NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	126		Excitement	5.5 [702]		MVP	Kevin Huerter (SAC): +24.6%
Sacramento Kings	121		Comeback	1.4 [241]		LVP	Malik Monk (SAC): -6.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Smith	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.02	0.02	7	94%	0.15	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Obi Toppin	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.03	-0.01	6	83%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.02	14	65%	0.16	4	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Jarace Walker	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.02	13	58%	0.09	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	9	60%	0.07	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bennedict Mathurin	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	21	58%	0.09	3	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Myles Turner	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.02	12	58%	0.08	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.00
Ben Sheppard	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	5	58%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25	0.25	0.24	0.04	0.03	17	86%	0.28	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Keegan Murray	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.03	0.03	18	66%	0.16	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Sasha Vezenkov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	3	87%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Keon Ellis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.04	0.02	13	62%	0.03	3	-0.06	8	62%	-0.03
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.03	0.05	20	49%	-0.04	1	-0.01	9	56%	-0.06
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	9	37%	-0.05	1	-0.02	6	17%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	30.9	14.8	29.1	1.6	39.1	144.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +34.3%

IND +8.7%

SAC -0.6%

IND +6.0%

IND +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	SAC	NBA	IND	SAC	NBA
this game	16.4	12.4	14.5	126.0	121.0	113.9
season	13.8	14.0		120.0	115.6
opponent	14.8	14.7		113.6	117.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.9	15.4	16.3	16.9	16.4
SAC	13.7	12.9	12.5	10.8	12.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Obi Toppin	50	49	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.01	21	-16	37	16.3	16.5	-0.20	12.9	12.0	0.94
Buddy Hield	75	75	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.34	5	0	5	16.2	16.7	-0.48	12.7	11.7	0.96
Ben Sheppard	59	60	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.05	14	-9	23	16.4	16.4	-0.01	12.5	12.3	0.15
Bennedict Mathurin	77	80	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.36	-1	6	-7	16.4	16.2	0.24	12.2	13.4	-1.26
Jalen Smith	50	51	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.06	8	-3	11	15.3	17.4	-2.04	14.2	10.6	3.66
Jarace Walker	42	41	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.29	-1	6	-7	16.7	16.1	0.65	11.2	13.3	-2.07
Myles Turner	69	66	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.27	-8	13	-21	16.5	16.1	0.43	12.2	12.9	-0.71
Isaiah Jackson	9	9	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	3	-1	18.9	16.1	2.78	12.4	12.4	0.00
T.J. McConnell	69	69	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.44	-15	20	-35	16.6	15.9	0.62	11.7	14.1	-2.35

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harrison Barnes	48	48	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-5	5	12.9	12.0	0.92	15.5	17.2	-1.73
Alex Len	10	10	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.09	-5	0	-5	12.7	12.4	0.29	16.1	16.4	-0.29
Keon Ellis	3	4	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	-1	-3	15.7	12.3	3.33	15.5	16.4	-0.90
Sasha Vezenkov	19	21	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.00	-6	1	-7	14.5	12.0	2.51	16.9	16.2	0.69
De'Aaron Fox	84	83	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.28	3	-8	11	12.4	12.7	-0.29	16.1	17.5	-1.34
Keegan Murray	82	80	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.52	10	-15	25	12.0	14.4	-2.38	16.7	15.1	1.58
Trey Lyles	35	36	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	4	-13	14.0	11.6	2.40	18.0	15.4	2.56
Kevin Huerter	83	82	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.31	-3	-2	-1	12.1	14.1	-2.02	16.0	18.0	-2.00
Domantas Sabonis	82	81	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.33	-4	-1	-3	12.1	13.8	-1.63	16.2	17.2	-1.05
Malik Monk	54	55	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.31	-7	2	-9	11.8	13.2	-1.48	16.7	16.0	0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.36,0.31,0.39,0.3,0.16,0.23,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.12,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 96, WAS 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0	94.7%
UTA 103, WAS 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
NOP 113, OKC 80	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.31,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.29,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%