NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	108		Excitement	9.1 [137]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (DAL): +27.2%
Dallas Mavericks	115		Comeback	6.3 [184]		LVP	Rudy Gobert (MIN): -33.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Edwards	0.23	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.11	0.11	0.00	27	59%	0.29	2	-0.07	7	71%	-0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.11	0.09	0.04	0.02	16	63%	0.18	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Naz Reid	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.00	12	58%	0.10	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jordan McLaughlin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.04	-0.00	7	43%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Mike Conley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	64%	0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	5	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	10	10%	-0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	-0.33	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.23,-0.33,-0.33	-0.12	-0.21	0.00	9	41%	-0.04	5	-0.29	4	25%	-0.04

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.31,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.14	0.13	-0.00	27	64%	0.45	3	-0.17	1	100%	0.01
Luka Doncic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.07	0.00	26	57%	0.24	3	-0.10	8	62%	-0.04
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.05	0.02	5	60%	0.10	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Josh Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.02	13	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jaden Hardy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	75%	0.07	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	12	46%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	0.3	33.9	14.7	23.3	2.3	32.7	136.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +28.8%

MIN -1.0%

DAL +15.2%

DAL +9.7%

MIN -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	DAL	NBA	MIN	DAL	NBA
this game	15.6	14.4	14.5	112.5	119.8	113.9
season	14.8	14.3		114.4	116.0
opponent	14.5	14.7		113.8	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	18.1	14.2	16.5	13.7	15.6
DAL	14.0	14.6	13.5	15.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Anderson	39	40	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.31	-7	0	-7	16.0	15.3	0.71	13.6	15.1	-1.45
Naz Reid	56	52	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.08	-1	-6	5	15.8	15.2	0.52	13.2	15.9	-2.61
Rudy Gobert	64	66	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.23	1	-8	9	16.0	14.7	1.20	15.6	11.9	3.75
Jordan McLaughlin	25	26	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	-3	-1	17.3	14.9	2.34	14.2	14.6	-0.40
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	25	26	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	-1	-5	14.7	15.9	-1.18	14.5	14.4	0.02
Karl-Anthony Towns	56	57	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.20	-6	-1	-5	14.9	16.5	-1.67	14.8	13.9	0.84
Anthony Edwards	73	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.25	-5	-2	-3	15.6	15.3	0.27	14.4	14.7	-0.27
Jaden McDaniels	77	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.27	-6	-1	-5	15.0	17.8	-2.79	14.7	13.5	1.13
Mike Conley	65	64	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.58	-1	-6	5	15.6	15.5	0.05	14.3	14.7	-0.31

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway Jr.	66	65	0.98	-0.48	1.46	0.57	14	-7	21	13.8	15.9	-2.16	15.2	16.2	-1.00
Dwight Powell	57	57	0.91	-0.41	1.33	0.50	14	-7	21	14.4	14.6	-0.24	15.4	15.7	-0.28
Kyrie Irving	78	80	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.21	6	1	5	14.7	13.2	1.58	14.9	18.7	-3.76
Luka Doncic	77	80	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.17	5	2	3	14.5	14.3	0.16	15.4	16.1	-0.61
Derrick Jones Jr.	69	70	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.18	2	5	-3	14.7	13.7	0.98	15.4	16.0	-0.67
Seth Curry	24	21	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	7	-7	13.6	14.7	-1.15	18.9	14.6	4.23
Jaden Hardy	9	10	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.00	3	4	-1	15.1	14.4	0.73	12.4	15.9	-3.52
Josh Green	60	58	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.10	-2	9	-11	14.7	14.0	0.72	16.5	14.1	2.35
Grant Williams	40	39	-0.35	0.85	-1.21	-0.15	-7	14	-21	14.5	14.4	0.17	15.7	15.4	0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.6,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.39,0.19,0.29,0.77,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 90, HOU 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.74,0.64,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.67,0.98,1	91.2%
HOU 79, UTA 83	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.61,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.75,0.67,0.77,0.69,0.59,0.34,0.25,0.45,0.78,0.84,1	90.9%
HOU 102, OKC 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.74,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.86,0.76,0.6,0.38,0.37,0.69,0.92,1	90.6%