NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	144		Excitement	6.1 [587]		MVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +25.4%
Brooklyn Nets	122		Comeback	1.1 [1111]		LVP	Armoni Brooks (BKN): -13.1%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.25	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.22	0.07	0.04	12	78%	0.31	2	-0.05	17	71%	-0.03
Malik Beasley	0.19	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.17	0.07	0.05	9	94%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.18	0.07	0.06	9	95%	0.19	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Khris Middleton	0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.03	-0.02	18	71%	0.24	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
MarJon Beauchamp	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	6	79%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bobby Portis	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.00	9	78%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.04	-0.03	10	57%	0.12	4	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Pat Connaughton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thanasis Antetokounmpo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Livingston	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
AJ Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	2	75%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Jackson Jr.	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	7	14%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Day'Ron Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	6	86%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Trendon Watford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	0.01	9	71%	0.14	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Noah Clowney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	9	70%	0.09	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jalen Wilson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	-0.01	-0.02	13	57%	0.10	1	-0.03	11	100%	0.07
Keon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	8	60%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	9	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harry Giles III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	12%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Dariq Whitehead	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	17	41%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Armoni Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.02	0.06	14	40%	-0.09	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	1.8	26.2	0.7	34.9	2.5	34.5	129.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +88.8%

BKN -8.0%

BKN -27.4%

MIL +1.2%

BKN -4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	BKN	NBA	MIL	BKN	NBA
this game	13.2	15.3	14.5	144.0	119.6	113.9
season	14.3	14.8		117.0	111.9
opponent	14.5	14.3		114.7	114.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.2	12.9	13.8	12.2	13.2
BKN	15.2	15.3	15.6	15.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
MarJon Beauchamp	44	43	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.03	21	1	20	13.1	13.3	-0.19	15.8	14.9	0.93
Cameron Payne	48	48	0.60	-0.10	0.71	-0.10	24	-2	26	13.0	13.4	-0.34	15.9	14.7	1.25
Bobby Portis	65	64	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.01	20	2	18	13.3	13.0	0.29	15.8	14.3	1.53
Pat Connaughton	38	39	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.04	14	8	6	12.4	13.7	-1.33	15.8	15.0	0.80
Khris Middleton	65	65	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.01	5	17	-12	14.0	11.8	2.14	15.2	15.4	-0.12
Giannis Antetokounmpo	63	68	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.12	8	14	-6	12.7	14.0	-1.28	15.1	15.5	-0.38
Damian Lillard	58	61	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	20	-18	13.6	12.7	0.95	15.0	15.8	-0.81
AJ Green	10	10	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.18	7	15	-8	8.3	13.8	-5.47	15.2	15.3	-0.08
Thanasis Antetokounmpo	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	16	-10	9.0	13.4	-4.40	15.7	15.3	0.40
Chris Livingston	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	16	-10	9.0	13.4	-4.40	15.7	15.3	0.40
Robin Lopez	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	16	-10	9.0	13.4	-4.40	15.7	15.3	0.40
Andre Jackson Jr.	3	3	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	21	-20	16.3	13.1	3.21	16.3	15.2	1.09
Brook Lopez	50	52	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.08	-3	25	-28	14.1	12.3	1.84	14.3	16.2	-1.89
Malik Beasley	44	48	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.03	-7	29	-36	14.1	12.5	1.64	14.5	16.0	-1.46

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Day'Ron Sharpe	35	33	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-24	26	15.2	15.3	-0.16	14.4	12.6	1.80
Royce O'Neale	21	18	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-23	24	15.7	15.2	0.55	15.0	12.8	2.17
Mikal Bridges	25	24	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-21	20	15.2	15.3	-0.15	14.2	12.9	1.30
Cam Thomas	25	23	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-21	20	15.2	15.3	-0.15	14.6	12.8	1.80
Armoni Brooks	60	60	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.21	-12	-10	-2	15.9	14.4	1.56	13.0	13.5	-0.51
Jalen Wilson	65	65	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.26	-14	-8	-6	15.1	15.5	-0.38	12.5	14.5	-1.99
Harry Giles III	13	14	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-16	10	16.0	15.2	0.83	12.6	13.3	-0.67
Keon Johnson	46	46	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.17	-18	-4	-14	14.8	15.7	-0.94	12.1	14.2	-2.06
Dariq Whitehead	48	47	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.11	-16	-6	-10	14.3	16.1	-1.82	12.3	14.1	-1.82
Dennis Smith Jr.	63	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	-11	0	15.2	15.4	-0.22	14.1	11.8	2.22
Noah Clowney	52	51	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.13	-19	-3	-16	15.0	15.6	-0.60	12.9	13.6	-0.69
Trendon Watford	57	57	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.08	-15	-7	-8	16.2	14.1	2.04	13.2	13.2	-0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.33,0.19,0.15,0.04,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 104, NYK 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.27,0.22,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
NYK 88, MIN 79	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.4,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0	94.1%
SAC 129, DAL 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.52,0.45,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%