NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	111		Excitement	6.8 [463]		MVP	Anthony Davis (LAL): +19.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	118		Comeback	1.6 [1048]		LVP	D'Angelo Russell (LAL): -20.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.20	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.15	0.05	0.00	20	63%	0.22	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.02
Taurean Prince	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.03	0.00	6	117%	0.18	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rui Hachimura	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.08	0.00	12	60%	0.18	2	-0.05	6	33%	-0.06
Austin Reaves	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	-0.02	14	61%	0.14	4	-0.12	5	100%	0.03
Jaxson Hayes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Christian Wood	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Reddish	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	8	44%	-0.02	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
D'Angelo Russell	-0.20	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27,-0.23,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.07	-0.06	0.07	19	44%	-0.08	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.04	0.08	-0.07	19	59%	0.27	5	-0.08	8	87%	0.04
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	17	52%	0.11	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.01	0.04	9	89%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.01	8	78%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	7	60%	0.12	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	0.01	11	54%	0.07	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.05
Troy Brown Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	6	42%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	1.8	29.2	15.3	32.6	1.8	30.0	137.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +25.8%

LAL -2.4%

MIN +8.1%

MIN +17.6%

MIN +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIN	NBA	LAL	MIN	NBA
this game	13.4	14.9	14.5	109.9	115.7	113.9
season	14.1	14.9		114.4	114.4
opponent	14.7	14.3		108.3	114.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.8	14.1	14.0	12.9	13.4
MIN	13.4	13.6	16.7	16.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarred Vanderbilt	29	30	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-8	9	13.4	13.5	-0.09	15.1	14.8	0.25
Taurean Prince	77	77	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.30	6	-13	19	13.5	13.1	0.42	15.1	14.4	0.64
Anthony Davis	79	80	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.28	3	-10	13	13.1	14.5	-1.41	15.9	11.4	4.48
Christian Wood	10	10	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.10	-12	5	-17	11.8	13.6	-1.83	8.7	15.6	-6.90
Rui Hachimura	69	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-1	-5	14.0	12.3	1.66	15.3	14.1	1.25
Jaxson Hayes	27	27	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-8	1	-9	13.7	13.3	0.40	12.6	15.8	-3.17
Austin Reaves	57	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.13	-9	2	-11	13.4	13.5	-0.10	14.0	16.3	-2.32
D'Angelo Russell	80	81	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	-3	-1	13.4	13.7	-0.28	15.3	13.5	1.76
Cam Reddish	77	77	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.31	-6	-1	-5	13.4	13.5	-0.13	15.3	13.7	1.59

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl-Anthony Towns	72	70	0.48	0.01	0.47	0.13	12	-5	17	14.5	15.9	-1.34	13.5	13.3	0.22
Mike Conley	64	61	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.33	1	6	-5	16.0	13.1	2.85	13.2	13.7	-0.50
Kyle Anderson	49	49	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.06	8	-1	9	13.7	16.1	-2.36	13.9	13.1	0.80
Jaden McDaniels	73	72	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.37	-3	10	-13	16.1	12.0	4.13	13.6	13.1	0.53
Anthony Edwards	81	79	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.22	2	5	-3	15.3	13.6	1.64	13.4	13.5	-0.01
Rudy Gobert	78	77	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.30	-1	8	-9	15.8	12.1	3.66	13.1	14.7	-1.60
Naz Reid	46	47	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.12	5	2	3	13.7	15.9	-2.23	13.6	13.3	0.36
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	34	36	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.04	8	-1	9	12.5	16.1	-3.59	13.5	13.4	0.04
Troy Brown Jr.	13	14	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	4	-1	13.2	15.2	-1.94	13.1	13.5	-0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.52,0.65,0.72,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.48,0.66,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.91,0.9,0.93,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 89, MIA 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.59,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	94.0%
MIA 86, HOU 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.84,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,1,1,1	94.0%
POR 79, PHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.72,0.79,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.97,0.97,1,1,1	93.3%