NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	103		Excitement	6.8 [465]		MVP	Luke Kennard (MEM): +30.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	118		Comeback	3.1 [797]		LVP	Santi Aldama (MEM): -9.2%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Kennard	0.31	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.17	0.11	-0.03	9	95%	0.31	1	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.19	0.00	0.01	23	71%	0.25	3	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01
Vince Williams Jr.	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	8	56%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
John Konchar	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	2	125%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Roddy	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.02	7	44%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Ziaire Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.01	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
GG Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	12%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jacob Gilyard	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Tillman	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	11	45%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Santi Aldama	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	14	42%	-0.02	2	-0.07	3	33%	-0.05

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.14	0.15	0.01	11	77%	0.27	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.16	0.08	0.02	13	77%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.02,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.07	0.03	19	64%	0.22	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	0.00	5	70%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.04	0.02	12	52%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Luka Garza	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wendell Moore Jr.	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	10	57%	0.06	3	-0.09	10	70%	-0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jordan McLaughlin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	0.03	9	61%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.7	28.3	15.7	31.2	3.4	28.6	134.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +41.5%

MIN +2.1%

MIN +4.3%

MEM -5.0%

MIN +7.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	MIN	NBA	MEM	MIN	NBA
this game	14.8	15.2	14.5	107.3	122.9	113.9
season	14.8	14.9		106.3	114.4
opponent	14.7	14.3		108.3	113.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.3	12.4	15.2	16.6	14.8
MIN	14.7	14.2	15.4	16.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Konchar	52	53	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.25	14	-29	43	13.6	16.2	-2.56	17.0	13.0	4.04
Luke Kennard	62	60	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.01	4	-19	23	13.9	16.4	-2.50	17.0	12.2	4.86
Vince Williams Jr.	68	68	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.14	-8	-7	-1	14.4	15.7	-1.38	16.1	13.0	3.10
Xavier Tillman	72	70	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.04	-2	-13	11	14.6	15.4	-0.81	15.4	14.7	0.68
Santi Aldama	47	50	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.07	-2	-13	11	15.1	14.4	0.66	15.4	15.0	0.40
Jaren Jackson Jr.	53	54	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	-5	-5	14.6	15.0	-0.46	16.1	14.1	2.02
David Roddy	47	45	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.03	-13	-2	-11	15.1	14.4	0.74	14.7	15.7	-0.98
Jacob Gilyard	28	28	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.20	-7	-8	1	15.7	14.4	1.38	13.0	16.1	-3.10
GG Jackson	24	25	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	0.08	-25	10	-35	17.0	14.0	3.03	10.0	17.1	-7.12
Ziaire Williams	27	27	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.03	-26	11	-37	16.7	14.0	2.74	10.8	17.0	-6.19

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gobert	74	75	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.06	20	-5	25	16.3	11.7	4.60	15.1	13.5	1.60
Naz Reid	50	47	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.13	16	-1	17	13.6	17.0	-3.36	16.0	13.6	2.41
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	51	51	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	2	11	13.8	16.8	-3.00	15.7	13.7	1.95
Mike Conley	56	56	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.15	11	4	7	16.7	13.1	3.56	14.7	14.9	-0.26
Jaden McDaniels	67	68	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.28	5	10	-5	16.8	11.5	5.32	14.5	15.3	-0.78
Anthony Edwards	67	67	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.16	10	5	5	16.0	13.5	2.45	14.6	15.2	-0.67
Luka Garza	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	23.0	15.1	7.85	10.0	14.8	-4.82
Wendell Moore Jr.	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	23.0	15.1	7.85	10.0	14.8	-4.82
Kyle Anderson	35	34	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.19	5	10	-5	12.4	16.8	-4.41	14.5	14.9	-0.37
Jordan McLaughlin	18	18	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	19	-23	11.8	16.0	-4.18	13.3	15.1	-1.84
Karl-Anthony Towns	60	62	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.09	-1	16	-17	14.8	15.9	-1.01	14.0	16.3	-2.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.37,0.5,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.48,0.57,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 110, ORL 123	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.37,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.48,0.67,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.98,0.98,1,1,1	92.8%
BOS 85, PHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.25,0.3,0.36,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.52,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.85,0.73,1	91.7%
LAC 103, LAL 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.28,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.62,0.68,0.78,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	91.5%