NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	107		Excitement	7.2 [407]		MVP	GG Jackson (MEM): +30.4%
Memphis Grizzlies	116		Comeback	2.9 [197]		LVP	Jaren Jackson Jr. (MEM): -11.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevon Looney	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.01	4	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	13	57%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Dario Saric	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	6	81%	0.15	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.03
Klay Thompson	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	10	45%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	20	63%	0.19	5	-0.16	1	100%	0.01
Jonathan Kuminga	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.03	18	54%	0.13	3	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Lester Quinones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	4	70%	0.03	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Cory Joseph	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trayce Jackson-Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandin Podziemski	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	12	33%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
GG Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.18	0.11	-0.01	9	88%	0.31	2	-0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Jacob Gilyard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.10	-0.01	7	79%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Williams Jr.	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.13	0.08	0.01	11	75%	0.27	3	-0.07	10	90%	0.03
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.00	9	48%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.04
David Roddy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	12	50%	0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Santi Aldama	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.00	6	65%	0.08	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Ziaire Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	6	25%	-0.06	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.05
Xavier Tillman	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	20	37%	-0.09	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	3.4	27.4	15.7	33.2	3.5	31.2	141.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +1.7%

MEM +18.7%

GSW -2.4%

MEM +33.8%

GSW -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MEM	NBA	GSW	MEM	NBA
this game	13.6	14.9	14.5	105.9	114.9	113.9
season	14.3	14.8		116.2	106.3
opponent	14.3	14.4		113.2	114.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.2	14.9	14.4	11.0	13.6
MEM	15.8	13.9	14.4	15.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Wiggins	64	64	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.13	9	-18	27	13.0	14.5	-1.44	15.4	14.1	1.27
Lester Quinones	9	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-10	11	15.8	13.4	2.42	15.8	14.8	0.95
Kevon Looney	36	36	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.06	-1	-8	7	15.4	12.5	2.91	14.1	15.4	-1.25
Draymond Green	55	54	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.13	1	-10	11	11.4	16.2	-4.77	14.4	15.6	-1.15
Cory Joseph	15	14	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.06	-7	-2	-5	13.4	13.6	-0.20	15.1	14.9	0.23
Trayce Jackson-Davis	20	20	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	-3	-3	15.3	13.1	2.21	14.8	15.0	-0.18
Dario Saric	42	46	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.06	-6	-3	-3	15.6	12.1	3.54	15.7	14.3	1.47
Stephen Curry	72	71	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.24	-2	-7	5	13.3	14.2	-0.84	14.4	16.2	-1.84
Brandin Podziemski	53	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-6	3	14.9	12.1	2.72	15.3	14.5	0.76
Jonathan Kuminga	63	62	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.30	-9	0	-9	12.8	14.8	-1.95	15.3	14.4	0.86
Klay Thompson	76	75	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.10	-22	13	-35	12.8	15.9	-3.12	14.7	15.7	-0.96

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
GG Jackson	63	63	0.87	-0.37	1.25	0.20	23	-14	37	15.1	14.7	0.37	12.7	15.0	-2.24
Luke Kennard	68	69	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.13	15	-6	21	15.3	14.1	1.22	13.0	14.8	-1.86
Xavier Tillman	65	64	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.17	13	-4	17	15.0	14.8	0.17	13.4	13.9	-0.50
Jacob Gilyard	39	38	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	-2	13	14.8	15.0	-0.24	14.8	12.8	2.03
Vince Williams Jr.	80	79	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.26	2	7	-5	14.9	15.1	-0.20	13.3	14.5	-1.18
David Roddy	45	46	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.00	9	0	9	15.1	14.8	0.35	13.7	13.5	0.14
Santi Aldama	35	34	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.08	-6	15	-21	14.5	15.2	-0.74	14.3	13.2	1.13
Jaren Jackson Jr.	71	72	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.13	-9	18	-27	14.7	15.6	-0.89	13.2	14.4	-1.13
Ziaire Williams	39	40	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	0.04	-13	22	-35	14.8	15.0	-0.15	15.4	12.4	2.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.45,0.36,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.59,0.67,0.72,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 80, IND 94	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.55,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.3%
DEN 104, HOU 107	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.42,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.62,0.52,0.62,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.99,1	93.2%
NOP 110, ORL 123	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.37,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.48,0.67,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.98,0.98,1,1,1	93.2%