NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	110		Excitement	6.7 [569]		MVP	Franz Wagner (ORL): +26.0%
Orlando Magic	123		Comeback	3.0 [353]		LVP	Dyson Daniels (NOP): -21.2%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trey Murphy III	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.13	0.07	-0.02	9	90%	0.25	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jaxson Hayes	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.01	8	74%	0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	19	50%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Herbert Jones	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	5	71%	0.07	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.08
Jose Alvarado	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	15	53%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Devonte' Graham	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	21	44%	0.01	3	-0.11	10	90%	0.02
Dyson Daniels	-0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.16	-0.06	-0.01	6	0%	-0.12	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Franz Wagner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.22	0.08	0.04	16	81%	0.31	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.04
Cole Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.07	0.04	9	85%	0.21	2	-0.03	8	100%	0.06
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.08	0.00	3	133%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.05	0.00	8	83%	0.19	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Bol Bol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.06	-0.03	7	71%	0.17	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Jalen Suggs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	4	67%	0.09	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Mo Bamba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
R.J. Hampton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	3	56%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Markelle Fultz	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	8	45%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Paolo Banchero	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	7	50%	0.02	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.03
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	8	12%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	27.4	14.8	29.0	2.4	32.6	134.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +28.1%

ORL +32.4%

NOP -7.2%

NOP -3.3%

NOP -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	ORL	NBA	NOP	ORL	NBA
this game	14.3	14.6	14.4	110.0	124.2	113.4
season	14.2	14.3		113.4	111.0
opponent	14.5	14.6		113.0	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.2	15.7	13.5	15.0	14.3
ORL	14.5	13.7	14.2	16.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ McCollum	75	73	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.17	6	-19	25	13.9	15.7	-1.85	14.9	13.9	0.94
Herbert Jones	38	40	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.12	0	-13	13	14.9	14.0	0.91	14.0	15.0	-0.99
Dyson Daniels	64	62	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.33	6	-19	25	14.4	14.2	0.17	14.5	14.9	-0.40
Larry Nance Jr.	55	56	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-7	1	13.7	15.1	-1.34	15.0	14.1	0.97
Jonas Valanciunas	59	59	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	-7	1	14.5	14.1	0.35	15.0	14.0	0.99
Jaxson Hayes	37	35	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	0	-13	14.2	14.4	-0.18	14.2	14.8	-0.64
Jose Alvarado	63	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	0	-13	14.3	14.4	-0.16	14.4	15.0	-0.61
Trey Murphy III	83	82	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.03	-18	5	-23	14.3	14.6	-0.38	14.8	13.8	1.03
Devonte' Graham	26	26	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	0.06	-21	8	-29	16.2	13.7	2.46	13.9	14.9	-0.94

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bol Bol	38	40	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.07	21	-8	29	15.9	13.8	2.12	14.9	13.9	0.95
Moritz Wagner	32	31	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.02	22	-9	31	16.0	14.0	2.04	15.0	14.0	0.97
Terrence Ross	45	45	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.14	16	-3	19	14.2	14.9	-0.68	15.0	13.8	1.26
Cole Anthony	52	53	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.02	19	-6	25	15.1	14.0	1.09	14.9	13.7	1.18
Franz Wagner	64	66	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.14	21	-8	29	15.1	13.7	1.40	14.7	13.6	1.08
Jalen Suggs	33	31	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.07	8	5	3	13.5	15.2	-1.70	14.5	14.2	0.32
Mo Bamba	14	15	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.05	6	7	-1	14.1	14.7	-0.55	15.0	14.2	0.79
R.J. Hampton	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	14	-15	13.5	14.6	-1.14	6.7	14.6	-7.90
Gary Harris	57	58	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.02	-6	19	-25	14.9	14.3	0.57	13.7	15.2	-1.44
Markelle Fultz	52	51	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.12	-12	25	-37	14.1	15.2	-1.14	13.8	14.9	-1.15
Wendell Carter Jr.	53	53	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.14	-14	27	-41	13.9	15.4	-1.53	13.8	14.9	-1.10
Paolo Banchero	53	54	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.14	-15	28	-43	13.9	15.4	-1.53	13.8	15.0	-1.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.37,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.48,0.67,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.98,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 89, POR 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	92.2%
ATL 82, NJN 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.39,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.8,0.85,0.74,0.76,0.94,0.97,0.93,1,1,1	92.0%
ATL 90, DEN 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.32,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.67,0.71,0.83,0.8,0.9,0.8,0.9,0.97,1,1	91.9%