NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	79		Excitement	6.0 [583]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +4.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	90		Comeback	1.3 [753]		LVP	Derek Anderson (POR): -18.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	80%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Qyntel Woods	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	6	71%	0.02	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Bonzi Wells	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	10	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Daniels	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	17	44%	0.02	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	15	47%	-0.01	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.02
Derek Anderson	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.05	-0.01	10	41%	-0.05	6	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	21	48%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	10	55%	0.05	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	55%	0.02	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	4	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	11	52%	0.00	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	4	20%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Derrick Coleman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	7	43%	-0.03	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.03	20	45%	-0.07	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.0	28.2	26.8	25.3	2.5	33.2	142.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR -8.5%

PHI +2.6%

PHI +21.3%

PHI +26.5%

PHI +8.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	PHI	NBA	POR	PHI	NBA
this game	15.1	15.5	15.5	84.0	95.7	101.6
season	16.0	15.3		104.3	102.1
opponent	15.5	15.7		99.9	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.8	15.4	13.2	15.2	15.1
PHI	14.5	14.6	19.0	14.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Qyntel Woods	3	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-13	15	6.7	15.4	-8.75	17.0	15.4	1.57
Dale Davis	63	63	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-9	7	15.9	13.5	2.37	15.5	15.6	-0.12
Damon Stoudamire	81	80	-0.12	-0.39	0.27	-0.09	-1	-10	9	15.2	14.6	0.61	15.5	15.3	0.25
Rasheed Wallace	79	79	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-7	3	14.8	16.7	-1.82	16.1	12.6	3.45
Ruben Patterson	68	66	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	-4	-3	15.0	15.4	-0.39	15.6	15.4	0.20
Bonzi Wells	19	19	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.09	-7	-4	-3	15.4	15.1	0.35	14.5	15.8	-1.29
Arvydas Sabonis	23	23	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-3	-5	14.7	15.3	-0.53	14.2	15.9	-1.76
Antonio Daniels	29	30	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.11	-10	-1	-9	14.7	15.4	-0.70	16.0	15.3	0.73
Zach Randolph	27	28	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.25	-7	-4	-3	15.5	15.0	0.53	15.5	15.5	-0.05
Derek Anderson	78	78	-0.48	-0.01	-0.47	-0.16	-11	0	-11	15.2	14.7	0.54	15.3	16.6	-1.36

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	69	70	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.00	19	-8	27	15.1	16.6	-1.44	14.8	16.2	-1.49
Allen Iverson	84	86	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	0	11	15.7	13.5	2.24	15.4	12.4	3.02
Keith Van Horn	69	70	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	1	9	15.8	14.6	1.17	15.6	13.9	1.64
Derrick Coleman	74	75	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	1	9	15.0	17.3	-2.29	15.1	15.3	-0.16
Brian Skinner	25	25	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	7	-3	15.1	15.6	-0.52	15.0	15.2	-0.24
Kenny Thomas	32	30	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.23	-1	12	-13	16.3	15.1	1.23	15.5	15.0	0.53
Greg Buckner	28	26	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	8	-5	14.9	15.8	-0.86	13.9	15.6	-1.68
Aaron McKie	46	47	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	11	-11	14.4	16.6	-2.17	14.8	15.4	-0.62
Tyrone Hill	41	40	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.04	1	10	-9	16.5	14.7	1.80	15.6	14.8	0.76
John Salmons	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	13	-15	31.0	15.2	15.84	15.0	15.1	-0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.72,0.79,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.97,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 89, MIA 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.59,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	95.1%
CLE 98, LAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.81,0.83,0.95,0.89,0.96,0.97,1	95.0%
TOR 96, BOS 110	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.3%