NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	120		Excitement	5.8 [632]		MVP	Tyrese Haliburton (IND): +23.6%
Chicago Bulls	104		Comeback	2.2 [505]		LVP	Coby White (CHI): -12.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Haliburton	0.24	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.11	0.14	0.01	17	58%	0.24	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Buddy Hield	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.06	-0.01	13	73%	0.23	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Smith	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.02	0.04	7	79%	0.10	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.02
Myles Turner	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.13	-0.01	0.09	12	77%	0.11	3	-0.07	7	100%	0.02
Aaron Nesmith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.03	9	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	60%	0.01	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01
Obi Toppin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bennedict Mathurin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	9	65%	0.03	3	-0.06	5	80%	-0.01
Andrew Nembhard	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.03	-0.01	13	31%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.18	0.03	0.04	14	73%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.05	-0.03	15	47%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.01	0.05	11	68%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Terry Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Phillips	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adama Sanogo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalen Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	75%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	19	46%	-0.02	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.03
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	9	32%	-0.05	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.07,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	0.00	0.05	19	38%	-0.05	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.5	27.4	15.4	33.3	1.8	30.0	131.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +63.7%

CHI -6.2%

CHI -4.5%

CHI -4.4%

IND +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHI	NBA	IND	CHI	NBA
this game	14.1	14.7	14.5	121.2	103.0	113.9
season	13.7	14.5		120.0	113.4
opponent	15.0	14.7		115.1	117.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.2	12.6	16.4	14.2	14.1
CHI	15.0	16.2	12.4	15.1	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrese Haliburton	78	79	1.07	-0.57	1.64	0.13	32	-16	48	13.9	14.8	-0.81	14.4	15.6	-1.23
Aaron Nesmith	71	70	0.69	-0.19	0.88	-0.04	25	-9	34	14.2	14.0	0.22	15.0	13.9	1.06
Myles Turner	54	56	0.66	-0.16	0.82	-0.22	30	-14	44	13.3	15.1	-1.73	16.1	12.8	3.30
Buddy Hield	68	69	0.62	-0.12	0.75	-0.02	22	-6	28	13.6	15.3	-1.70	14.7	14.6	0.12
Bennedict Mathurin	52	54	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.07	2	14	-12	14.3	13.9	0.47	14.7	14.6	0.14
Isaiah Jackson	23	22	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.19	-5	21	-26	13.8	14.2	-0.38	14.7	14.7	0.07
Jalen Smith	51	53	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	12	-8	14.9	13.3	1.61	13.8	15.7	-1.89
Obi Toppin	52	53	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.24	-11	27	-38	14.4	13.8	0.60	13.5	15.9	-2.37
Andrew Nembhard	46	49	-0.64	1.14	-1.79	-0.09	-19	35	-54	14.7	13.6	1.15	15.0	14.4	0.63

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dalen Terry	38	37	0.51	-1.01	1.52	-0.34	29	-45	74	13.2	15.5	-2.30	15.9	13.0	2.91
Julian Phillips	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-15	14	7.0	14.8	-7.83	12.5	14.2	-1.65
Adama Sanogo	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-16	16	6.0	14.8	-8.76	21.0	14.1	6.95
Terry Taylor	32	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.18	1	-17	18	11.6	16.1	-4.46	14.3	14.0	0.29
Jevon Carter	26	26	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.12	-12	-4	-8	14.8	14.6	0.23	12.4	14.7	-2.30
Andre Drummond	42	42	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	-8	0	16.7	13.2	3.45	14.1	14.1	-0.05
Alex Caruso	69	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.15	-15	-1	-14	14.7	14.7	-0.02	14.3	13.8	0.45
Ayo Dosunmu	68	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	-7	-2	13.9	16.3	-2.47	14.3	13.8	0.46
Coby White	67	66	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.24	-24	8	-32	16.0	12.1	3.90	13.8	14.7	-0.82
Patrick Williams	80	78	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	0.11	-23	7	-30	15.3	12.3	3.01	13.6	16.0	-2.32
DeMar DeRozan	80	77	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.13	-18	2	-20	14.7	14.5	0.25	14.2	13.9	0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.29,0.28,0.58,0.53,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 93, TOR 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.22,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.31,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.17,0.15,0	93.3%
HOU 103, POR 96	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.15,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.02,0,0	92.5%
PHX 99, WAS 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0	91.7%