-202415.515.40.1516.514.02.55
Julian Phillips220.00-0.500.500.000-161610.015.5-5.5319.515.04.53
Terry Taylor220.00-0.500.500.000-161610.015.5-5.5319.515.04.53
Dalen Terry220.00-0.500.500.000-161610.015.5-5.5319.515.04.53
Jevon Carter2626-0.17-0.330.15-0.03-5-11616.714.91.7713.115.8-2.73
Andre Drummond2729-0.22-0.280.06-0.07-5-11616.914.82.0713.715.7-1.98
Coby White5354-0.23-0.270.050.07-10-6-415.015.9-0.9116.113.82.30
Ayo Dosunmu3031-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.08-6-10415.715.30.3714.115.5-1.48
Zach LaVine7275-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.02-8-8015.116.5-1.4815.513.32.23
Nikola Vucevic6564-0.28-0.22-0.060.04-11-5-615.016.4-1.4415.514.11.48
DeMar DeRozan6362-0.29-0.21-0.090.03-11-5-615.714.90.8115.414.40.98
Torrey Craig4546-0.41-0.10-0.31-0.05-12-4-816.214.71.5113.516.5-3.03
Alex Caruso4341-0.44-0.06-0.390.02-160-1614.716.0-1.2414.315.7-1.40

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alec Burks52520.62-0.120.740.0619-32213.417.0-3.5815.615.20.32
Marvin Bagley III28270.400.100.310.11106414.915.1-0.2415.415.4-0.01
Isaiah Stewart64650.370.130.25-0.1317-11816.013.22.8215.714.80.90
Jaden Ivey45420.310.190.110.16511-614.415.6-1.1814.716.0-1.31
Cade Cunningham80780.290.210.08-0.00106415.313.81.5015.415.30.12
Ausar Thompson61620.180.32-0.140.00610-415.314.60.6515.714.90.72
Marcus Sasser11110.120.38-0.260.06214-1212.615.4-2.7416.015.30.66
Jalen Duren67670.100.40-0.31-0.08610-415.114.90.2415.415.40.01
Joe Harris23210.090.41-0.330.06115-1413.415.6-2.2115.015.5-0.60
Killian Hayes43440.020.48-0.46-0.1879-216.813.63.2415.515.30.25
Stanley Umude110.000.50-0.500.09-319-2224.015.09.031.015.6-14.57


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.68,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.87,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 114, TOR 1250.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.55,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.81,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,194.4%
MIN 96, LAL 1060.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,194.1%
UTA 89, NOH 960.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.84,0.81,0.77,0.69,0.76,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.69,0.71,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,193.9%