inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 130 Excitement6.5 [511] MVPNikola Jokic (DEN): +72.9%
Golden State Warriors 127 Comeback475.2 [8] LVPReggie Jackson (DEN): -10.7%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Jokic0.730,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.730.220.540.031687%0.794-0.06786%0.02
Aaron Gordon0.240,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.240.230.100.081773%0.2400.00786%0.00
Jamal Murray0.150,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.120.040.021661%0.1500.00989%0.04
Peyton Watson0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.130.140.010.021073%0.1300.00683%-0.00
Michael Porter Jr.0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.01667%0.0500.0000%0.00
Zeke Nnaji0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Julian Strawther0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope-0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.01-0.050.00850%-0.011-0.0400%0.00
Christian Braun-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.020.00425%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Reggie Jackson-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.03-0.00617%-0.091-0.0200%0.00

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Klay Thompson0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.22,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.20.200.160.03-0.011863%0.2000.002100%0.01
Brandin Podziemski0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.080.050.001065%0.1300.0000%0.00
Jonathan Kuminga0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.110.030.01776%0.141-0.02786%0.02
Dario Saric0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.02-0.00781%0.122-0.042100%0.01
Kevon Looney0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.000.00478%0.0600.001100%0.00
Andrew Wiggins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.030.011055%0.061-0.0100%0.00
Stephen Curry0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.2,00.000.13-0.120.012361%0.212-0.213100%0.02
Chris Paul0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0-0.000.05-0.040.02760%-0.0000.0010%-0.02
Trayce Jackson-Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.000.00450%0.022-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.53.329.615.829.53.034.3141.9
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +23.0%
DEN +5.8%
GSW -3.1%
DEN +22.2%
DEN +2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENGSWNBADENGSWNBA
this game14.715.614.5138.3132.3113.9
season14.914.3116.6116.2
opponent14.414.6114.1111.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN14.214.016.214.514.7
GSW14.016.013.818.915.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamal Murray61630.86-0.361.220.609-61514.415.4-0.9716.414.02.35
Peyton Watson34390.74-0.240.980.537-41115.614.31.2915.715.50.16
Aaron Gordon71700.66-0.160.820.486-3914.415.7-1.2215.914.71.21
Nikola Jokic77770.60-0.100.690.484-1514.117.7-3.6315.715.20.45
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope70690.58-0.080.660.464-1514.016.9-2.8715.715.10.59
Michael Porter Jr.6159-0.040.54-0.58-0.195-2714.714.8-0.0815.915.10.80
Zeke Nnaji1112-0.090.59-0.68-0.00-36-917.314.42.8815.115.6-0.56
Julian Strawther1719-0.150.65-0.790.03-69-1516.914.22.6914.915.7-0.85
Christian Braun3539-0.290.79-1.08-0.15-58-1315.614.21.4314.416.4-1.91
Reggie Jackson3333-0.360.86-1.22-0.19-69-1515.414.40.9714.016.4-2.35

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Trayce Jackson-Davis44420.19-0.690.880.190-3314.716.3-1.5614.315.1-0.77
Jonathan Kuminga38390.15-0.650.80-0.036-91515.215.8-0.6014.814.70.19
Brandin Podziemski5754-0.08-0.420.35-0.02-2-1-115.615.6-0.0314.914.60.28
Dario Saric4543-0.11-0.390.27-0.203-6915.615.60.0115.314.21.09
Chris Paul5957-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.384-71115.615.50.1415.513.61.88
Kevon Looney4443-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.23-2-1-116.315.01.3314.415.0-0.58
Stephen Curry6970-0.540.04-0.58-0.51-1-2115.715.10.5914.016.9-2.87
Andrew Wiggins5553-0.750.25-0.99-0.34-1411-2514.916.4-1.5114.814.60.18
Klay Thompson6969-0.810.31-1.11-0.54-96-1516.214.12.0914.714.70.02


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.48,0.59,0.69,0.73,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,0.98,0.97,0.92,0.97,0.84,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 106, PHX 1040.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.24,0.31,0.45,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.93,0.87,0.84,0.75,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.73,090.8%
ATL 83, IND 820.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.66,0.63,0.75,0.81,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.83,089.2%
CHH 86, CHI 850.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.72,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.85,0.84,0.74,089.0%