NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	89		Excitement	5.2 [759]		MVP	Steven Smith (NOH): +11.3%
New Orleans Hornets	96		Comeback	1.5 [929]		LVP	Carlos Arroyo (UTA): -11.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarron Collins	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	9	75%	0.10	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Raul Lopez	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	54%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mo Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Handlogten	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.02
Matt Harpring	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	17	53%	0.02	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	13	52%	0.02	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Greg Ostertag	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	5	50%	0.00	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Curtis Borchardt	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	43%	-0.03	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	10	41%	-0.02	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.00	6	79%	0.11	0	0.00	7	100%	0.05
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	150%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	75%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.08	0.03	-0.06	21	46%	0.08	3	-0.07	8	62%	-0.03
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	13	52%	0.05	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.05
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	10	50%	-0.04	4	-0.06	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.6	2.6	28.2	16.0	28.2	2.4	35.4	133.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +37.0%

UTA -4.6%

NOH +1.6%

NOH +13.5%

NOH +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NOH	NBA	UTA	NOH	NBA
this game	17.0	16.3	15.7	102.3	111.6	100.5
season	17.2	16.0		99.4	99.3
opponent	15.7	15.2		99.4	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.8	21.1	15.2	16.4	17.0
NOH	13.5	14.2	17.5	20.7	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Williams	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-13	19	8.0	17.4	-9.43	22.5	16.0	6.51
Ben Handlogten	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-13	19	8.0	17.4	-9.43	22.5	16.0	6.51
Sasha Pavlovic	11	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.10	2	-9	11	15.8	17.2	-1.35	16.2	16.3	-0.12
DeShawn Stevenson	54	54	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.32	9	-16	25	15.9	18.8	-2.98	16.5	15.9	0.66
Greg Ostertag	59	59	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.13	-3	-4	1	16.6	17.9	-1.32	16.0	16.9	-0.82
Raul Lopez	25	26	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.05	-6	-1	-5	19.6	16.0	3.65	17.2	15.9	1.35
Matt Harpring	67	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-3	-1	16.9	17.3	-0.45	16.0	17.2	-1.18
Carlos Arroyo	58	56	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.07	-7	0	-7	16.5	18.0	-1.50	15.4	17.9	-2.52
Curtis Borchardt	24	23	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.01	-10	3	-13	19.5	16.0	3.51	15.9	16.4	-0.57
Raja Bell	31	28	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	2	-11	17.3	16.8	0.50	17.4	15.8	1.58
Jarron Collins	29	31	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.17	-8	1	-9	19.1	15.9	3.21	16.7	16.1	0.66
Andrei Kirilenko	69	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.09	-11	4	-15	17.1	16.5	0.63	15.7	18.3	-2.58

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	77	79	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.23	10	-3	13	16.2	17.0	-0.79	17.3	14.1	3.17
Darrell Armstrong	35	35	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.09	12	-5	17	17.1	15.8	1.29	18.3	16.2	2.10
Steven Smith	37	38	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	3	1	17.1	15.7	1.43	17.7	16.4	1.31
Sean Rooks	28	29	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.09	9	-2	11	17.6	15.6	2.00	18.9	16.0	2.90
David West	28	25	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	1	5	17.4	15.8	1.63	19.2	16.1	3.09
P.J. Brown	62	65	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.12	7	0	7	15.7	17.8	-2.14	16.5	18.5	-2.01
Jamaal Magloire	58	58	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.21	-2	9	-11	15.6	17.6	-2.00	16.0	18.9	-2.90
George Lynch	49	50	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	5	-3	15.2	17.7	-2.53	16.7	17.5	-0.80
David Wesley	60	60	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.27	-8	15	-23	15.9	17.1	-1.13	15.9	19.5	-3.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.84,0.81,0.77,0.69,0.76,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.69,0.71,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 90, GSW 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.95,1,1,1	94.6%
CHI 81, IND 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1	94.4%
NOH 96, HOU 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.73,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.2%