NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	79		Excitement	7.8 [270]		MVP	Steve Francis (HOU): +12.7%
Utah Jazz	83		Comeback	6.0 [344]		LVP	Moochie Norris (HOU): -28.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Francis	0.13	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.15	-0.01	0.02	15	75%	0.15	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Kelvin Cato	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	9	56%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Oscar Torres	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terence Morris	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	6	56%	-0.01	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.02
Cuttino Mobley	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.06,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	18	49%	0.00	4	-0.13	3	33%	-0.06
Kenny Thomas	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18	-0.15	-0.05	-0.01	4	25%	-0.05	4	-0.14	4	75%	0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.11,-0.17,-0.21,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.13	-0.16	-0.00	10	25%	-0.16	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.07	0.02	16	58%	0.14	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.05
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	5	45%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.07	-0.07	0.00	6	92%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	23	54%	0.05	1	-0.07	10	80%	0.09
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	8	12%	-0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	0.00	4	30%	-0.05	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.25	-0.25	-0.16	-0.08	0.00	5	21%	-0.15	4	-0.10	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.4	25.5	15.6	25.2	2.5	33.2	125.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU -9.0%

UTA +30.0%

UTA +23.9%

UTA +7.2%

HOU -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	UTA	NBA	HOU	UTA	NBA
this game	16.7	16.2	15.6	90.8	94.3	102.3
season	16.8	16.1		100.9	102.9
opponent	15.1	15.2		101.9	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.5	18.3	17.0	15.2	16.7
UTA	14.8	19.6	15.1	16.1	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Willis	10	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-5	6	21.3	16.1	5.24	20.4	15.7	4.70
Steve Francis	41	41	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.03	-1	-3	2	16.9	16.4	0.49	17.0	15.6	1.36
Oscar Torres	9	10	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-5	6	16.9	16.6	0.25	14.7	16.4	-1.75
Eddie Griffin	50	50	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.40	10	-14	24	17.4	15.7	1.68	16.5	15.9	0.58
Terence Morris	27	27	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.26	2	-6	8	17.8	16.2	1.61	17.7	15.6	2.04
Kenny Thomas	59	59	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	0	-4	15.6	18.8	-3.18	15.5	17.8	-2.25
Cuttino Mobley	79	79	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.34	-2	-2	0	16.2	21.7	-5.60	15.9	18.9	-2.94
Moochie Norris	60	61	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.46	1	-5	6	16.6	16.9	-0.27	16.8	15.1	1.70
Walt Williams	47	48	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.06	-13	9	-22	16.5	16.8	-0.29	15.2	17.5	-2.38
Kelvin Cato	53	54	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.11	-15	11	-26	16.4	17.0	-0.60	15.8	16.9	-1.08

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	50	48	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.68	1	3	-2	16.4	16.1	0.35	17.5	15.6	1.91
Karl Malone	73	71	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.42	5	-1	6	15.7	19.1	-3.48	16.2	18.9	-2.71
Bryon Russell	47	44	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.37	3	1	2	17.0	15.4	1.66	17.6	15.7	1.87
John Stockton	59	58	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.27	5	-1	6	16.0	16.7	-0.71	16.1	17.9	-1.79
Donyell Marshall	40	41	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.02	7	-3	10	15.8	16.6	-0.73	15.8	17.5	-1.68
Jarron Collins	17	17	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.03	5	-1	6	15.1	16.5	-1.48	16.3	16.8	-0.46
Scott Padgett	40	40	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.32	-9	13	-22	17.5	15.2	2.38	16.8	16.5	0.29
DeShawn Stevenson	41	43	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	3	-2	15.4	17.0	-1.66	15.7	17.6	-1.87
Greg Ostertag	15	15	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.00	-1	5	-6	17.5	16.0	1.55	19.7	16.0	3.62
John Crotty	35	36	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	-0.14	-9	13	-22	17.4	15.5	1.96	17.1	16.4	0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.61,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.75,0.67,0.77,0.69,0.59,0.34,0.25,0.45,0.78,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 103, DAL 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.81,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.67,0.96,1	91.0%
DAL 105, DEN 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.64,0.68,0.9,1	90.7%
ORL 89, LAL 92	0.5,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.58,0.58,0.71,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.71,0.62,0.64,0.53,0.39,0.47,0.46,0.78,0.72,1	90.5%