NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	109		Excitement	7.4 [382]		MVP	Jalen Brunson (NYK): +41.9%
New York Knicks	113		Comeback	1.7 [1082]		LVP	Tyus Jones (WAS): -10.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Landry Shamet	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18	0.10	0.09	0.01	6	108%	0.24	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Corey Kispert	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.04	0.00	5	100%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Poole	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.08	0.03	0.06	19	52%	0.05	0	0.00	8	100%	0.04
Bilal Coulibaly	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Delon Wright	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Baldwin Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	16	47%	0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.03	13	48%	0.01	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Marvin Bagley III	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0.04	16	54%	0.05	3	-0.09	5	0%	-0.08
Tyus Jones	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Brunson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.03,0.14,0.3,0.3,0.43,0.44,0.42	0.42	0.13	0.26	-0.03	27	61%	0.59	6	-0.17	13	85%	0.05
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19	0.19	0.15	0.05	0.01	9	86%	0.20	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.10	-0.01	15	59%	0.22	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	56%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	0.05	17	55%	0.01	5	-0.09	4	50%	-0.01
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	29.4	15.3	27.4	2.4	44.4	145.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +22.9%

NYK +23.4%

NYK +9.7%

WAS -7.7%

NYK +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NYK	NBA	WAS	NYK	NBA
this game	12.8	15.0	14.5	105.8	108.7	113.9
season	13.7	15.6		109.8	116.8
opponent	14.4	14.1		113.0	118.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.2	12.0	12.0	13.2	12.8
NYK	14.1	14.6	16.2	15.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Kispert	34	34	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.09	6	-10	16	12.3	13.1	-0.79	17.2	13.9	3.25
Patrick Baldwin Jr.	13	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-4	4	12.5	12.9	-0.42	15.4	14.9	0.42
Bilal Coulibaly	33	34	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-8	12	12.5	13.0	-0.46	16.8	14.1	2.64
Delon Wright	22	22	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-2	0	13.0	12.8	0.28	16.2	14.7	1.57
Marvin Bagley III	84	84	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-6	8	12.6	13.6	-0.99	15.0	14.9	0.05
Landry Shamet	29	28	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-2	0	12.8	12.8	0.00	16.7	14.4	2.36
Tyus Jones	81	82	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	-2	0	12.8	13.0	-0.28	14.7	16.2	-1.57
Kyle Kuzma	83	84	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-2	0	13.0	12.2	0.71	14.8	15.7	-0.94
Jordan Poole	76	76	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.30	-8	4	-12	13.1	11.9	1.22	14.1	17.4	-3.29
Deni Avdija	60	62	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.20	-16	12	-28	13.0	12.5	0.50	13.3	17.5	-4.25

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
OG Anunoby	95	93	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.40	12	-8	20	14.4	20.8	-6.34	13.0	11.0	2.02
Donte DiVincenzo	83	84	0.72	-0.23	0.95	0.29	15	-11	26	14.2	18.2	-4.01	13.0	12.1	0.95
Isaiah Hartenstein	84	85	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.40	8	-4	12	14.6	16.6	-2.05	12.7	13.6	-0.88
Jalen Brunson	89	88	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.33	10	-6	16	14.7	16.7	-1.96	12.8	12.8	0.03
Julius Randle	85	84	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.32	1	3	-2	14.8	15.8	-1.04	12.5	14.3	-1.76
Evan Fournier	12	12	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	8	-12	16.2	14.8	1.42	11.7	13.0	-1.22
Miles McBride	15	15	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.05	-6	10	-16	16.7	14.7	1.96	12.8	12.8	-0.03
Precious Achiuwa	20	18	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.02	-4	8	-12	16.6	14.6	2.05	13.6	12.7	0.88
Quentin Grimes	37	36	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.12	-12	16	-28	18.2	13.2	5.05	13.0	12.7	0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.68,0.69,0.6,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 88, CHH 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.63,0.79,0.71,0.82,0.81,0.96,0.93,0.92,1	92.6%
TOR 86, MEM 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.4,0.46,0.62,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.66,0.81,0.84,0.99,1,1	92.6%
SAC 90, MIN 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.83,0.81,0.69,0.71,0.86,0.95,0.97,1,1,1	92.3%