NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	86		Excitement	7.2 [357]		MVP	David Wesley (CHH): +58.6%
Chicago Bulls	85		Comeback	24.8 [68]		LVP	Elton Brand (CHI): -39.8%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0.59	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.59	0.00	0.58	-0.00	8	55%	0.62	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.02
Hersey Hawkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Derrick Coleman	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	58%	0.07	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	11	58%	0.00	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	14	55%	0.11	5	-0.17	10	90%	0.08
P.J. Brown	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17	-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	8	50%	-0.09	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.05	-0.02	9	70%	0.15	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.04
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.00	0.10	0.01	12	58%	0.18	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	14	60%	0.03	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.02
Bryce Drew	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	4	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Khalid El-Amin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	9	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.4	-0.40	-0.09	-0.31	0.01	16	44%	-0.25	3	-0.15	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.5	30.2	15.8	27.1	2.4	32.4	131.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +57.4%

CHH +1.9%

CHH +19.3%

CHI -22.4%

CHI -6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	CHI	NBA	CHH	CHI	NBA
this game	15.7	17.6	15.5	98.9	98.8	100.9
season	15.8	16.4		99.7	95.2
opponent	15.1	15.6		104.9	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	13.9	17.4	14.6	17.2	15.7
CHI	18.0	17.8	14.8	20.7	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Brown	53	52	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.60	6	-5	11	15.9	15.3	0.66	18.1	17.0	1.11
Hersey Hawkins	38	39	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.58	3	-2	5	15.2	16.1	-0.90	16.9	18.2	-1.31
Elden Campbell	50	49	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.70	-1	2	-3	15.6	15.7	-0.11	17.9	17.4	0.51
David Wesley	61	59	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.61	0	1	-1	16.4	13.9	2.54	18.5	15.7	2.82
Baron Davis	68	66	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.56	-4	5	-9	15.1	17.7	-2.58	16.9	20.1	-3.21
Lee Nailon	50	50	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.31	11	-10	21	16.4	14.6	1.82	18.3	16.7	1.63
Jamaal Magloire	37	37	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.23	2	-1	3	15.7	15.6	0.11	17.4	17.9	-0.51
Eddie Robinson	44	44	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.03	-7	8	-15	15.0	16.3	-1.26	17.4	17.9	-0.43
Derrick Coleman	34	34	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.13	-5	6	-11	15.3	15.9	-0.66	17.0	18.1	-1.11

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryce Drew	18	20	0.36	-0.86	1.22	0.01	12	-13	25	17.0	17.8	-0.81	14.9	15.9	-0.93
Brad Miller	42	40	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.20	0	-1	1	18.4	17.0	1.40	17.5	14.1	3.39
Khalid El-Amin	45	44	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.07	-3	2	-5	16.7	18.6	-1.90	15.5	15.8	-0.34
Marcus Fizer	10	10	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	1	-3	17.0	17.7	-0.72	18.0	15.4	2.64
Michael Ruffin	41	42	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.47	7	-8	15	17.1	18.2	-1.08	14.2	17.0	-2.81
Metta World Peace	65	65	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.66	12	-13	25	16.5	21.1	-4.64	14.9	18.0	-3.12
Fred Hoiberg	33	35	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.08	-9	8	-17	19.3	16.6	2.65	17.0	14.8	2.23
Ron Mercer	78	79	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.45	-5	4	-9	17.8	16.0	1.81	15.4	17.9	-2.43
Elton Brand	79	81	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.46	-7	6	-13	17.6	17.7	-0.08	15.4	19.0	-3.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.72,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.85,0.84,0.74,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 95, WAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.64,0.58,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.91,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.83,0	92.0%
CLE 88, BOS 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.88,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.74,0	91.8%
MIN 97, ATL 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.46,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.81,0.89,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.71,0.78,0.84,0	91.5%