NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	102		Excitement	8.3 [214]		MVP	Serge Ibaka (OKC): +17.0%
Oklahoma City Thunder	105		Comeback	3.4 [612]		LVP	Chandler Parsons (HOU): -31.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Delfino	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09	-0.00	0.09	0.00	13	42%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Smith	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	24	53%	0.16	6	-0.19	20	85%	-0.02
Patrick Beverley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	0.02	0.00	0.06	13	62%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jeremy Lin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	6	56%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Chandler Parsons	-0.31	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2,-0.2,-0.31,-0.31	-0.07	-0.22	0.02	23	37%	-0.30	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.08	0.01	6	86%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.18,0.18,0.16	0.16	0.03	0.13	0.00	25	50%	0.16	1	-0.00	8	87%	0.02
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	9	61%	0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Liggins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.09	-0.06	26	47%	0.07	4	-0.13	10	80%	0.04
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	2.8	33.5	18.0	33.0	3.0	44.1	161.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +63.8%

OKC +9.6%

HOU -28.2%

OKC +9.2%

HOU -4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	OKC	NBA	HOU	OKC	NBA
this game	14.5	14.5	15.4	104.1	104.0	104.1
season	14.2	14.8		107.9	109.3
opponent	15.5	15.4		100.6	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.9	13.8	16.2	14.3	14.5
OKC	16.1	12.4	16.5	13.3	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lin	43	43	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-3	3	13.4	15.3	-1.89	13.7	15.1	-1.38
Francisco Garcia	13	14	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.00	-5	2	-7	15.2	14.4	0.87	15.2	14.3	0.87
Omer Asik	67	68	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.50	12	-15	27	14.8	13.7	1.13	15.4	12.5	2.85
Aaron Brooks	7	7	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	4	-11	16.7	14.3	2.41	15.3	14.4	0.88
Patrick Beverley	86	89	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.40	4	-7	11	14.4	15.3	-0.97	14.2	16.5	-2.31
Greg Smith	32	33	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.09	-15	12	-27	13.6	14.9	-1.32	12.5	15.4	-2.85
Chandler Parsons	79	82	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.46	2	-5	7	14.7	13.4	1.31	14.9	12.4	2.52
Carlos Delfino	70	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.42	-2	-1	-1	14.7	13.9	0.87	14.7	13.9	0.84
James Harden	93	95	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.39	-4	1	-5	14.5	15.0	-0.55	14.3	16.7	-2.34

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendrick Perkins	58	56	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.48	8	-5	13	14.6	14.2	0.41	15.3	13.4	1.96
Russell Westbrook	79	78	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.43	1	2	-1	14.2	15.5	-1.32	14.6	14.1	0.48
Kevin Durant	96	92	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.46	-1	4	-5	14.6	11.8	2.80	14.5	14.0	0.51
Serge Ibaka	70	67	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.34	0	3	-3	14.6	14.2	0.39	15.0	13.3	1.79
Thabo Sefolosha	74	73	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.31	1	2	-1	14.4	14.7	-0.38	14.5	14.4	0.11
Reggie Jackson	40	38	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.00	10	-7	17	14.7	14.3	0.43	14.2	14.7	-0.48
Nick Collison	26	26	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	-3	9	14.3	14.5	-0.16	13.5	14.8	-1.33
DeAndre Liggins	1	1	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	5	-7	1.0	14.6	-13.60	0.0	14.6	-14.63
Derek Fisher	15	14	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	7	-11	14.0	14.5	-0.55	13.4	14.7	-1.31
Kevin Martin	46	45	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.04	-4	7	-11	14.7	14.3	0.46	13.8	15.1	-1.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.74,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.86,0.76,0.6,0.38,0.37,0.69,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 89, POR 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.87,0.95,0.91,0.83,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.61,0.45,0.37,0.57,0.73,1	92.9%
NOP 80, WAS 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.82,0.53,0.46,0.86,0.92,1	91.3%
IND 97, CLE 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.63,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.78,0.83,0.77,0.72,0.54,0.74,0.82,0.71,0.81,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.39,0.63,0.76,0.98,1	90.7%