NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	121		Excitement	8.8 [172]		MVP	Pascal Siakam (TOR): +43.4%
Toronto Raptors	124		Comeback	2.4 [522]		LVP	Donovan Mitchell (CLE): -12.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caris LeVert	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.3	0.21	0.10	0.01	20	69%	0.30	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Sam Merrill	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.10	0.11	-0.00	11	73%	0.24	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	5	80%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	11	53%	0.03	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.05
Tristan Thompson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Wade	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Porter Jr.	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Max Strus	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.06	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,-0.06	0.06	-0.11	0.01	10	59%	-0.05	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Donovan Mitchell	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.02,-0.12	0.04	-0.09	0.08	21	54%	-0.01	3	-0.11	6	100%	0.05

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.43,0.43,0.43	0.43	0.29	0.15	0.01	20	78%	0.45	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Scottie Barnes	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.18	0.18	0.04	0.16	0.02	17	49%	0.18	0	0.00	7	71%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.01	8	61%	0.11	4	-0.08	7	57%	-0.11
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.02
Thaddeus Young	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Boucher	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	10	41%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
RJ Barrett	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	12	59%	0.19	5	-0.21	8	75%	0.02
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11	-0.11	0.03	-0.13	0.01	13	48%	-0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	1.8	32.2	15.4	28.2	2.5	41.4	148.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE -2.0%

TOR +21.9%

TOR +32.0%

CLE -4.4%

TOR +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	TOR	NBA	CLE	TOR	NBA
this game	14.6	13.8	14.5	118.6	122.8	113.9
season	14.8	14.0		113.0	111.3
opponent	14.7	14.7		117.6	111.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.4	14.8	15.6	13.5	14.6
TOR	12.8	12.8	13.2	16.5	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tristan Thompson	30	28	0.28	-0.78	1.05	0.28	0	-3	3	14.1	14.8	-0.74	16.1	12.9	3.22
Georges Niang	30	31	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.16	-3	0	-3	15.4	14.3	1.10	16.2	12.7	3.48
Sam Merrill	34	37	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.11	-2	-1	-1	14.1	14.8	-0.66	14.3	13.5	0.81
Dean Wade	46	44	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.13	5	-8	13	15.2	14.1	1.03	12.4	14.9	-2.51
Max Strus	81	79	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.49	9	-12	21	14.4	15.3	-0.94	14.0	12.9	1.17
Craig Porter Jr.	12	14	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.09	-11	8	-19	16.1	14.4	1.69	10.8	14.3	-3.48
Donovan Mitchell	82	80	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.50	7	-10	17	14.4	15.5	-1.20	13.9	13.1	0.81
Caris LeVert	63	61	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.57	1	-4	5	14.0	15.5	-1.50	14.0	13.4	0.63
Jarrett Allen	73	73	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.67	-3	0	-3	14.7	14.4	0.29	12.9	16.1	-3.22
Isaac Okoro	59	58	-0.86	0.36	-1.23	-0.34	-18	15	-33	15.1	13.9	1.14	13.1	14.7	-1.55

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Schroder	62	62	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.30	12	-9	21	13.2	14.6	-1.40	14.8	14.2	0.64
Jakob Poeltl	80	80	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.51	3	0	3	13.1	16.5	-3.40	14.6	14.6	-0.00
Pascal Siakam	84	86	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.50	1	2	-1	13.6	14.8	-1.25	14.6	14.4	0.18
Scottie Barnes	77	79	0.52	-0.01	0.53	0.66	-5	8	-13	13.8	13.6	0.21	14.3	15.6	-1.26
Immanuel Quickley	58	59	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.18	7	-4	11	14.4	12.9	1.56	14.7	14.5	0.17
Thaddeus Young	4	3	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	-1	5	11.2	13.9	-2.64	18.3	14.5	3.86
RJ Barrett	63	64	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.26	-7	10	-17	13.6	14.1	-0.43	14.7	14.4	0.22
Gary Trent Jr.	54	54	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.07	-1	4	-5	14.6	12.8	1.78	14.5	14.7	-0.19
Chris Boucher	23	23	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.26	1	2	-1	15.6	13.3	2.31	14.1	14.7	-0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.47,0.33,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.59,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 99, TOR 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.46,0.55,0.79,0.78,0.96,1	91.8%
ORL 95, IND 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.85,1	91.2%
POR 88, BOS 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.73,1	91.0%