NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	92		Excitement	5.7 [656]		MVP	Alex Caruso (CHI): +11.9%
Chicago Bulls	105		Comeback	1.1 [785]		LVP	Ayo Dosunmu (CHI): -8.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Anthony Melton	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.02	-0.03	9	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	6	75%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	13	41%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
KJ Martin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Furkan Korkmaz	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Robert Covington	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	16	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Mo Bamba	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	3	71%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Marcus Morris Sr.	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Paul Reed	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.00	-0.02	0.06	10	50%	-0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Tyrese Maxey	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	22	41%	-0.00	2	-0.08	5	40%	-0.04

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.04	-0.03	7	74%	0.16	3	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Terry Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.01	17	59%	0.11	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	11	59%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dalen Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.04	-0.00	2	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	5	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Julian Phillips	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	15	56%	0.10	5	-0.11	6	83%	-0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	8	58%	-0.01	3	-0.06	10	30%	-0.07
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	11	27%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.4	26.4	14.7	25.2	2.5	32.2	129.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +39.8%

PHI -2.6%

CHI +19.8%

PHI -9.4%

CHI +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHI	NBA	PHI	CHI	NBA
this game	16.0	15.3	14.5	100.0	114.1	113.9
season	14.9	14.5		115.6	113.4
opponent	15.0	14.5		115.1	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.8	17.3	18.1	15.7	16.0
CHI	13.3	16.2	17.9	14.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Bamba	22	21	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.22	9	-22	31	17.8	15.5	2.36	18.1	14.4	3.71
Robert Covington	8	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-14	15	16.6	16.0	0.66	22.3	14.7	7.58
Furkan Korkmaz	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-18	23	14.7	16.1	-1.33	12.8	15.4	-2.63
KJ Martin	13	14	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.24	4	-17	21	16.4	16.0	0.42	16.4	15.1	1.35
Paul Reed	56	59	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	-6	-1	14.7	18.0	-3.30	14.1	17.4	-3.34
Kelly Oubre Jr.	55	56	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	-2	-9	15.4	17.0	-1.59	15.1	15.6	-0.54
Nicolas Batum	36	35	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-12	11	17.2	15.3	1.88	15.3	15.3	0.01
De'Anthony Melton	51	51	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.22	-17	4	-21	16.2	15.8	0.39	15.0	15.7	-0.72
Marcus Morris Sr.	33	31	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-4	-5	16.9	15.5	1.34	15.6	15.1	0.45
Tyrese Maxey	70	72	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.01	-12	-1	-11	15.1	19.0	-3.97	14.9	16.5	-1.56
Patrick Beverley	45	42	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.17	-7	-6	-1	17.4	14.7	2.65	15.7	14.9	0.75
Tobias Harris	67	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.14	-20	7	-27	15.9	16.4	-0.52	15.0	15.9	-0.88

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Caruso	58	58	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.02	19	-6	25	13.8	17.8	-4.03	15.3	17.3	-2.02
DeMar DeRozan	73	75	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.04	19	-6	25	14.6	17.8	-3.16	15.5	18.5	-3.00
Patrick Williams	66	66	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.04	13	0	13	14.6	17.1	-2.55	15.8	16.7	-0.93
Coby White	79	78	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.11	10	3	7	14.9	17.5	-2.63	15.7	17.6	-1.91
Andre Drummond	61	61	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.09	16	-3	19	14.1	17.6	-3.56	15.2	17.7	-2.55
Terry Taylor	29	29	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	12	-11	17.7	14.2	3.57	17.7	15.2	2.49
Ayo Dosunmu	50	50	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.12	0	13	-13	17.3	12.8	4.51	17.7	14.1	3.59
Dalen Terry	20	18	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	14	-15	17.5	14.7	2.83	17.8	15.6	2.25
Julian Phillips	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	17	-21	16.5	15.3	1.24	17.5	16.0	1.51
Jevon Carter	22	23	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.14	-8	21	-29	18.2	14.4	3.81	16.5	15.9	0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.54,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.7,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.8,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 116, DEN 128	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.72,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.86,0.84,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
NJN 88, LAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.75,0.79,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.76,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
CHI 99, DAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.96,1,1,1	94.6%